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Condo steals in Ardenwood, Fremont

5 condos for sale in Ardenwood ($699,000–$1,160,000), each given a Deal Score vs. recent Fremont sold comps. 0 are priced below market — sorted best deal first.

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3875 Parasol Cmn — condo for sale in Ardenwood, Fremont
53Fair price
3875 Parasol Cmn
$999,000
2 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,338 sqft · $747/sf
HOA $220/mo · 1d · 19% above mkt
⚖️ Adjusted valueFairly pricedasking is 2% under fair value
Model fair value · 99 sold comps · ±8%$1,002,150
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location0
Condition · Avg / verify in person0
Price history · ≈21% below its peak−2%
📐 How this Deal Score was built53Fair price
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history+2.4
HOA burden · $220/mo = 0.26%/yr of price vs a 1.34% norm — at or below normal, no charge0
Days on market · 1 days — not long enough to give you leverage0
Raw advantage · the three above, combined+2.4
Model confidence · strong — ±8% typical model error across 99 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×1
Deal Score53/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

✅ Positives
  • Garage parking
  • Low HOA (0.3%/yr)
  • Newer build (2017)
⚠️ Cons
  • Photos look dim — verify light in person
🚩 Red flags
  • Listed BELOW its 2022 sale ($1270k) → value eroding

Price history (this unit)

Trough $998,000 Apr 7, 2022Now $999,000Peak $1,270,000 May 6, 2022
Current list price is 21% below its peak · +0% above its trough.
  • Aug 26, 2026 — Listed $999,000
  • Aug 26, 2026 — Listed $999,000
  • May 6, 2022 — Sold (MLS) $1,270,000
  • May 6, 2022 — Sold (MLS) $1,270,000
  • May 6, 2022 — Sold (Public Records) $1,270,000
  • Apr 7, 2022 — Listed $998,000

Description

Positioned as a desirable corner residence, Parasol Common is filled with natural light from multiple exposures, creating a bright and inviting living experience. Built in 2017, this contemporary home offers an open-concept layout, spacious bedrooms, and an attached side-by-side two-car garage with valuable flex space for storage, a home gym, or hobbies. Located in Fremont's sought-after Northgate neighborhood, residents enjoy convenient access to parks, shopping, dining, major commute routes, and top-rated schools. A rare combination of light, privacy, and everyday versatility.

5246 Tacoma Cmn — condo for sale in Ardenwood, Fremont
37Priced high
5246 Tacoma Cmn
$775,000
2 bd · 2 ba · 1,050 sqft · $738/sf
HOA $375/mo · 146d · 17% above mkt
⏳ Sitting — leverage
⚖️ Adjusted valueOverpricedasking is +21% over fair value
Model fair value · 1 sold comps · ±8%$671,547
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location+15%
Condition · Dated: carpet, popcorn ceilings+6%
Price history · ≈13% below its peak0
📐 How this Deal Score was built37Priced high
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history−25.2
HOA burden · $375/mo = 0.58%/yr of price vs a 1.34% norm — at or below normal, no charge0
Days on market · 146 days — it has sat, so you have leverage+6
Raw advantage · the three above, combined−19.2
Model confidence · weak — ±8% typical model error across 1 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×0.6
Deal Score37/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

✅ Positives
  • On market 146 days → strong negotiating leverage
  • In-unit W/D
  • Garage parking
  • Low HOA (0.6%/yr)
⚠️ Cons
  • 15% above model fair value
  • Photos look dim — verify light in person
🚩 Red flags
  • Still cutting price ($888k→$849k→$829k→$800k→$775k)

Price history (this unit)

Trough $139,500 Mar 1, 1989Now $775,000Peak $888,000 Apr 3, 2026
Current list price is 13% below its peak · +456% above its trough.
  • Jul 13, 2026 — Price Changed $775,000
  • Jun 17, 2026 — Price Changed $800,000
  • May 4, 2026 — Price Changed $829,000
  • Apr 13, 2026 — Price Changed $849,000
  • Apr 3, 2026 — Listed $888,000
  • Feb 21, 2001 — Sold (MLS) $355,000

Description

HUGE PRICE REDUCTION ! Now offered at $775,000 - an incredible opportunity you won't want to miss. Might credit Buyer $25K towards Buyer Closing Costs on acceptable offer. Experience the perfect blend of comfort and style in this lovely, spacious residence. 2 Bedrooms 2 Baths in the Ardenwood neighborhood area. Brand new carpet in the entire house. Master BR with ample storage area. Unit overlooks the nice serene forest area from the spacious balcony. High ceilings with crown medallion molding. Bright and airy. Dual pane windows with plantation shutters. in the Living area. Recessed lights…

6139 Capriana Cmn — condo for sale in Ardenwood, Fremont
31Overpriced
6139 Capriana Cmn
$1,160,000
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,514 sqft · $766/sf
HOA $300/mo · 42d · 17% above mkt
⚖️ Adjusted valueOverpricedasking is +25% over fair value
Model fair value · 2 sold comps · ±8%$957,548
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location+21%
Condition · Avg / verify in person0
Price history · at/near its all-time high+4%
📐 How this Deal Score was built31Overpriced
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history−30
HOA burden · $300/mo = 0.31%/yr of price vs a 1.34% norm — at or below normal, no charge0
Days on market · 42 days — not long enough to give you leverage0
Raw advantage · the three above, combined−30
Model confidence · weak — ±8% typical model error across 2 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×0.6
Deal Score31/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

✅ Positives
  • In-unit W/D
  • Garage parking
  • Low HOA (0.3%/yr)
⚠️ Cons
  • 21% above model fair value
🚩 Red flags

Price history (this unit)

Trough $404,950 Dec 8, 2001Now $1,160,000Peak $1,100,000 Jul 16, 2026
Current list price is +5% above its prior peak (listed at an all-time high) · +186% above its trough.
  • Jul 16, 2026 — Listed $1,100,000
  • Jan 30, 2002 — Sold (MLS) $410,100
  • Dec 8, 2001 — Listed $404,950

Description

Welcome to 6139 Capriana Common, a beautifully designed townhome-style condo nestled in the coveted Ardenwood neighborhood in Fremont. With 3 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, and 1,514 square feet of thoughtfully crafted living space, this home offers a perfect balance of comfort and convenience. Stepping through the gated front entry, you are greeted by a serene patio that beckons you to unwind. Inside, the bright living room boasts soaring ceilings and a cozy fireplace, creating an inviting space to relax or entertain. A formal dining area flows seamlessly into the kitchen, which opens to a private…

34598 Pueblo Ter — condo for sale in Ardenwood, Fremont
28Overpriced
34598 Pueblo Ter
$725,000
2 bd · 2 ba · 918 sqft · $790/sf
HOA $505/mo · 125d · 26% above mkt
⏳ Sitting — leverage
⚖️ Adjusted valueOverpricedasking is +22% over fair value
Model fair value · 99 sold comps · ±8%$589,575
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location+23%
Condition · Updated: light floors, white kitchen0
Price history · ≈18% below its peak−1%
📐 How this Deal Score was built28Overpriced
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history−26.4
HOA burden · $505/mo = 0.84%/yr of price vs a 1.34% norm — at or below normal, no charge0
Days on market · 125 days — it has sat, so you have leverage+6
Raw advantage · the three above, combined−20.4
Model confidence · strong — ±8% typical model error across 99 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×1
Deal Score28/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

✅ Positives
  • On market 125 days → strong negotiating leverage
  • Garage parking
  • Low HOA (0.8%/yr)
⚠️ Cons
  • 23% above model fair value
🚩 Red flags
  • Listed BELOW its 2022 sale ($880k) → value eroding

Price history (this unit)

Trough $111,000 Dec 4, 1987Now $725,000Peak $880,000 Mar 29, 2022
Current list price is 18% below its peak · +553% above its trough.
  • Jun 4, 2026 — Price Changed $725,000
  • Jun 4, 2026 — Price Changed $725,000
  • Apr 24, 2026 — Listed $750,000
  • Apr 24, 2026 — Listed $750,000
  • Mar 29, 2022 — Sold (MLS) $880,000
  • Mar 29, 2022 — Sold (Public Records) $880,000

Description

Gorgeous remodeled ground-floor condo in the highly sought-after Ardenwood neighborhood! Ideal for first-time buyers or investors, with no rental restrictions offering flexibility and long-term potential. This move-in-ready 2-bed, 2-bath home is filled with natural light and features a spacious primary suite with walk-in closet and bathrooms upgraded with bidets. Over the past 4 years, more than $50,000 has gone into thoughtful upgrades, including a beautifully enhanced backyard with pavers and a transferable warranty, custom closets in all bedrooms and the garage, updated appliances with an…

5029 Shalimar Cir — condo for sale in Ardenwood, Fremont
27Overpriced
5029 Shalimar Cir
$699,000
2 bd · 2 ba · 934 sqft · $748/sf
HOA $346/mo · 47d · 19% above mkt
⚖️ Adjusted valueOverpricedasking is +18% over fair value
Model fair value · 99 sold comps · ±8%$613,871
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location+14%
Condition · Freshened: paint, floors; dated feats+2%
Price history · ≈5% below its peak+2%
📐 How this Deal Score was built27Overpriced
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history−21.6
HOA burden · $346/mo = 0.59%/yr of price vs a 1.34% norm — at or below normal, no charge0
Days on market · 47 days — not long enough to give you leverage0
Raw advantage · the three above, combined−21.6
Model confidence · strong — ±8% typical model error across 99 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×1
Deal Score27/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

✅ Positives
  • On market 47 days → some leverage
  • Garage parking
  • Low HOA (0.6%/yr)
⚠️ Cons
  • 14% above model fair value
🚩 Red flags

Price history (this unit)

Trough $106,500 Aug 26, 1987Now $699,000Peak $739,000 Jul 11, 2026
Current list price is 5% below its peak · +556% above its trough.
  • Jul 11, 2026 — Listed $739,000
  • Jul 11, 2026 — Listed $739,000
  • Jan 11, 2010 — Sold (MLS) $303,000
  • Jan 7, 2010 — Sold (Public Records) $303,000
  • May 25, 2009 — Listed $280,000
  • Apr 20, 2007 — Sold (Public Records) $455,000

Description

Welcome to your new home in the highly sought-after Ardenwood neighborhood of Fremont! This move-in ready ground floor condo offers 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms within 934 square feet of comfortable living space. Step inside to find a bright and spacious living room, complete with a cozy fireplace perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The kitchen is well-equipped, new countertops, and the convenience of in-unit laundry with a washer and dryer adds to the ease of daily living. You'll appreciate the secure parking provided by the included 1-car garage and 1 assigned space 163. The community is…

ZIP codes in Ardenwood

94555 (5)

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