The Steal Index
The Bay Area condos priced furthest below what comparable units actually sold for — ranked by Deal Score, not by sticker price.
Top 3 right now
85Great deal
22 Appleton Ave San Francisco
$899,000 43% below mkt
83Great deal
1045 Stanford Ave #2 Temescal, Oakland
$399,000 34% below mkt
80Great deal
1451 13th St #1 West Oakland, Oakland
$315,000 40% below mkt
Every listing is scored against recent sold comps for its own city and size, then adjusted for HOA, condition and days on market.
Live ranking · 751 condos scored · 78 below market · updated twice daily · free to cite
78
condos priced below market right now
20%
the typical steal sits below sold comps
751
condos scored across 8 cities
10%
of all listings clear the below-market bar
Top 30 underpriced condos
Ranked by Deal Score. "vs sold comps" is how far the asking price sits below comparable recent sales — the discount trimmed to a believable band so a bad comp can't fake a headline.
| # | Condo | Price | Size | $/sqft | vs sold comps | HOA | Deal Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 Appleton Ave San Francisco | $899,000 | 3bd/2ba | $589 | 43% below | 85 | |
| 2 | 1045 Stanford Ave #2 Oakland · Temescal | $399,000 | 2bd/1ba | $321 | 34% below | $200 | 83 |
| 3 | 1451 13th St #1 Oakland · West Oakland | $315,000 | 1bd/1.5ba | $355 | 40% below | $685 | 80 |
| 4 | 30 Quickstep Ln #2 San Francisco | $520,000 | 2bd/1ba | $612 | 39% below | $1,152 | 79 |
| 5 | 631 Ofarrell St #402 San Francisco | $525,000 | 1bd/1ba | $556 | 43% below | $1,255 | 79 |
| 6 | 255 14th St San Francisco | $899,000 | 3bd/2ba | $659 | 31% below | $350 | 79 |
| 7 | 10401 Shaw St #401 Oakland · Fruitvale | $299,000 | 2bd/1.5ba | $292 | 33% below | $495 | 78 |
| 8 | 1545 23rd Ave Oakland · Fruitvale | $300,000 | 3bd/2ba | $335 | 41% below | $395 | 78 |
| 9 | 1315 A St #203 Hayward · Hayward | $379,900 | 2bd/2ba | $360 | 25% below | $499 | 78 |
| 10 | 77 Fairmount Ave #220 Oakland · Adams Point | $389,000 | 2bd/2ba | $334 | 32% below | $846 | 78 |
| 11 | 722 Kino Ct #3 Hayward · Hayward | $399,888 | 2bd/2ba | $374 | 21% below | $435 | 78 |
| 12 | 3824 39th Ave Unit C Oakland · Glenview | $395,000 | 2bd/2.5ba | $372 | 22% below | $450 | 76 |
| 13 | 7 Embarcadero #312 Oakland · Chinatown | $399,000 | 2bd/1.5ba | $380 | 33% below | $866 | 76 |
| 14 | 1314 4th St Berkeley · Berkeley | $429,900 | 1bd/1ba | $567 | 24% below | $368 | 76 |
| 15 | 750 Van Ness Ave #402 San Francisco | $299,000 | 1bd/1ba | $753 | 36% below | $753 | 75 |
| 16 | 964 Potrero Ave San Francisco | $585,000 | 1bd/1ba | $780 | 23% below | $175 | 75 |
| 17 | 455 Crescent St #202 Oakland · Grand Lake | $225,000 | 1bd/1ba | $293 | 38% below | $653 | 74 |
| 18 | 1901 Parker St #3 Berkeley · South Berkeley | $520,000 | 2bd/1ba | $681 | 20% below | $495 | 73 |
| 19 | 1201 Pine St #315 Oakland · West Oakland | $550,000 | 2bd/2.5ba | $290 | 29% below | $638 | 73 |
| 20 | 2725 Prince St #10 Berkeley · Elmwood | $564,000 | 2bd/1ba | $727 | 19% below | $530 | 72 |
| 21 | 5400 Mountain Blvd #340 Oakland · Fruitvale | $410,000 | 2bd/2ba | $423 | 24% below | $504 | 71 |
| 22 | 555 Innes Ave #313 San Francisco · Hunters Point | $680,000 | 2bd/2ba | $588 | 28% below | $717 | 71 |
| 23 | 1263 Oak St #5 San Francisco | $699,000 | 2bd/1ba | $878 | 21% below | $500 | 71 |
| 24 | 803 Maybeck Pl Hayward · Hayward | $940,000 | 4bd/4ba | $451 | 11% below | $390 | 71 |
| 25 | 3528 17th St San Francisco | $1,295,000 | 3bd/1ba | $799 | 21% below | 71 | |
| 26 | 260 Industrial Pkwy #47 Hayward · Hayward | $325,000 | 2bd/1.5ba | $341 | 20% below | $545 | 70 |
| 27 | 2 Mint Plz #408 San Francisco | $545,000 | 1bd/1ba | $737 | 27% below | $1,106 | 70 |
| 28 | 74 Brady St #7 San Francisco | $900,000 | 1bd/1.5ba | $623 | 19% below | $770 | 70 |
| 29 | 850 W Grand Ave #14 Oakland · Uptown | $479,000 | 1bd/2ba | $304 | 22% below | $749 | 69 |
| 30 | 5301 Mission St #1 San Francisco · Crocker Amazon | $699,999 | 3bd/2ba | $701 | 22% below | $488 | 69 |
Neighborhoods with the biggest below-comp gap
Where condos are priced furthest below comparable sold prices, by median across all current listings (real neighborhoods with 5+ listings).
| # | Neighborhood | City | Listings | Below market | Median vs comps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Francisco | San Francisco | 7 | 1 | 8% below |
| 2 | Adams Point | Oakland | 14 | 4 | 4% below |
| 3 | Chinatown | Oakland | 9 | 1 | 2% below |
| 4 | Alameda Landing | Alameda | 5 | 1 | 2% below |
📌 Cite this data (free — a link is all we ask)
78 Bay Area condos are currently priced below comparable recent sales — the typical one 20% under market, Stealpad (Oct 11, 2026).
Click to copy the HTML with source link →
Source: <a href="https://stealpad.com/steal-index/">Stealpad</a> — 78 Bay Area condos are currently priced below comparable recent sales — the typical one 20% under market. Oct 11, 2026.Methodology
- Deal Score. Each condo's price is compared to recent sold comps for the same city and bedroom count, then adjusted for HOA, condition, price history and days on market. 0–100; higher = better deal.
- Below market means the adjusted price clears the model's error band — genuinely under comparable sales, not merely a low sticker.
- Outlier guard. The ranked table shows only discounts in a believable −5% to −45% band, so a single mispriced comp can't produce a fake "70% off". The headline "typical" figure is a median, not a max.
- Cadence. Re-scraped and re-scored twice daily; a unit leaves the index the moment it sells or reprices.
- Not advice. A low price can reflect real problems. Always read the disclosures — and the building's HOA. Free HOA check →
Keep going
🏢The HOA Fee ReportWhere Bay Area condo dues are rising fastest — and why it matters.⚖️Which mortgage quote is cheapest?Rank real Loan Estimates by true cost and find the break-even.🏠What would the payment be?True monthly cost with the HOA fee actually recorded for the city.📊All Bay Area condo dataPrices, $/sqft and HOA fees by city — one reference page.
Frequently asked
What is the most underpriced condo in the Bay Area right now?
As of Oct 11, 2026, the highest Deal Score belongs to 22 Appleton Ave in San Francisco — asking $899,000, about 43% below what comparable units recently sold for. The full ranking updates twice a day.
How does Stealpad decide a condo is underpriced?
Every for-sale condo gets a 0–100 Deal Score: its price is compared to recent sold comps for the same city and bedroom count, then adjusted for HOA, condition, price history and days on market. "Below market" means it clears the model's error band, not just that it's cheap.
Which Bay Area neighborhood has the best condo deals?
Right now San Francisco in San Francisco shows the biggest gap — its condos are a median 8% below comparable sold prices across 7 listings, 1 of them below market.
How often is the Steal Index updated?
Twice daily. Stealpad re-scrapes active listings and recomputes every Deal Score against the latest sold comps, so a condo drops off the moment it sells or reprices.