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Condo steals in Warm Springs, Fremont

32 condos for sale in Warm Springs ($445,000–$1,799,000), each given a Deal Score vs. recent Fremont sold comps. 3 are priced below market — sorted best deal first.

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45039 Insight St #1004 — condo for sale in Warm Springs, Fremont
67Good value
45039 Insight St #1004
$1,280,000
3 bd · 3 ba · 2,181 sqft · $587/sf
HOA $480/mo · Fl 10 · 16d · 11% below mkt
💎 Hidden gem
⚖️ Adjusted valueUndervaluedasking is 13% under fair value
Model fair value · 33 sold comps · ±8%$1,466,368
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location−13%
Condition · Avg / verify in person0
Price history · limited sale history0
📐 How this Deal Score was built67Good value
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history+15.6
HOA burden · $480/mo = 0.45%/yr of price vs a 1.34% norm — at or below normal, no charge0
Days on market · 16 days — not long enough to give you leverage0
Raw advantage · the three above, combined+15.6
Model confidence · strong — ±8% typical model error across 33 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×1
Deal Score67/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

✅ Positives
  • Best $/sf of 16 tracked in Warm Springs
  • 13% below model fair value
  • Upper floor (fl 10)
  • In-unit W/D
⚠️ Cons
  • Photos look dim — verify light in person
🚩 Red flags
  • Only 1 photo — verify condition

Price history (this unit)

Description

Modern Fremont Living with Space, Style & Hill Views Built in 2021, this beautifully designed townhouse-style condominium offers 3 bedrooms, 3 full bathrooms, and an impressive 2,181 sq. ft. of living space, combining modern design with the comfort and flexibility today’s buyers are looking for. Step inside to soaring ceilings, expansive floor-to-ceiling windows, and an abundance of natural light. Peaceful hill views create a stunning backdrop, while the open-concept floor plan makes the home feel bright, spacious, and inviting. At the heart of the home is an upgraded…

49002 Cinnamon Fern Cmn #507 — condo for sale in Warm Springs, Fremont
66Good value
49002 Cinnamon Fern Cmn #507
$719,000
2 bd · 2 ba · 1,081 sqft · $665/sf
HOA $412/mo · Fl 5 · 104d · ~at market (-2%)
⚖️ Adjusted valueUndervaluedasking is 10% under fair value
Model fair value · 33 sold comps · ±8%$814,217
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location−12%
Condition · 2009: white cab/granite/SS, carpet+1%
Price history · ≈9% below its peak+1%
📐 How this Deal Score was built66Good value
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history+12
HOA burden · $412/mo = 0.69%/yr of price vs a 1.34% norm — at or below normal, no charge0
Days on market · 104 days — it has sat, so you have leverage+3
Raw advantage · the three above, combined+15
Model confidence · strong — ±8% typical model error across 33 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×1
Deal Score66/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

✅ Positives
  • 12% below model fair value
  • On market 104 days → strong negotiating leverage
  • Upper floor (fl 5)
  • In-unit W/D
⚠️ Cons
🚩 Red flags
  • Still cutting price ($789k→$764k→$719k)

Price history (this unit)

Trough $670,005 Aug 23, 2016Now $719,000Peak $789,000 Apr 17, 2026
Current list price is 9% below its peak · +7% above its trough.
  • Jun 13, 2026 — Price Changed $719,000
  • May 30, 2026 — Price Changed $764,000
  • Apr 17, 2026 — Listed $789,000
  • Aug 23, 2016 — Sold (MLS) $670,005
  • Aug 23, 2016 — Sold (MLS) $670,005
  • Aug 23, 2016 — Sold (Public Records) $670,500

Description

Set within Fremont’s sought-after, gated Montebello Warm Springs community and served by award-winning Warm Springs schools, this beautifully updated fifth-floor 2-bedroom, 2-bath condo offers 1,081 sq ft of light-filled, elevated living. A welcoming entry with porcelain tile leads to freshly painted interiors and a seamless, open flow. The upgraded kitchen pairs granite countertops with new stainless steel appliances and the ease of an in-unit washer and dryer. In the living and dining areas, new recessed lighting creates a warm, modern ambiance, while a new sliding glass door glides…

45235 Wisdom Rd #1003 — condo for sale in Warm Springs, Fremont
62Good value
45235 Wisdom Rd #1003
$1,649,000
4 bd · 3.5 ba · 2,638 sqft · $625/sf
HOA $450/mo · Fl 10 · 124d · ~at market (+0%)
⏳ Sitting — leverage
⚖️ Adjusted valueFairly pricedasking is 4% under fair value
Model fair value · 99 sold comps · ±8%$1,752,391
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location−6%
Condition · Avg / verify in person0
Price history · ≈3% below its peak+2%
📐 How this Deal Score was built62Good value
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history+4.8
HOA burden · $450/mo = 0.33%/yr of price vs a 1.34% norm — at or below normal, no charge0
Days on market · 124 days — it has sat, so you have leverage+6
Raw advantage · the three above, combined+10.8
Model confidence · strong — ±8% typical model error across 99 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×1
Deal Score62/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

✅ Positives
  • On market 124 days → strong negotiating leverage
  • Upper floor (fl 10)
  • Garage parking
  • Low HOA (0.3%/yr)
⚠️ Cons
  • No in-unit W/D
🚩 Red flags

Price history (this unit)

Trough $1,649,000 Apr 25, 2026Now $1,649,000Peak $1,695,000 Mar 26, 2026
Current list price is 3% below its peak · +0% above its trough.
  • Apr 25, 2026 — Price Changed $1,649,000
  • Mar 26, 2026 — Listed $1,695,000

Description

New Price Adjustment - Exceptional Value for this Model. One of the largest floor plans available in Fremont’s Innovation community, this 2022 Lennar home offers 4 bedrooms, 3.5 baths, and approximately 2,638 sq ft across a flexible four-level layout designed for how families actually live, with room for kids, guests, home offices, and multigenerational living. The bright open-concept main level centers on a beautifully appointed kitchen with quartz countertops, oversized island seating, self-closing cabinetry, gas cooktop, and walk-in pantry, made for weeknight dinners and weekend…

47112 Warm Springs Blvd #137 — condo for sale in Warm Springs, Fremont
61Fair price
47112 Warm Springs Blvd #137
$454,000
1 bd · 1 ba · 760 sqft · $597/sf
HOA $486/mo · Fl 1 · 71d · ~at market (-1%)
⚖️ Adjusted valueFairly pricedasking is 6% under fair value
Model fair value · 33 sold comps · ±8%$468,875
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location−3%
Condition · Fresh floors/paint; no kitchen shown+2%
Price history · ≈38% below its peak−5%
📐 How this Deal Score was built61Fair price
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history+7.2
HOA burden · $486/mo = 1.28%/yr of price vs a 1.34% norm — at or below normal, no charge0
Days on market · 71 days — it has sat, so you have leverage+3
Raw advantage · the three above, combined+10.2
Model confidence · strong — ±8% typical model error across 33 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×1
Deal Score61/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

✅ Positives
  • Cheapest of 16 tracked in Warm Springs
  • 38% below its 1989 peak
  • On market 71 days → some leverage
  • In-unit W/D
⚠️ Cons
  • Ground floor
  • Photos look dim — verify light in person
🚩 Red flags
  • Listed BELOW its 2021 sale ($473k) → value eroding

Price history (this unit)

Trough $85,000 Jul 6, 1998Now $454,000Peak $728,500 Mar 13, 1989
Current list price is 38% below its peak · +434% above its trough.
  • Jul 22, 2026 — Price Changed $454,000
  • Jun 17, 2026 — Listed $459,000
  • Jun 15, 2026 — Coming Soon $459,000
  • Nov 29, 2021 — Sold (MLS) $473,000
  • Nov 29, 2021 — Sold (Public Records) $473,000
  • Aug 31, 2021 — Price Changed $493,000

Description

Rarely Available 1St Floor, Extra-Large 760 Sq Ft 1-Bedroom Oasis! Ground Floor, No Stairs to the unit~ No Rental Restriction, One-level condo, Discover modern convenience in this beautifully upgraded home located in a secure, gated community in the heart of Fremont. This residence offers an ideal blend of comfort and lifestyle, featuring a spacious layout, an in-unit washer/dryer, and a private patio complete with an extra storage. Low Monthly HOA fee $486 covers water, trash, pool, tennis court, and common area maintenance. Elevator access and two assigned parking spaces (1 carport, 1 open…

3512 Vision Cmn #503 — condo for sale in Warm Springs, Fremont
59Fair price
3512 Vision Cmn #503
$799,000
2 bd · 2 ba · 1,049 sqft · $762/sf
HOA $746/mo · Fl 5 · 36d · 12% above mkt
⚖️ Adjusted valueFairly pricedasking is 7% under fair value
Model fair value · 33 sold comps · ±8%$834,942
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location−4%
Condition · Modern 2023: quartz + flat-panel−3%
Price history · ≈4% below its peak0
📐 How this Deal Score was built59Fair price
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history+8.4
HOA burden · $746/mo = 1.12%/yr of price vs a 1.34% norm — at or below normal, no charge0
Days on market · 36 days — not long enough to give you leverage0
Raw advantage · the three above, combined+8.4
Model confidence · strong — ±8% typical model error across 33 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×1
Deal Score59/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

✅ Positives
  • Upper floor (fl 5)
  • In-unit W/D
  • Garage parking
  • Low HOA (1.1%/yr)
⚠️ Cons
  • HOA $746/mo
🚩 Red flags

Price history (this unit)

Only one sale-price event on record ($830,000 on Jul 13, 2026).
  • Jul 13, 2026 — Listed $830,000

Description

This stunning 1,049 sq. ft., 2 bedroom, 2 bathroom top floor condominium at 3512 Vision Common Unit 503 offers the pinnacle of modern, low maintenance living within South Fremont’s highly sought-after Warm Springs district. Built in 2023, the sun drenched residence features premium luxury vinyl flooring, large windows framing scenic mountain views from every room, and a private balcony that seamlessly extends the open-concept living room, dining room, and gourmet kitchen, which comes complete with an expansive quartz island and high end stainless steel appliances. The thoughtfully…

44868 Fremont Blvd #303 — condo for sale in Warm Springs, Fremont
59Fair price
44868 Fremont Blvd #303
$995,000
3 bd · 2 ba · 1,523 sqft · $653/sf
HOA $526/mo · Fl 3 · 77d · ~at market (-4%)
⚖️ Adjusted valueFairly pricedasking is 4% under fair value
Model fair value · 99 sold comps · ±8%$1,050,022
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location−5%
Condition · Avg / verify in person0
Price history · ≈10% below its peak+1%
📐 How this Deal Score was built59Fair price
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history+4.8
HOA burden · $526/mo = 0.63%/yr of price vs a 1.34% norm — at or below normal, no charge0
Days on market · 77 days — it has sat, so you have leverage+3
Raw advantage · the three above, combined+7.8
Model confidence · strong — ±8% typical model error across 99 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×1
Deal Score59/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

✅ Positives
  • On market 77 days → some leverage
  • Upper floor (fl 3)
  • In-unit W/D
  • Garage parking
⚠️ Cons
  • Photos look dim — verify light in person
🚩 Red flags

Price history (this unit)

Trough $980,000 Jul 10, 2026Now $995,000Peak $1,099,888 May 14, 2026
Current list price is 10% below its peak · +2% above its trough.
  • Aug 26, 2026 — Price Changed $995,000
  • Aug 26, 2026 — Price Changed $995,000
  • Jul 10, 2026 — Price Changed $980,000
  • Jul 10, 2026 — Price Changed $980,000
  • Jul 1, 2026 — Price Changed $1,050,000
  • Jul 1, 2026 — Price Changed $1,050,000

Description

Welcome to this beautifully maintained Fremont condo offering 1,523 sq ft of thoughtfully designed living space featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. New carpet and paint. Perfect for growing families, this home combines comfort, convenience, and energy-efficient upgrades in a highly desirable location. Features include owned solar panels, an EV charger in the garage, and extra insulation throughout all interior walls for improved comfort and efficiency year-round. Ideally located just 0.2 miles from a top-rated elementary school in the acclaimed Fremont Unified School District, this…

44938 Fremont Blvd #202 — condo for sale in Warm Springs, Fremont
58Fair price
44938 Fremont Blvd #202
$999,000
3 bd · 2 ba · 1,528 sqft · $654/sf
HOA $530/mo · Fl 2 · 38d · ~at market (-4%)
⚖️ Adjusted valueFairly pricedasking is 6% under fair value
Model fair value · 99 sold comps · ±8%$1,066,659
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location−6%
Condition · Avg / verify in person0
Price history · ≈7% below its peak0
📐 How this Deal Score was built58Fair price
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history+7.2
HOA burden · $530/mo = 0.64%/yr of price vs a 1.34% norm — at or below normal, no charge0
Days on market · 38 days — not long enough to give you leverage0
Raw advantage · the three above, combined+7.2
Model confidence · strong — ±8% typical model error across 99 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×1
Deal Score58/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

✅ Positives
  • In-unit W/D
  • Garage parking
  • Low HOA (0.6%/yr)
  • Newer build (2021)
⚠️ Cons
  • Verify HOA docs & condition in person
🚩 Red flags

Price history (this unit)

Only one sale-price event on record ($1,080,000 on Jul 20, 2026).
  • Jul 20, 2026 — Listed $1,080,000
  • Jul 5, 2025 — Rental Removed $4,300
  • May 17, 2025 — Listed for Rent $4,300

Description

NO Litigation! Built in 2021 by Shea Homes, this modern condo in the Innovation community offers contemporary finishes, including upgraded flooring and countertops. The open-concept great room creates a comfortable flow for everyday living and entertaining, with direct access to a private balcony. The home features paid-off solar and an attached two-car garage for added convenience and efficiency. Residents enjoy access to community amenities including a pool, fitness center, and nearby parks, with an elementary school within walking distance. Ideally located, the property offers easy…

196 Carson Falls Ter — condo for sale in Warm Springs, Fremont
57Fair price
196 Carson Falls Ter
$928,800
2 bd · 3 ba · 1,496 sqft · $621/sf
No HOA listed · 3d · ~at market (-1%)
💎 Hidden gem
⚖️ Adjusted valueUndervaluedasking is 8% under fair value
Model fair value · 1 sold comps · ±8%$1,012,622
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location−8%
Condition · Avg / verify in person0
Price history · limited sale history0
📐 How this Deal Score was built57Fair price
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history+9.6
HOA burden · no HOA published — estimated at 0.88%/yr so missing data isn't a free pass0
Days on market · 3 days — not long enough to give you leverage0
Raw advantage · the three above, combined+9.6
Model confidence · weak — ±8% typical model error across 1 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×0.6
Deal Score57/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

✅ Positives
  • Undervalued once condition & history are priced in
  • Newer build (2021)
⚠️ Cons
  • Photos look dim — verify light in person
🚩 Red flags

Price history (this unit)

Description

The popular model called The Juniper II" (Also described as Sierra Collection Plan 4) in the 55+ community of Enclave at Mission Falls. End unit of two story town house style condo. First floor: entry, garage, elevator, one bedroom and one full bath. Second floor: kitchen, living/dining area, covered deck, laundry, powder room, and primary suite with bath. The unit is equipped with a private in-house elevator. Beatifull kitchen has island, stone counter top, gas burned stove, stainless steel appliances, and etc. In-house laundry. Solar system, central HVAC. Community has BBC area, play…

85 Shaniko Cmn #22 — condo for sale in Warm Springs, Fremont
55Fair price
85 Shaniko Cmn #22
$595,000
2 bd · 2 ba · 936 sqft · $636/sf
HOA $360/mo · Fl 2 · 6d · ~at market (-7%)
⚖️ Adjusted valueFairly pricedasking is 4% under fair value
Model fair value · 33 sold comps · ±8%$640,151
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location−7%
Condition · Avg / verify in person0
Price history · at/near its all-time high+3%
📐 How this Deal Score was built55Fair price
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history+4.8
HOA burden · $360/mo = 0.73%/yr of price vs a 1.34% norm — at or below normal, no charge0
Days on market · 6 days — not long enough to give you leverage0
Raw advantage · the three above, combined+4.8
Model confidence · strong — ±8% typical model error across 33 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×1
Deal Score55/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

✅ Positives
  • In-unit W/D
  • Garage parking
  • Low HOA (0.7%/yr)
⚠️ Cons
  • Smaller than the Warm Springs norm (936 vs 1081 sf)
🚩 Red flags

Price history (this unit)

Trough $86,000 Jul 30, 1986Now $595,000Peak $595,000 Aug 21, 2026
Current list price is 0% below its peak · +592% above its trough.
  • Aug 21, 2026 — Listed $595,000
  • Oct 28, 2005 — Sold (Public Records) $380,000
  • Jul 30, 1986 — Sold (Public Records) $86,000

Description

Welcome to a bright, North East–facing condo in a prime Warm Springs location, a 2nd floor, 2-bedroom, 2-bath home that's move-in ready and beautifully renovated. Thanks to its direction, you get great natural light all day. It's freshly painted inside with new laminate flooring throughout, and the kitchen has been fully remodeled with quartz counters, new cabinets, a new dishwasher, and a new microwave. The primary suite has its own private patio and a renovated vanity with quartz counters, and there's a second private patio off the living room too. You'll also enjoy an in-unit washer…

3698 Vision Cmn #521 — condo for sale in Warm Springs, Fremont
55Fair price
3698 Vision Cmn #521
$865,000
2 bd · 2 ba · 1,049 sqft · $825/sf
HOA $662/mo · Fl 5 · 62d · 21% above mkt
⚖️ Adjusted valueFairly pricedasking is 1% under fair value
Model fair value · 33 sold comps · ±8%$851,896
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location+2%
Condition · Modern 2024: quartz + flat-panel−3%
Price history · just off its peak0
📐 How this Deal Score was built55Fair price
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history+1.2
HOA burden · $662/mo = 0.92%/yr of price vs a 1.34% norm — at or below normal, no charge0
Days on market · 62 days — it has sat, so you have leverage+3
Raw advantage · the three above, combined+4.2
Model confidence · strong — ±8% typical model error across 33 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×1
Deal Score55/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

✅ Positives
  • On market 62 days → some leverage
  • Upper floor (fl 5)
  • In-unit W/D
  • Garage parking
⚠️ Cons
  • HOA $662/mo
  • Photos look dim — verify light in person
🚩 Red flags

Price history (this unit)

Only one sale-price event on record ($878,000 on Jun 26, 2026).
  • Jun 26, 2026 — Listed $878,000

Description

One-of-a-kind rare find in Fremont's highly sought-after Innovation District! This exceptional top-floor corner residence offers a level of privacy rarely available, with no neighboring homes directly in front, beside, or above. Bathed in natural light and enjoying open views, this beautifully maintained 2-bedroom, 2-bath home combines modern style, comfort, and convenience in an unbeatable location. Designed for contemporary living, the thoughtfully crafted floor plan showcases expansive windows that fill the home with natural sunlight, creating a bright and inviting atmosphere throughout.…

2339 Kinetic Cmn #209 — condo for sale in Warm Springs, Fremont
54Fair price
2339 Kinetic Cmn #209
$949,000
2 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,608 sqft · $590/sf
HOA $801/mo · Fl 2 · 35d · ~at market (-6%)
⚖️ Adjusted valueFairly pricedasking is 4% under fair value
Model fair value · 4 sold comps · ±8%$992,931
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location−4%
Condition · Avg / verify in person0
Price history · at/near its all-time high0
📐 How this Deal Score was built54Fair price
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history+4.8
HOA burden · $801/mo = 1.01%/yr of price vs a 1.34% norm — at or below normal, no charge0
Days on market · 35 days — not long enough to give you leverage0
Raw advantage · the three above, combined+4.8
Model confidence · moderate — ±8% typical model error across 4 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×0.8
Deal Score54/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

✅ Positives
  • In-unit W/D
  • Garage parking
  • Low HOA (1%/yr)
  • Newer build (2020)
⚠️ Cons
  • HOA $801/mo
🚩 Red flags
  • HOA rising ~15%/yr in this building ($517/mo in 2023 → $795)

Price history (this unit)

Only one sale-price event on record ($949,000 on Jul 23, 2026).
  • Jul 23, 2026 — Listed $949,000

Description

Built by the acclaimed Toll Brothers and part of the Norwood Junction Collection, this single-level two bedroom condo offers the perfect blend of functionality and location with 10-foot ceilings, an open-concept layout and recent updates! The spacious living room features a large sliding glass door that fills the home with natural light and seamlessly connects indoor and outdoor patio living. New flooring throughout the main living areas and newly carpeted bedrooms enhance comfort. The chef’s kitchen features quartz countertops and backsplash, oversized island with breakfast bar,…

44868 Fremont Blvd #200 — condo for sale in Warm Springs, Fremont
51Fair price
44868 Fremont Blvd #200
$888,000
2 bd · 2 ba · 1,279 sqft · $694/sf
HOA $534/mo · Fl 2 · 14d · 11% above mkt
⚖️ Adjusted valueFairly pricedasking is 1% under fair value
Model fair value · 99 sold comps · ±8%$892,962
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location−1%
Condition · Avg / verify in person0
Price history · at/near its all-time high0
📐 How this Deal Score was built51Fair price
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history+1.2
HOA burden · $534/mo = 0.72%/yr of price vs a 1.34% norm — at or below normal, no charge0
Days on market · 14 days — not long enough to give you leverage0
Raw advantage · the three above, combined+1.2
Model confidence · strong — ±8% typical model error across 99 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×1
Deal Score51/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

✅ Positives
  • In-unit W/D
  • Garage parking
  • Low HOA (0.7%/yr)
  • Newer build (2021)
⚠️ Cons
  • $/sf above the Fremont norm ($694 vs $670)
🚩 Red flags

Price history (this unit)

Only one sale-price event on record ($888,000 on Aug 13, 2026).
  • Aug 13, 2026 — Listed $888,000
  • Aug 13, 2026 — Listed $888,000

Description

Experience upscale living in this nearly new, single-story condo, built by Shea Homes in 2021, and ideally situated in the highly desirable Innovation Community! Filled with abundant natural light, this open-concept floor plan seamlessly connects the kitchen, living, and dining areas with direct access to a private balcony. The chef-inspired kitchen showcases a spacious multifunctional island with a water filtration system, sleek cabinets, a 5-burner gas range, and stainless-steel appliances including a brand-new microwave. The luxurious primary suite offers a generous walk-in closet and an…

2339 Kinetic Cmn #312 — condo for sale in Warm Springs, Fremont
51Fair price
2339 Kinetic Cmn #312
$1,068,000
3 bd · 2 ba · 1,548 sqft · $690/sf
HOA $795/mo · Fl 3 · 49d · ~at market (+4%)
⚖️ Adjusted valueFairly pricedasking is 1% under fair value
Model fair value · 33 sold comps · ±8%$1,084,014
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location−1%
Condition · Avg / verify in person0
Price history · ≈5% below its peak0
📐 How this Deal Score was built51Fair price
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history+1.2
HOA burden · $795/mo = 0.89%/yr of price vs a 1.34% norm — at or below normal, no charge0
Days on market · 49 days — not long enough to give you leverage0
Raw advantage · the three above, combined+1.2
Model confidence · strong — ±8% typical model error across 33 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×1
Deal Score51/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

✅ Positives
  • On market 49 days → some leverage
  • Upper floor (fl 3)
  • In-unit W/D
  • Garage parking
⚠️ Cons
  • HOA $795/mo
  • Photos look dim — verify light in person
🚩 Red flags
  • HOA rising ~15%/yr in this building ($517/mo in 2023 → $795)

Price history (this unit)

Only one sale-price event on record ($1,125,000 on Jul 9, 2026).
  • Jul 9, 2026 — Listed $1,125,000

Description

Welcome to 2339 Kinetic Common Unit 312 - a generously appointed 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom corner unit condominium in the resort-style community of Metro Crossings. Built by the acclaimed Toll Brothers and part of the Norwood Junction Collection, this coveted unit is flooded with natural light and offers one of the building's largest balconies. Upgrades thoughtfully completed by the owner include: designer lighting fixtures in the bedrooms, dining and kitchen, dramatic accent wall colors in the living and primary bedrooms, a water filtration system, custom built in closet systems in the primary…

277 Hackamore Cmn — condo for sale in Warm Springs, Fremont
49Fair price
277 Hackamore Cmn
$558,000
2 bd · 1 ba · 878 sqft · $636/sf
HOA $623/mo · 108d · ~at market (-7%)
⚖️ Adjusted valueFairly pricedasking is +3% over fair value
Model fair value · 33 sold comps · ±8%$543,550
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location+3%
Condition · Modern reno: white shaker + stainless−1%
Price history · ≈9% below its peak+1%
📐 How this Deal Score was built49Fair price
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history−3.6
HOA burden · $623/mo = 1.34%/yr of price vs a 1.34% norm — at or below normal, no charge0
Days on market · 108 days — it has sat, so you have leverage+3
Raw advantage · the three above, combined−0.6
Model confidence · strong — ±8% typical model error across 33 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×1
Deal Score49/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

✅ Positives
  • On market 108 days → strong negotiating leverage
  • In-unit W/D
  • Low HOA (1.3%/yr)
⚠️ Cons
  • HOA $623/mo
  • Only 1 bath
  • Photos look dim — verify light in person
🚩 Red flags
  • Listed BELOW its 2021 sale ($614k) → value eroding

Price history (this unit)

Trough $92,500 Nov 20, 1986Now $558,000Peak $614,000 Nov 18, 2021
Current list price is 9% below its peak · +503% above its trough.
  • Jul 8, 2026 — Price Changed $558,000
  • May 11, 2026 — Listed $578,000
  • Jun 22, 2022 — Price Changed $1,000
  • Nov 18, 2021 — Sold (MLS) $613,888
  • Nov 18, 2021 — Sold (Public Records) $614,000
  • Oct 18, 2021 — Listed $580,000

Description

No rental restrictions! Top-floor corner unit filled with natural light! This bright, airy home features central AC/heating, and modern recessed ceiling lights. The chef’s kitchen boasts ample cabinets, a pantry, under-lit counters, and a premium InstaView® fridge with Craft Ice™. Relax in the smart bathroom featuring an LED defogging mirror. Enjoy the convenience of inside laundry, a private balcony with an extra storage closet, and 2 assigned covered parking spaces. Community amenities include a refreshing pool and BBQ area. Prime Fremont location within walking distance to…

162 Shaniko Cmn #66 — condo for sale in Warm Springs, Fremont
49Fair price
162 Shaniko Cmn #66
$769,000
3 bd · 2 ba · 1,150 sqft · $669/sf
HOA $360/mo · Fl 6 · 15d · ~at market (+1%)
⚖️ Adjusted valueFairly pricedasking is +1% over fair value
Model fair value · 33 sold comps · ±8%$787,146
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location−2%
Condition · Avg / verify in person0
Price history · at/near its all-time high+3%
📐 How this Deal Score was built49Fair price
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history−1.2
HOA burden · $360/mo = 0.56%/yr of price vs a 1.34% norm — at or below normal, no charge0
Days on market · 15 days — not long enough to give you leverage0
Raw advantage · the three above, combined−1.2
Model confidence · strong — ±8% typical model error across 33 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×1
Deal Score49/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

✅ Positives
  • Upper floor (fl 6)
  • In-unit W/D
  • Garage parking
  • Low HOA (0.6%/yr)
⚠️ Cons
  • Verify HOA docs & condition in person
🚩 Red flags

Price history (this unit)

Trough $765,000 Sep 23, 2022Now $769,000Peak $769,000 Aug 12, 2026
Current list price is 0% below its peak · +1% above its trough.
  • Aug 12, 2026 — Listed $769,000
  • Sep 23, 2022 — Sold (Public Records) $765,000

Description

Welcome home to 162 Shaniko Common in Fremont! This beautifully updated 3BD/2BA condo shines with laminate flooring, fresh paint, and a modernized remodeled kitchen featuring quartz counters, tile flooring, a smart range hood, new range, and brand-new refrigerator. Both fully renovated bathrooms boast quartz finishes and elegant tile work, and the spacious primary suite includes a large walk-in closet. Enjoy two private balconies, in-unit washer/dryer, a private garage, and permitted parking. Located in desirable Warm Springs near top-rated schools, BART, I-680/880, shopping, and dining. Low…

45188 Tom Blalock St #301 — condo for sale in Warm Springs, Fremont
47Fair price
45188 Tom Blalock St #301
$1,799,000
3 bd · 3.5 ba · 3,027 sqft · $594/sf
HOA $638/mo · Fl 3 · 107d · 10% below mkt
⚖️ Adjusted valueFairly pricedasking is +5% over fair value
Model fair value · 33 sold comps · ±8%$1,739,820
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location+3%
Condition · Avg / verify in person0
Price history · ≈6% below its peak+2%
📐 How this Deal Score was built47Fair price
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history−6
HOA burden · $638/mo = 0.43%/yr of price vs a 1.34% norm — at or below normal, no charge0
Days on market · 107 days — it has sat, so you have leverage+3
Raw advantage · the three above, combined−3
Model confidence · strong — ±8% typical model error across 33 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×1
Deal Score47/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

✅ Positives
  • On market 107 days → strong negotiating leverage
  • Upper floor (fl 3)
  • In-unit W/D
  • Garage parking
⚠️ Cons
  • HOA $638/mo
🚩 Red flags
  • Still cutting price ($1915k→$1880k→$1799k)

Price history (this unit)

Trough $1,799,000 Jul 13, 2026Now $1,799,000Peak $1,915,000 May 12, 2026
Current list price is 6% below its peak · +0% above its trough.
  • Jul 13, 2026 — Price Changed $1,799,000
  • May 27, 2026 — Price Changed $1,880,000
  • May 12, 2026 — Listed $1,915,000
  • Apr 30, 2026 — Coming Soon $1,915,000

Description

Gorgeous corner-unit penthouse in Metro Crossing with no neighbors above or below and beautiful mountain and clubhouse views. This rare 3-bedroom, 3.5-bath residence offers exceptional privacy and a bright, open layout. The gourmet kitchen features a waterfall island, pendant lighting, a built-in microwave and oven, a pantry, and a dining area with mountain views. The spacious living room overlooks the community pool, creating a light-filled, inviting space. All three bedrooms include en-suite bathrooms. The primary suite offers mountain views, a private balcony, dual sinks, a soaking tub, a…

3698 Vision Cmn #414 — condo for sale in Warm Springs, Fremont
45Priced high
3698 Vision Cmn #414
$649,950
1 bd · 1 ba · 830 sqft · $783/sf
HOA $692/mo · Fl 4 · 44d · 18% above mkt
⚖️ Adjusted valueFairly pricedasking is +4% over fair value
Model fair value · 99 sold comps · ±8%$608,354
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location+7%
Condition · New 2024: two-tone, quartz, stainless−3%
Price history · at/near its all-time high0
📐 How this Deal Score was built45Priced high
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history−4.8
HOA burden · $692/mo = 1.28%/yr of price vs a 1.34% norm — at or below normal, no charge0
Days on market · 44 days — not long enough to give you leverage0
Raw advantage · the three above, combined−4.8
Model confidence · strong — ±8% typical model error across 99 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×1
Deal Score45/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

✅ Positives
  • Upper floor (fl 4)
  • In-unit W/D
  • Garage parking
  • Low HOA (1.3%/yr)
⚠️ Cons
  • HOA $692/mo
🚩 Red flags

Price history (this unit)

Only one sale-price event on record ($649,950 on Jul 14, 2026).
  • Jul 14, 2026 — Listed $649,950

Description

Bright, contemporary condo featuring an open and inviting floor plan with abundant natural light, expansive floor-to-ceiling windows, and a spacious private balcony overlooking the community. The stylish kitchen is designed for both everyday living and entertaining, offering a gas cooktop, stainless steel appliances, soft-close cabinetry, generous pantry storage, and plenty of prep space. The spacious bedroom includes a large walk-in closet, while the home also features in-unit laundry, central A/C, elevator access, and secure underground parking with EV charging. Built by renowned luxury…

45228 Tom Blalock St #306 — condo for sale in Warm Springs, Fremont
45Priced high
45228 Tom Blalock St #306
$1,098,000
2 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,786 sqft · $615/sf
HOA $795/mo · Fl 3 · 49d · ~at market (-2%)
⚖️ Adjusted valueFairly pricedasking is +4% over fair value
Model fair value · 99 sold comps · ±8%$1,042,158
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location+5%
Condition · Modern 2019: gray shaker, quartz−2%
Price history · ≈7% below its peak+1%
📐 How this Deal Score was built45Priced high
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history−4.8
HOA burden · $795/mo = 0.87%/yr of price vs a 1.34% norm — at or below normal, no charge0
Days on market · 49 days — not long enough to give you leverage0
Raw advantage · the three above, combined−4.8
Model confidence · strong — ±8% typical model error across 99 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×1
Deal Score45/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

✅ Positives
  • On market 49 days → some leverage
  • Upper floor (fl 3)
  • In-unit W/D
  • Garage parking
⚠️ Cons
  • HOA $795/mo
🚩 Red flags
  • Listed BELOW its 2023 sale ($1175k) → value eroding

Price history (this unit)

Trough $1,098,000 Jul 9, 2026Now $1,098,000Peak $1,175,000 Jun 7, 2023
Current list price is 7% below its peak · +0% above its trough.
  • Jul 9, 2026 — Listed $1,098,000
  • Jul 9, 2026 — Listed $1,098,000
  • Jun 7, 2023 — Sold (Public Records) $1,175,000

Description

Meticulously designed corner unit in the resort-style community of Metro Crossings! This single-level condo offers approximately 1,786 sq ft of living space, featuring high-end upgrades, 10-foot ceilings, an open-concept layout, and a spacious private balcony, perfect for indoor-outdoor entertaining. The primary bedroom features a custom closet system and an en-suite bathroom with a double-sink vanity. The chef's kitchen showcases an oversized island, quartz countertops, upgraded faucets for a modern touch, and designer cabinet hardware throughout. Additional custom details include a bar area…

3465 Inspiration Way #402 — condo for sale in Warm Springs, Fremont
45Priced high
3465 Inspiration Way #402
$1,198,000
3 bd · 2 ba · 1,771 sqft · $676/sf
HOA $685/mo · Fl 4 · 34d · ~at market (-1%)
⚖️ Adjusted valueFairly pricedasking is +4% over fair value
Model fair value · 99 sold comps · ±8%$1,148,695
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location+4%
Condition · Avg / verify in person0
Price history · ≈2% below its peak0
📐 How this Deal Score was built45Priced high
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history−4.8
HOA burden · $685/mo = 0.69%/yr of price vs a 1.34% norm — at or below normal, no charge0
Days on market · 34 days — not long enough to give you leverage0
Raw advantage · the three above, combined−4.8
Model confidence · strong — ±8% typical model error across 99 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×1
Deal Score45/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

✅ Positives
  • Upper floor (fl 4)
  • In-unit W/D
  • Garage parking
  • Low HOA (0.7%/yr)
⚠️ Cons
  • HOA $685/mo
🚩 Red flags

Price history (this unit)

Only one sale-price event on record ($1,225,000 on Jul 24, 2026).
  • Jul 24, 2026 — Listed $1,225,000
  • Jul 24, 2026 — Listed $1,225,000

Description

Exceptional top-floor, north-facing, single-level residence in Fremont's highly sought-after Innovation District, featuring over $65,000 in premium upgrades. This light-filled residence features soaring ceilings, an open-concept layout, a gourmet kitchen with quartz countertops and premium stainless steel appliances, and a private balcony with beautiful Mission Peak views. Enjoy resort-style amenities including a rooftop deck, fitness center, private movie screening room, entertainment kitchen, shared workspace, and dog wash station. Served by the award-winning Fremont Unified School…

446 Bolinger Cmn — condo for sale in Warm Springs, Fremont
43Priced high
446 Bolinger Cmn
$620,000
2 bd · 2 ba · 926 sqft · $670/sf
HOA $415/mo · 60d · ~at market (+7%)
⚖️ Adjusted valueOverpricedasking is +8% over fair value
Model fair value · 99 sold comps · ±8%$599,955
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location+3%
Condition · Interior not shown — verify0
Price history · at/near its all-time high+5%
📐 How this Deal Score was built43Priced high
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history−9.6
HOA burden · $415/mo = 0.8%/yr of price vs a 1.34% norm — at or below normal, no charge0
Days on market · 60 days — it has sat, so you have leverage+3
Raw advantage · the three above, combined−6.6
Model confidence · strong — ±8% typical model error across 99 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×1
Deal Score43/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

✅ Positives
  • On market 60 days → some leverage
  • In-unit W/D
  • Garage parking
  • Low HOA (0.8%/yr)
⚠️ Cons
  • Photos look dim — verify light in person
🚩 Red flags
  • FLIP: bought $550k 2026, relisted +13%

Price history (this unit)

Trough $106,500 Sep 18, 1987Now $620,000Peak $550,000 May 7, 2026
Current list price is +13% above its prior peak (listed at an all-time high) · +482% above its trough.
  • May 7, 2026 — Sold (Public Records) $550,000
  • Sep 18, 1987 — Sold (Public Records) $106,500

Description

Welcome to this beautifully updated 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom condo in the desirable Bolinger Common community. Thoughtfully remodeled with modern finishes, this 926 sq ft home offers move-in-ready comfort in one of Fremont's most sought-after neighborhoods. Recent Upgrades Include: Brand new kitchen with stylish cabinetry, quartz countertops, and new stainless steel appliances Fully renovated bathrooms featuring quartz slab counters, new vanities, fixtures, and modern finishes Recessed lighting throughout the entire home for a bright and contemporary feel Fresh, clean aesthetic ready for…

45128 Warm Springs Blvd #455 — condo for sale in Warm Springs, Fremont
43Priced high
45128 Warm Springs Blvd #455
$1,218,888
3 bd · 2 ba · 1,741 sqft · $700/sf
HOA $709/mo · Fl 4 · 2d · ~at market (+6%)
⚖️ Adjusted valueFairly pricedasking is +5% over fair value
Model fair value · 33 sold comps · ±8%$1,160,002
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location+5%
Condition · Avg / verify in person0
Price history · at/near its all-time high0
📐 How this Deal Score was built43Priced high
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history−6
HOA burden · $709/mo = 0.7%/yr of price vs a 1.34% norm — at or below normal, no charge0
Days on market · 2 days — not long enough to give you leverage0
Raw advantage · the three above, combined−6
Model confidence · strong — ±8% typical model error across 33 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×1
Deal Score43/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

✅ Positives
  • Upper floor (fl 4)
  • In-unit W/D
  • Garage parking
  • Low HOA (0.7%/yr)
⚠️ Cons
  • HOA $709/mo
🚩 Red flags

Price history (this unit)

Only one sale-price event on record ($1,218,888 on Aug 25, 2026).
  • Aug 25, 2026 — Listed $1,218,888

Description

Discover the best of Westbounce Park at Metro Crossing in this luxurious condo. Boasting a rarely available corner unit of 1,741sqft, 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom. This home offers spacious elegance and modern living at its finest. Floor-to-ceiling sliding glass doors open onto the wrap around balcony, pouring ample natural light into the home. What a wonderful space for relaxing and hosting gatherings! The open-concept layout connects the kitchen, dining and living areas, creating an airy and comfortable living environment. The luxurious primary suite features a walk-in closet, a dual-sink vanity,…

2359 Halogen Cmn #104 — condo for sale in Warm Springs, Fremont
42Priced high
2359 Halogen Cmn #104
$1,168,880
2 bd · 2 ba · 1,688 sqft · $692/sf
HOA $638/mo · Fl 1 · 56d · ~at market (+2%)
⚖️ Adjusted valueFairly pricedasking is +6% over fair value
Model fair value · 33 sold comps · ±8%$1,079,048
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location+8%
Condition · Modern 2021: quartz waterfall, flat−2%
Price history · at/near its all-time high0
📐 How this Deal Score was built42Priced high
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history−7.2
HOA burden · $638/mo = 0.65%/yr of price vs a 1.34% norm — at or below normal, no charge0
Days on market · 56 days — not long enough to give you leverage0
Raw advantage · the three above, combined−7.2
Model confidence · strong — ±8% typical model error across 33 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×1
Deal Score42/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

✅ Positives
  • On market 56 days → some leverage
  • In-unit W/D
  • Garage parking
  • Low HOA (0.7%/yr)
⚠️ Cons
  • HOA $638/mo
  • Ground floor
🚩 Red flags

Price history (this unit)

Only one sale-price event on record ($1,168,880 on Jul 2, 2026).
  • Jul 2, 2026 — Listed $1,168,880

Description

Experience luxury living in this stunning 2021 Toll Brothers-built single-level flat, offering a rare combination of exceptional indoor-outdoor living with an expansive balcony and covered patio, all on one level with soaring 10-foot ceilings. Enjoy the convenience of a private side-by-side two-car garage with direct interior access and a 220V EV charging outlet. This highly sought-after floor plan is one of only two units per building and includes a private storage room. Welcome guests through the elegant lobby and stylish resident lounge before stepping into an open-concept floor plan…

45188 Tom Blalock St #103 — condo for sale in Warm Springs, Fremont
42Priced high
45188 Tom Blalock St #103
$1,175,000
3 bd · 2 ba · 1,725 sqft · $681/sf
HOA $638/mo · Fl 1 · 6d · ~at market (+4%)
⚖️ Adjusted valueFairly pricedasking is +7% over fair value
Model fair value · 4 sold comps · ±8%$1,101,225
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location+7%
Condition · Avg / verify in person0
Price history · at/near its all-time high0
📐 How this Deal Score was built42Priced high
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history−8.4
HOA burden · $638/mo = 0.65%/yr of price vs a 1.34% norm — at or below normal, no charge0
Days on market · 6 days — not long enough to give you leverage0
Raw advantage · the three above, combined−8.4
Model confidence · moderate — ±8% typical model error across 4 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×0.8
Deal Score42/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

✅ Positives
  • In-unit W/D
  • Garage parking
  • Low HOA (0.7%/yr)
  • Newer build (2019)
⚠️ Cons
  • HOA $638/mo
  • Ground floor
  • Photos look dim — verify light in person
🚩 Red flags

Price history (this unit)

Only one sale-price event on record ($1,175,000 on Aug 21, 2026).
  • Aug 21, 2026 — Listed $1,175,000

Description

Wow...Luxury Living at its Finest....A Super Clean, Modern Condominium with an "Open Floor Plan" and Tons of Tasteful Upgrades, including Luxury Vinyl Plank Flooring, Stainless Steel Appliances, Quartz Countertops, Designer Window Treatments & Much More. Ideally Located on the First Floor in the Chancery Section of The Metro Crossing Luxury Condominium Complex of Fremont. With Direct Access from the 2-Car Garage (or from the Street) and Accross the Street from the Resort-Style Community Center w/ World-Class Amenities, this Location is Hard to Beat. The Primary Suite offers a…

46666 Winema Cmn — condo for sale in Warm Springs, Fremont
41Priced high
46666 Winema Cmn
$600,000
2 bd · 2 ba · 897 sqft · $669/sf
HOA $450/mo · 12d · ~at market (+7%)
⚖️ Adjusted valueFairly pricedasking is +7% over fair value
Model fair value · 99 sold comps · ±8%$576,394
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location+4%
Condition · Avg / verify in person0
Price history · at/near its all-time high+3%
📐 How this Deal Score was built41Priced high
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history−8.4
HOA burden · $450/mo = 0.9%/yr of price vs a 1.34% norm — at or below normal, no charge0
Days on market · 12 days — not long enough to give you leverage0
Raw advantage · the three above, combined−8.4
Model confidence · strong — ±8% typical model error across 99 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×1
Deal Score41/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

✅ Positives
  • In-unit W/D
  • Low HOA (0.9%/yr)
⚠️ Cons
  • Photos look dim — verify light in person
🚩 Red flags

Price history (this unit)

Trough $93,000 Feb 28, 1985Now $600,000Peak $600,000 Aug 15, 2026
Current list price is 0% below its peak · +545% above its trough.
  • Aug 15, 2026 — Listed $600,000
  • Aug 15, 2026 — Listed $600,000
  • Aug 31, 2006 — Sold (Public Records) $425,000
  • May 30, 2001 — Sold (Public Records) $300,000
  • May 2, 2001 — Sold (MLS) $300,000
  • May 2, 2001 — Sold (MLS) $300,000

Description

"Top Rated Mission Schools in Great Location in Warm Springs!" Large Open Living Room Area with Dining and Adjoining Kitchen Area. Home is Located on the First Floor Corner Location, with Front Patio Facing Open Area Overlooking the Lawn. Large & Private Separate 2-Bedrooms. Big Master Bedroom Suite with Attached Bathroom. Other Large Private Bedroom Adjoining Master Suite. Bathroom/Washer/Dryer next to Bedroom/Hallway. Great Commute Location in Warm Springs-Close to 680/880 with Close Proximity to Milpitas, and Fremont Areas. Adjoining Shopping Area next to Community. Also…

47112 Warm Springs Blvd #216 — condo for sale in Warm Springs, Fremont
40Priced high
47112 Warm Springs Blvd #216
$649,000
2 bd · 2 ba · 1,051 sqft · $618/sf
HOA $486/mo · Fl 2 · 71d · ~at market (-2%)
⚖️ Adjusted valueOverpricedasking is +10% over fair value
Model fair value · 99 sold comps · ±8%$608,819
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location+7%
Condition · Fresh flip: new floors, paint+1%
Price history · ≈4% below its peak+2%
📐 How this Deal Score was built40Priced high
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history−12
HOA burden · $486/mo = 0.9%/yr of price vs a 1.34% norm — at or below normal, no charge0
Days on market · 71 days — it has sat, so you have leverage+3
Raw advantage · the three above, combined−9
Model confidence · strong — ±8% typical model error across 99 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×1
Deal Score40/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

✅ Positives
  • On market 71 days → some leverage
  • In-unit W/D
  • Garage parking
  • Low HOA (0.9%/yr)
⚠️ Cons
  • Smaller than the Fremont norm (1051 vs 1146 sf)
🚩 Red flags

Price history (this unit)

Trough $104,000 Sep 29, 1989Now $649,000Peak $678,000 Jun 17, 2026
Current list price is 4% below its peak · +524% above its trough.
  • Jun 17, 2026 — Listed $678,000
  • Jun 17, 2026 — Listed $678,000
  • Jul 31, 1997 — Sold (Public Records) $132,500
  • Sep 29, 1989 — Sold (Public Records) $104,000

Description

47112 Warm Springs Blvd. #216 is a tastefully updated 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom condo offering 1,051 square feet of comfortable living space in the highly desirable Warm Springs neighborhood. The remodeled kitchen features freshly painted cabinetry, quartz countertops, a stylish backsplash, brand-new stainless steel appliances (refrigerator, dishwasher, and range), a new faucet, and easy-care luxury vinyl flooring. The spacious living room is enhanced by recessed lighting and laminate flooring that extends into the primary suite, complete with a walk-in closet. Fresh interior paint throughout,…

46776 Fernald St — condo for sale in Warm Springs, Fremont
39Priced high
46776 Fernald St
$788,800
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,271 sqft · $621/sf
HOA $375/mo · 10d · ~at market (-6%)
⚖️ Adjusted valueOverpricedasking is +8% over fair value
Model fair value · 33 sold comps · ±8%$765,766
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location+3%
Condition · Avg / verify in person0
Price history · at/near its all-time high+5%
📐 How this Deal Score was built39Priced high
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history−9.6
HOA burden · $375/mo = 0.57%/yr of price vs a 1.34% norm — at or below normal, no charge0
Days on market · 10 days — not long enough to give you leverage0
Raw advantage · the three above, combined−9.6
Model confidence · strong — ±8% typical model error across 33 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×1
Deal Score39/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

✅ Positives
  • In-unit W/D
  • Garage parking
  • Low HOA (0.6%/yr)
⚠️ Cons
  • Verify HOA docs & condition in person
🚩 Red flags

Price history (this unit)

Trough $169,000 Jun 27, 1997Now $788,800Peak $520,000 Dec 6, 2013
Current list price is +52% above its prior peak (listed at an all-time high) · +367% above its trough.
  • Dec 6, 2013 — Sold (MLS) $520,000
  • Dec 6, 2013 — Sold (Public Records) $520,000
  • Nov 22, 2013 — Listed $499,000
  • Jun 16, 2004 — Sold (Public Records) $410,000
  • May 24, 2004 — Sold (MLS) $410,000
  • May 21, 2004 — Listed $398,888

Description

Nestled in the highly sought-after Warm Springs neighborhood, this beautiful townhouse-style condo offers privacy, comfort, and picturesque surroundings. Featuring a north-facing entrance, an inviting private patio, and breathtaking views of Mission Peak and the surrounding hills, this home provides a peaceful setting in a prime location. Offering approximately 1,270 square feet of living space, the home features 3 bedrooms, 1.5 bathrooms, an attached 2-car garage with direct access to the home, and a functional two-story floor plan. Recent updates include updated kitchen and bathrooms,…

136 Hackamore Ln — condo for sale in Warm Springs, Fremont
33Overpriced
136 Hackamore Ln
$578,800
2 bd · 2 ba · 740 sqft · $782/sf
HOA $644/mo · 10d · 15% above mkt
⚖️ Adjusted valueOverpricedasking is +13% over fair value
Model fair value · 33 sold comps · ±8%$523,820
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location+10%
Condition · Avg / verify in person0
Price history · at/near its all-time high+3%
📐 How this Deal Score was built33Overpriced
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history−15.6
HOA burden · $644/mo = 1.34%/yr of price vs a 1.34% norm — at or below normal, no charge0
Days on market · 10 days — not long enough to give you leverage0
Raw advantage · the three above, combined−15.6
Model confidence · strong — ±8% typical model error across 33 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×1
Deal Score33/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

✅ Positives
  • In-unit W/D
  • Low HOA (1.3%/yr)
⚠️ Cons
  • 10% above model fair value
  • HOA $644/mo
🚩 Red flags

Price history (this unit)

Trough $115,000 Jun 30, 1995Now $578,800Peak $578,800 Aug 17, 2026
Current list price is 0% below its peak · +403% above its trough.
  • Aug 17, 2026 — Listed $578,800
  • Aug 17, 2026 — Coming Soon $578,800
  • Jun 30, 1995 — Sold (Public Records) $115,000

Description

Stunning!! This 2nd floor end unit with 2 bedrooms 2 bathrooms is Located in one of the most sought-after neighborhoods in Warm Springs This move-in ready home offers new flooring through Recently updated throughout. Kitchen cabinets, countertops, backsplash, Both bathrooms elegantly updated. Warm color scheme fresh paint Recess lighting bright. In-unit laundry, central heating & A/C, carport with storage. Private porch perfect relaxing area. HOA covers water, trash, common-area maintenance,

287 E Warren Ave — condo for sale in Warm Springs, Fremont
32Overpriced
287 E Warren Ave
$455,000
1 bd · 1 ba · 665 sqft · $684/sf
HOA $623/mo · 7d · 13% above mkt
⚖️ Adjusted valueOverpricedasking is +12% over fair value
Model fair value · 33 sold comps · ±8%$425,346
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location+7%
Condition · Avg / verify in person0
Price history · at/near its all-time high+5%
📐 How this Deal Score was built32Overpriced
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history−14.4
HOA burden · $623/mo = 1.64%/yr of price vs a 1.34% norm−2.4
Days on market · 7 days — not long enough to give you leverage0
Raw advantage · the three above, combined−16.8
Model confidence · strong — ±8% typical model error across 33 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×1
Deal Score32/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

✅ Positives
  • In-unit W/D
⚠️ Cons
  • HOA $623/mo
  • Photos look dim — verify light in person
🚩 Red flags

Price history (this unit)

Trough $105,000 Feb 23, 1990Now $455,000Peak $350,000 Jul 6, 2015
Current list price is +30% above its prior peak (listed at an all-time high) · +333% above its trough.
  • Jul 6, 2015 — Sold (MLS) $350,000
  • Jul 3, 2015 — Sold (MLS) $350,000
  • Jul 2, 2015 — Sold (Public Records) $350,000
  • Jun 10, 2015 — Listed $309,000
  • Jun 10, 2015 — Listed $309,000
  • May 31, 2005 — Sold (MLS) $330,000

Description

Ground floor unit with a large private patio, Move-In ready, New Floor, New Paint, New Refrigerator, New Range, New Rangehood, New light fixtures, New bathroom, New toilet, New Shower Doors, New mirror, New faucets, Washer and Dryer in unit, Carport #C7, No Rental Restrictions, Top-rated schools, including James Leitch & Warm Springs Elementary, and the prestigious Irvington High School District. Minutes from Tesla, with effortless access to both I-680 and I-880. Step outside to find yourself walking distance to community parks, diverse dining, supermarkets, banks, and the post office.

310 Hackamore Ln — condo for sale in Warm Springs, Fremont
28Overpriced
310 Hackamore Ln
$445,000
1 bd · 1 ba · 655 sqft · $679/sf
HOA $623/mo · 87d · ~at market (+3%)
⚖️ Adjusted valueOverpricedasking is +18% over fair value
Model fair value · 99 sold comps · ±8%$403,451
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location+10%
Condition · Dated: oak cabinets, white range+5%
Price history · at/near its all-time high+3%
📐 How this Deal Score was built28Overpriced
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history−21.6
HOA burden · $623/mo = 1.68%/yr of price vs a 1.34% norm−2.7
Days on market · 87 days — it has sat, so you have leverage+3
Raw advantage · the three above, combined−21.3
Model confidence · strong — ±8% typical model error across 99 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×1
Deal Score28/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

✅ Positives
  • On market 87 days → some leverage
  • In-unit W/D
⚠️ Cons
  • 10% above model fair value
  • HOA $623/mo
  • Photos look dim — verify light in person
🚩 Red flags

Price history (this unit)

Trough $71,000 Jun 2, 1987Now $445,000Peak $445,000 Jun 1, 2026
Current list price is 0% below its peak · +527% above its trough.
  • Jun 1, 2026 — Listed $445,000
  • Jun 1, 2026 — Listed $445,000
  • Oct 2, 1997 — Sold (Public Records) $113,000
  • Jun 29, 1989 — Sold (Public Records) $94,000
  • Jun 2, 1987 — Sold (Public Records) $71,000

Description

Enjoy the ease of ground-floor living and a location that places everything within reach. Conveniently situated near I-880, I-680, BART, parks, lakes, shopping centers, grocery stores, restaurants, banks, and the library, this home offers outstanding accessibility for commuters and everyday living. Located within a highly regarded school district, it provides both comfort and long-term value. Whether you're a first-time homebuyer, downsizing, or seeking an investment property, this move-in-ready home offers an ideal blend of indoor comfort and outdoor living in one of Fremont's most desirable…

47112 Warm Springs Blvd #313 — condo for sale in Warm Springs, Fremont
27Overpriced
47112 Warm Springs Blvd #313
$649,000
2 bd · 1 ba · 970 sqft · $669/sf
HOA $515/mo · Fl 3 · 10d · ~at market (-2%)
⚖️ Adjusted valueOverpricedasking is +18% over fair value
Model fair value · 33 sold comps · ±8%$576,316
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location+13%
Condition · Avg / verify in person0
Price history · at/near its all-time high+5%
📐 How this Deal Score was built27Overpriced
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history−21.6
HOA burden · $515/mo = 0.95%/yr of price vs a 1.34% norm — at or below normal, no charge0
Days on market · 10 days — not long enough to give you leverage0
Raw advantage · the three above, combined−21.6
Model confidence · strong — ±8% typical model error across 33 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×1
Deal Score27/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

✅ Positives
  • Upper floor (fl 3)
  • In-unit W/D
  • Garage parking
  • Low HOA (1%/yr)
⚠️ Cons
  • 13% above model fair value
  • Only 1 bath
🚩 Red flags

Price history (this unit)

Trough $128,000 May 29, 1991Now $649,000Peak $607,000 Aug 6, 2021
Current list price is +7% above its prior peak (listed at an all-time high) · +407% above its trough.
  • Jun 28, 2022 — Price Changed $2,300
  • Aug 6, 2021 — Sold (MLS) $607,000
  • Aug 6, 2021 — Sold (Public Records) $607,000
  • Apr 23, 2021 — Listed $600,000
  • Oct 5, 2012 — Sold (Public Records) $184,000
  • Feb 26, 2002 — Sold (MLS) $246,000

Description

Fremont Warm Springs location! Spacious top-floor 2-bedroom end unit in a gated community with an updated kitchen featuring stainless steel appliances, new countertops, and a newer range/oven. Refrigerator is approximately 2 years old. The open and spacious living room offers plenty of natural light, complemented by double-pane windows throughout. The updated bathroom features a new mirror and a cabinet approximately 1 year old. The spacious primary bedroom includes an extra-large walk-in closet. Additional highlights include 1 detached garage and 1 covered carport. Enjoy community amenities…

3418 Inspiration Way #403 — condo for sale in Warm Springs, Fremont
26Overpriced
3418 Inspiration Way #403
$1,080,000
2 bd · 2 ba · 1,335 sqft · $809/sf
HOA $662/mo · Fl 4 · 36d · 29% above mkt
⚖️ Adjusted valueOverpricedasking is +19% over fair value
Model fair value · 99 sold comps · ±8%$906,529
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location+19%
Condition · Avg / verify in person0
Price history · limited sale history0
📐 How this Deal Score was built26Overpriced
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history−22.8
HOA burden · $662/mo = 0.74%/yr of price vs a 1.34% norm — at or below normal, no charge0
Days on market · 36 days — not long enough to give you leverage0
Raw advantage · the three above, combined−22.8
Model confidence · strong — ±8% typical model error across 99 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×1
Deal Score26/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

✅ Positives
  • Upper floor (fl 4)
  • Low HOA (0.7%/yr)
  • Newer build (2023)
⚠️ Cons
  • 19% above model fair value
  • HOA $662/mo
🚩 Red flags

Price history (this unit)

Description

Welcome to this nearly new Toll Brothers luxury condo offering the sought-after Ashfield floor plan with 2 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, approximately 1,335 square feet of single-level living, and a premium top-floor location with no neighbors above. Soaring ceilings and abundant natural light complement the open living spaces, while the chef's kitchen features a large center island with a breakfast bar, quartz countertops and backsplash, upgraded cabinetry, a Sub-Zero built-in refrigerator, and JennAir appliances. The spacious primary suite includes dual vanities, a walk-in shower, and elegant…

1748 Kilowatt Way #401 — condo for sale in Warm Springs, Fremont
24Overpriced
1748 Kilowatt Way #401
$1,549,999
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,135 sqft · $726/sf
HOA $770/mo · Fl 4 · 16d · ~at market (+7%)
⚖️ Adjusted valueOverpricedasking is +21% over fair value
Model fair value · 99 sold comps · ±8%$1,276,517
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location+21%
Condition · Avg / verify in person0
Price history · at/near its all-time high0
📐 How this Deal Score was built24Overpriced
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history−25.2
HOA burden · $770/mo = 0.6%/yr of price vs a 1.34% norm — at or below normal, no charge0
Days on market · 16 days — not long enough to give you leverage0
Raw advantage · the three above, combined−25.2
Model confidence · strong — ±8% typical model error across 99 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×1
Deal Score24/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

✅ Positives
  • Upper floor (fl 4)
  • In-unit W/D
  • Garage parking
  • Low HOA (0.6%/yr)
⚠️ Cons
  • 21% above model fair value
  • HOA $770/mo
🚩 Red flags

Price history (this unit)

Only one sale-price event on record ($1,549,999 on Aug 11, 2026).
  • Aug 11, 2026 — Listed $1,549,999
  • Aug 11, 2026 — Listed $1,549,999

Description

A beautiful stunning penthouse in a resort style community! With vaulted ceilings and two separate outdoor spaces, this corner unit penthouse provides plenty of space to enjoy! Occupying the top 4th and 5th floors of the building, this home had abundance of natural light coming through soaring high ceiling and row of large windows. No neighbor above you in this top floor penthouse. Amazing condo entrance with spacious living spaces with large center island, spacious counter top in the kitchen with HQ appliances. Tastefully upgraded Cabinets, Flooring, Countertops, Backsplash, Stair Rails,…

ZIP codes in Warm Springs

94538 (30)94539 (24)

Other Fremont neighborhoods

Centerville (16)Cherry-Guardino (14)Central Fremont (10)Irvington (7)Mission San Jose (1)Ardenwood (5)