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The Steal Index

Name: Bay Area Underpriced Condo Index
Creator: Stealpad

The Bay Area condos priced furthest below what comparable units actually sold for — ranked by Deal Score, not by sticker price. Every listing is scored against recent sold comps for its own city and size, then adjusted for HOA, condition and days on market.

Live ranking · 759 condos scored · 248 below market · updated twice daily · free to cite

248

condos priced below market right now

18%

the typical steal sits below sold comps

759

condos scored across 8 cities

33%

of all listings clear the below-market bar

Top 30 underpriced condos

Ranked by Deal Score. "vs sold comps" is how far the asking price sits below comparable recent sales — the discount trimmed to a believable band so a bad comp can't fake a headline.

#	Condo	Price	Size	$/sqft	vs sold comps	HOA	Deal Score
1	750 Van Ness Ave #204 San Francisco	$199,000	Studio/1ba	$504	44% below	$755	100
2	10401 Shaw Oakland · Fruitvale	$299,000	2bd/1.5ba	$292	39% below	$495	100
3	1451 13th St #1 Oakland · West Oakland	$299,999	1bd/1.5ba	$338	33% below	$686	100
4	1400 Mission St #212 San Francisco	$355,747	1bd/1ba	$548	44% below	$597	100
5	330 13th St Unit 1A Oakland · Downtown Oakland	$399,000	1bd/1.5ba	$308	35% below	$722	100
6	301 Crescent Ct #3101 San Francisco	$399,000	1bd/1ba	$496	30% below	$741	100
7	855 Folsom St #502 San Francisco	$405,443	1bd/1ba	$562	42% below	$912	100
8	7 Embarcadero #312 Oakland · Chinatown	$420,000	2bd/1.5ba	$400	31% below	$754	100
9	1020 Noe St San Francisco	$448,000	1bd/1ba	$700	26% below		100
10	252 International Blvd #303 Oakland · Lakeshore	$615,000	3bd/2.5ba	$423	21% below	$800	100
11	720 Gilman St Berkeley · Oceanview	$699,000	2bd/1.5ba	$439	40% below	$589	100
12	109 S Lake Merced Hls Unit 3E San Francisco · San Francisco	$759,888	2bd/2ba	$612	29% below	$1,274	100
13	1678 Wallace Ave San Francisco	$786,000	3bd/2ba	$411	35% below	$550	100
14	380 10th St #10 San Francisco	$847,000	1bd/2ba	$560	42% below	$819	100
15	1388 Gough St #601 San Francisco	$899,000	2bd/2ba	$651	35% below	$2,041	100
16	455 Crescent St #312 Oakland · Grand Lake	$204,900	1bd/1ba	$375	25% below	$622	98
17	60 Ora Way Unit H311 San Francisco	$215,000	Studio/1ba	$507	44% below	$774	98
18	631 Ofarrell St #414 San Francisco	$325,000	Studio/1ba	$625	31% below	$797	98
19	425 28th St Unit 101B Oakland · Uptown	$369,000	1bd/1.5ba	$268	43% below	$892	98
20	5410 Trask St Oakland · Fruitvale	$427,500	1bd/2ba	$333	30% below	$347	98
21	2 Admiral Dr Unit B276 Emeryville · Watergate	$279,000	1bd/1ba	$361	29% below	$712	97
22	1018 Noe St San Francisco	$1,429,000	4bd/2ba	$700	25% below		97
23	1532 Howard St San Francisco	$4,498,000	Studio	$547	27% below		97
24	395 6th St Unit BE9 San Francisco	$349,000	1bd/1ba	$571	41% below	$560	96
25	39206 Guardino Dr #207 Fremont · Cherry-Guardino	$389,000	2bd/1ba	$461	28% below	$586	96
26	1310 Fillmore St #610 San Francisco	$435,397	1bd/1ba	$588	42% below	$986	96
27	6 Mint Plz Unit 203A San Francisco	$454,539	1bd/1ba	$638	34% below	$1,093	96
28	801 Franklin St #707 Oakland · Chinatown	$265,000	1bd/1ba	$301	36% below	$606	95
29	1314 Kains Ave #4 Berkeley · Berkeley	$299,950	1bd/1ba	$550	27% below	$168	95
30	1 Embarcadero W #355 Oakland · Chinatown	$299,999	1bd/1ba	$449	9% below	$756	95

Neighborhoods with the biggest below-comp gap

Where condos are priced furthest below comparable sold prices, by median across all current listings (real neighborhoods with 5+ listings).

#	Neighborhood	City	Listings	Below market	Median vs comps
1	Watergate	Emeryville	5	3	7% below
2	Lake Merritt	Oakland	8	4	6% below
3	Berkeley	Berkeley	12	6	6% below
4	West Oakland	Oakland	16	5	5% below
5	San Francisco	San Francisco	23	10	2% below

📌 Cite this data (free — a link is all we ask)

248 Bay Area condos are currently priced below comparable recent sales — the typical one 18% under market, Stealpad (Jul 24, 2026).

Click to copy the HTML with source link →

Source: <a href="https://stealpad.com/steal-index/">Stealpad</a> — 248 Bay Area condos are currently priced below comparable recent sales — the typical one 18% under market. Jul 24, 2026.

Methodology

Deal Score. Each condo's price is compared to recent sold comps for the same city and bedroom count, then adjusted for HOA, condition, price history and days on market. 0–100; higher = better deal.
Below market means the adjusted price clears the model's error band — genuinely under comparable sales, not merely a low sticker.
Outlier guard. The ranked table shows only discounts in a believable −5% to −45% band, so a single mispriced comp can't produce a fake "70% off". The headline "typical" figure is a median, not a max.
Cadence. Re-scraped and re-scored twice daily; a unit leaves the index the moment it sells or reprices.
Not advice. A low price can reflect real problems. Always read the disclosures — and the building's HOA. Free HOA check →

Keep going

🏢The HOA Fee ReportWhere Bay Area condo dues are rising fastest — and why it matters.📊All Bay Area condo dataPrices, $/sqft and HOA fees by city — one reference page.🏠Browse by neighborhoodEvery scored condo, filterable by city, size, price and HOA.

Frequently asked

What is the most underpriced condo in the Bay Area right now?

As of Jul 24, 2026, the highest Deal Score belongs to 750 Van Ness Ave #204 in San Francisco — asking $199,000, about 44% below what comparable units recently sold for. The full ranking updates twice a day.

How does Stealpad decide a condo is underpriced?

Every for-sale condo gets a 0–100 Deal Score: its price is compared to recent sold comps for the same city and bedroom count, then adjusted for HOA, condition, price history and days on market. "Below market" means it clears the model's error band, not just that it's cheap.

Which Bay Area neighborhood has the best condo deals?

Right now Watergate in Emeryville shows the biggest gap — its condos are a median 7% below comparable sold prices across 5 listings, 3 of them below market.

How often is the Steal Index updated?

Twice daily. Stealpad re-scrapes active listings and recomputes every Deal Score against the latest sold comps, so a condo drops off the moment it sells or reprices.