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Stealpad › Fremont, CA › Ardenwood › 4943 Conway Ter
4943 Conway Ter — 2 bd condo for sale in Ardenwood, Fremont
19Overpriced

4943 Conway Ter

Ardenwood, Fremont, CA · 94555
$729,000 26% above mkt
2 bd · 2 ba · 918 sqft · $794/sf
HOA $505/mo · 🏢 fee history ↓ · 25 days on market · built 1989
⚖️ Adjusted valueOverpricedasking is +26% over fair value
Model fair value · 97 sold comps · ±8%$586,287
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location+24%
Condition · Avg / verify in person0
Price history · ≈5% below its peak+2%
📐 How this Deal Score was built19Overpriced
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history−31.2
HOA burden · $505/mo = 0.83%/yr of price vs a 1.33% norm — at or below normal, no charge0
Days on market · 25 days — not long enough to give you leverage0
Raw advantage · the three above, combined−31.2
Model confidence · strong — ±8% typical model error across 97 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×1
Deal Score19/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

💵What this unit actually costs per month

$5,383/mo all-in
20% down at 7.4% (this week's 30-year average) · mortgage + tax + insurance + HOA
Mortgage principal & interest$4,038
Property tax (1.30% effective)$790
Insurance (estimate)$50
HOA dues$505
Total monthly$5,383
Rough cash to close$164,025

25% of that payment is not the mortgage. The HOA fee alone is $30,300 over five years — money that buys you no equity. A calculator that defaulted the fee to zero would have quoted you $4,878.

Financing type

Not FHA-approved. No 3.5%-down FHA financing on this unit, so the realistic floor is a 5%-down conventional loan ($36,450). Common for small associations and not a defect on its own, but it does remove FHA buyers from your resale pool.

Minimum realistic down payment here: 5% · verify on HUD's lookup

Rate is the Freddie Mac PMMS 30-year average for the week of 2026-10-08 — a national survey figure, not a quote. Tax, insurance and closing costs are estimates; your own Loan Estimate is the real number.

This building's HOA fees

2 recorded points

Reconstructed from 1 unit of recorded sales at 4943 Conway Ter — every recorded sale carries its HOA fee and date. No listing site shows this.

$4052022$5052026
$505/mo · 2026
+25% since 2022

We have a few recorded HOA fees for this building but not yet enough to call a reliable trend, so these are the raw points — no rate implied. Its documents fill in the reserve health and assessment risk.

🏢 Get this building's full reserve & assessment report — free →
✅ Positives
  • Garage parking
  • Low HOA (0.8%/yr)
⚠️ Cons
  • 24% above model fair value
🚩 Red flags
  • Listed BELOW its 2022 sale ($769k) → value eroding

Photos

Price history (this unit)

Trough $114,000 May 24, 1988Now $729,000Peak $769,000 Sep 15, 2022
Current list price is 5% below its peak · +539% above its trough.
  • Sep 16, 2026 — Listed $729,000
  • Sep 16, 2026 — Listed $729,000
  • Sep 15, 2022 — Sold (MLS) $769,000
  • Sep 15, 2022 — Sold (Public Records) $769,000
  • Aug 11, 2022 — Listed $769,000
  • Jun 22, 2001 — Sold (MLS) $313,000

Description

Located in a peaceful, well-maintained community in the highly sought-after Ardenwood neighborhood, this bright and inviting ground-floor condo feels like home the moment you step inside. The open, comfortable floor plan features new laminate flooring, a freshly painted interior and recently updated kitchen appliances, heating system and water heater, creating a warm, modern feel throughout. The home has been well-maintained and thoughtfully upgraded over the years. The spacious living area is ideal for relaxing or entertaining and opens to a cozy private backyard, perfect for outdoor enjoyment, while an attached one-car garage and a reserved parking space add everyday convenience. Enjoy a…

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