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Stealpad › Fremont, CA › Warm Springs › 45258 Tom Blalock St #108
45258 Tom Blalock St #108 — 2 bd condo for sale in Warm Springs, Fremont
47Fair price

45258 Tom Blalock St #108

Warm Springs, Fremont, CA · 94539
$899,000 ~at market (+2%)
2 bd · 2 ba · 1,265 sqft · $711/sf
HOA $795/mo · 🏢 fee history ↓ · Floor 1 · 12 days on market · built 2020
⚖️ Adjusted valueFairly pricedasking is +2% over fair value
Model fair value · 30 sold comps · ±8%$884,975
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location+2%
Condition · Avg / verify in person0
Price history · limited sale history0
📐 How this Deal Score was built47Fair price
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history−2.4
HOA burden · $795/mo = 1.06%/yr of price vs a 1.33% norm — at or below normal, no charge0
Days on market · 12 days — not long enough to give you leverage0
Raw advantage · the three above, combined−2.4
Model confidence · strong — ±8% typical model error across 30 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×1
Deal Score47/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

💵What this unit actually costs per month

$6,799/mo all-in
20% down at 7.4% (this week's 30-year average) · mortgage + tax + insurance + HOA
Mortgage principal & interest$4,980
Property tax (1.30% effective)$974
Insurance (estimate)$50
HOA dues$795
Total monthly$6,799
Rough cash to close$202,275

27% of that payment is not the mortgage. The HOA fee alone is $47,700 over five years — money that buys you no equity. A calculator that defaulted the fee to zero would have quoted you $6,004.

Financing type

Not FHA-approved. No 3.5%-down FHA financing on this unit, so the realistic floor is a 5%-down conventional loan ($44,950). Common for small associations and not a defect on its own, but it does remove FHA buyers from your resale pool.

Minimum realistic down payment here: 5% · verify on HUD's lookup

Rate is the Freddie Mac PMMS 30-year average for the week of 2026-10-08 — a national survey figure, not a quote. Tax, insurance and closing costs are estimates; your own Loan Estimate is the real number.

This building's HOA fees

🚩 Rising fast · +6.7%/yr

Reconstructed from 8 units of recorded sales at 45258 Tom Blalock St — every recorded sale carries its HOA fee and date. No listing site shows this.

$6422023$7302024$7802025$7802026
$780/mo · 2026
+21% since 2023

These dues climbed 21% in 3 years — about +6.7%/yr across 8 units of recorded sales, well above inflation. A rise this steep is a leading signal of a special assessment, a drained reserve fund, or an insurance shock. The listing never shows it; the building's documents are where the "why" lives.

🏢 Get this building's full reserve & assessment report — free →
✅ Positives
  • Low HOA (1.1%/yr)
  • Newer build (2020)
⚠️ Cons
  • HOA $795/mo
  • Ground floor
🚩 Red flags
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Photos

Price history (this unit)

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Description

Designed for everyday enjoyment and effortless living, this beautifully designed corner-unit home offers the convenience of single-story living complemented by impressive 10-foot ceilings and a bright, open-concept floor plan. The spacious main living area is ideal for both relaxing and entertaining, seamlessly connecting to a thoughtfully designed chef's kitchen featuring a generous breakfast bar, abundant storage, and warm, timeless cabinetry extending to the ceiling for a refined and elevated finish. The impressive primary suite provides a private retreat with a well-appointed en-suite bathroom featuring dual sinks, a spacious shower stall, an enclosed water closet, and a generous…

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