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Condo steals in Grand Lake, Oakland

6 condos for sale in Grand Lake ($204,900–$479,000), each given a Deal Score vs. recent Oakland sold comps. 2 are priced below market — sorted best deal first.

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811 York St #237 — condo for sale in Grand Lake, Oakland
71Good value
811 York St #237
$249,000
1 bd · 1 ba · 652 sqft · $382/sf
HOA $475/mo · Fl 2 · 88d · 22% below mkt
⚖️ Adjusted valueUndervaluedasking is 24% under fair value
Model fair value · 4 sold comps · ±13%$328,991
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location−24%
Condition · Interior not shown — verify0
Price history · ≈14% below its peak0
📐 How this Deal Score was built71Good value
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history+28.8
HOA burden · $475/mo = 2.29%/yr of price vs a 1.34% norm−7.6
Days on market · 88 days — it has sat, so you have leverage+3
Raw advantage · the three above, combined+24.2
Model confidence · moderate — ±13% typical model error across 4 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×0.8
Deal Score71/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

✅ Positives
  • 24% below model fair value
  • On market 88 days → some leverage
  • Garage parking
⚠️ Cons
  • Photos look dim — verify light in person
🚩 Red flags
  • Still cutting price ($289k→$265k→$249k)

Price history (this unit)

Trough $110,000 Mar 21, 2000Now $249,000Peak $289,000 Apr 7, 2026
Current list price is 14% below its peak · +126% above its trough.
  • Jul 15, 2026 — Price Changed $249,000
  • May 7, 2026 — Price Changed $265,000
  • Apr 7, 2026 — Listed $289,000
  • Mar 21, 2000 — Sold (MLS) $110,000
  • Mar 1, 2000 — Listed $110,000

Description

Discover this exceptionally well-located Lakeshore condo, offering both comfort and convenience in one of the area’s most vibrant neighborhoods. Ideally situated between the lively Lakeshore Avenue and Grand Avenue districts, this home places you in the heart of a walkable community filled with charming shops, diverse restaurants, cozy cafés, banks, grocery markets, retail options, and excellent public transportation. Truly a rare and desirable location. This spacious one-bedroom, one-bathroom unit has been thoughtfully upgraded throughout. The beautifully refreshed kitchen…

455 Crescent St #312 — condo for sale in Grand Lake, Oakland
67Good value
455 Crescent St #312
$204,900
1 bd · 1 ba · 546 sqft · $375/sf
HOA $622/mo · Fl 3 · 258d · 22% below mkt
⏳ Sitting — leverage⚠️ HOA trap🛠 Dated
⚖️ Adjusted valueUndervaluedasking is 27% under fair value
Model fair value · 34 sold comps · ±13%$291,037
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location−30%
Condition · Dated (worn carpet · basic kitchen)+8%
Price history · ≈43% below its peak−5%
📐 How this Deal Score was built67Good value
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history+32.4
HOA burden · $622/mo = 3.64%/yr of price vs a 1.34% norm−18.4
Days on market · 258 days — it has sat, so you have leverage+6
Raw advantage · the three above, combined+20
Model confidence · moderate — ±13% typical model error across 34 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×0.8
Deal Score67/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

✅ Positives
  • Cheapest entry price of all 24
  • Upper floor
  • On market 204 days → motivated seller, room to negotiate
⚠️ Cons
  • Tiny (546 sf)
  • $/sf only ~at market
  • HOA $622/mo
🚩 Red flags
  • Listed BELOW its 8/2025 sale ($265k) → value eroding

Price history (this unit)

Trough $125,000 Nov 26, 2008Now $204,900Peak $361,000 Jun 7, 2019
Current list price is 43% below its peak · +64% above its trough.
  • Jul 21, 2026 — Price Changed $204,900
  • Jul 20, 2026 — Price Changed $209,900
  • Jul 8, 2026 — Price Changed $229,900
  • Jun 24, 2026 — Price Changed $239,900
  • May 6, 2026 — Price Changed $249,900
  • Mar 23, 2026 — Price Changed $269,900

Description

This one bedroom, one bath condo features 575 Sq ft living space, kitchen stone countertops, stainless-steel appliances, ceiling fan(s),and gate garage. The HOA include water, garbage, pool maintenance, common area upkeep include laundry area, and exterior landscaping. Property sold in "As Is" condition.

555 Jean St #528 — condo for sale in Grand Lake, Oakland
58Fair price
555 Jean St #528
$305,000
1 bd · 1 ba · 622 sqft · $490/sf
HOA $690/mo · Fl 5 · 22d · 11% below mkt
💎 Hidden gem
⚖️ Adjusted valueUndervaluedasking is 17% under fair value
Model fair value · 18 sold comps · ±13%$379,094
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location−20%
Condition · Avg / verify in person0
Price history · at/near its all-time high+3%
📐 How this Deal Score was built58Fair price
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history+20.4
HOA burden · $690/mo = 2.71%/yr of price vs a 1.34% norm−11
Days on market · 22 days — not long enough to give you leverage0
Raw advantage · the three above, combined+9.4
Model confidence · moderate — ±13% typical model error across 18 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×0.8
Deal Score58/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

✅ Positives
  • Cheapest of 10 tracked in Lake Merritt
  • 20% below model fair value
  • Upper floor (fl 5)
  • Garage parking
⚠️ Cons
  • HOA $690/mo
  • Older building (1971)
  • Photos look dim — verify light in person
🚩 Red flags

Price history (this unit)

Trough $65,000 Aug 11, 1998Now $305,000Peak $305,000 Aug 5, 2026
Current list price is 0% below its peak · +369% above its trough.
  • Aug 5, 2026 — Listed $305,000
  • May 8, 2025 — Rental Removed $1,695
  • May 2, 2025 — Listed for Rent $1,695
  • Mar 14, 2024 — Rental Removed $1,695
  • Feb 25, 2024 — Rental Removed $1,695
  • Feb 2, 2024 — Price Changed $1,695

Description

Welcome home to the desirable Jean Terrace community in Oakland's Lake Merritt District. A 1 bedroom, 1 bathroom, 622 sf, move in ready home offering a well designed floor plan, with the most serene neighborhood and city views. The interior of the home features a stylishly updated kitchen with granite countertops and updated appliances, complemented by engineered hardwood flooring, mirrored closet doors, and updated finishes. Community residents enjoy resort style amenities, including an in ground pool, relaxing sauna, secure gated entry and secure below building gated parking. Perfectly…

555 Jean St #319 — condo for sale in Grand Lake, Oakland
51Fair price
555 Jean St #319
$395,000
2 bd · 1 ba · 802 sqft · $493/sf
HOA $899/mo · Fl 3 · 8d · ~at market (-3%)
⚖️ Adjusted valueFairly pricedasking is 11% under fair value
Model fair value · 2 sold comps · ±13%$418,110
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location−6%
Condition · Avg / verify in person0
Price history · ≈31% below its peak−5%
📐 How this Deal Score was built51Fair price
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history+13.2
HOA burden · $899/mo = 2.73%/yr of price vs a 1.34% norm−11.1
Days on market · 8 days — not long enough to give you leverage0
Raw advantage · the three above, combined+2.1
Model confidence · weak — ±13% typical model error across 2 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×0.6
Deal Score51/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

✅ Positives
  • 31% below its 2018 peak
  • Upper floor (fl 3)
  • Garage parking
⚠️ Cons
  • HOA $899/mo
  • Only 1 bath
🚩 Red flags
  • Listed BELOW its 2019 sale ($539k) → value eroding

Price history (this unit)

Trough $80,000 Jan 27, 1987Now $395,000Peak $574,000 Oct 5, 2018
Current list price is 31% below its peak · +394% above its trough.
  • Aug 19, 2026 — Listed $395,000
  • Jan 3, 2019 — Sold (MLS) $539,000
  • Jan 3, 2019 — Sold (Public Records) $539,000
  • Oct 27, 2018 — Price Changed $539,000
  • Oct 5, 2018 — Listed $574,000
  • Feb 17, 2015 — Sold (MLS) $390,000

Description

Nestled in the desirable Rose Garden neighborhood, 555 Jean Street homes this spacious two-bedroom, one-bath condo offering privacy, convenience, and modern updates. Located on the first floor, it provides great accessibility.  This east-facing property receives great natural light and includes a spacious private patio for enjoyment. Tasteful updates to the kitchen and bathroom lend a clean, modern sensibility to the space. The thoughtful floor plan creates a seamless flow between the bedrooms, living areas, and outdoor space, making it ideal for entertaining or peaceful relaxation.…

551 Jean St #309 — condo for sale in Grand Lake, Oakland
36Priced high
551 Jean St #309
$350,000
1 bd · 1 ba · 676 sqft · $518/sf
HOA $782/mo · Fl 3 · 48d · ~at market (+6%)
⚠️ HOA trap
⚖️ Adjusted valueFairly pricedasking is +4% over fair value
Model fair value · 3 sold comps · ±13%$351,785
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location−1%
Condition · 1971 lightly updated: white cab+granite+2%
Price history · at/near its all-time high+3%
📐 How this Deal Score was built36Priced high
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history−4.8
HOA burden · $782/mo = 2.68%/yr of price vs a 1.34% norm−10.7
Days on market · 48 days — not long enough to give you leverage0
Raw advantage · the three above, combined−15.5
Model confidence · moderate — ±13% typical model error across 3 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×0.8
Deal Score36/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

✅ Positives
  • Low sticker
⚠️ Cons
  • Smallest tier (564 sf)
  • Ground floor
🚩 Red flags
  • 28% above comps on $/sf
  • HOA $690/mo
  • Ground-floor security/privacy

Price history (this unit)

Trough $76,000 Feb 1, 1990Now $350,000Peak $350,000 Jul 10, 2026
Current list price is 0% below its peak · +361% above its trough.
  • Jul 10, 2026 — Listed $350,000
  • Sep 19, 2000 — Sold (Public Records) $187,000
  • Feb 1, 1990 — Sold (Public Records) $76,000
  • Mar 25, 1988 — Sold (Public Records) $45,000

Description

Comfort, Convenience, and Location! Discover the wonderful blend of comfort, convenience, and vibrant neighborhood living in this freshly painted third-floor condominium just steps from the iconic Morcom Rose Garden. Filled with natural light, the open-concept floor plan features engineered wood flooring, an efficient all-electric kitchen with granite countertops, an expansive floor-to-ceiling hall closet, and a spacious private balcony accessed through a large dual-pane sliding door—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The thoughtfully oriented carpeted bedroom enjoys a generous…

427 Lagunitas Ave #305 — condo for sale in Grand Lake, Oakland
16Overpriced
427 Lagunitas Ave #305
$479,000
1 bd · 1 ba · 643 sqft · $745/sf
HOA $576/mo · Fl 3 · 97d · 23% above mkt
⚖️ Adjusted valueOverpricedasking is +41% over fair value
Model fair value · 3 sold comps · ±13%$345,751
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location+39%
Condition · Interior not shown — verify0
Price history · ≈3% below its peak+2%
📐 How this Deal Score was built16Overpriced
Value gap · 41% over fair value — charged up to 40%, past that it reads as a comp artifact−48
HOA burden · $576/mo = 1.44%/yr of price vs a 1.34% norm−0.8
Days on market · 97 days — it has sat, so you have leverage+3
Raw advantage · the three above, combined−45.8
Model confidence · moderate — ±13% typical model error across 3 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×0.8
Deal Score16/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

✅ Positives
  • Top floor — no one above (quiet, light)
  • Low HOA (1.4%/yr)
  • Nice glassed lobby, wood-burning fireplace + balcony
⚠️ Cons
  • Smallish (643 sf)
  • Dated common areas (carpeted corridors)
🚩 Red flags
  • WORST $/sf of all 24 (76% above comps)
  • Hero photo flagged "Digitally Altered"

Price history (this unit)

Trough $65,000 Sep 25, 1986Now $479,000Peak $495,000 Nov 3, 2017
Current list price is 3% below its peak · +637% above its trough.
  • May 22, 2026 — Listed $479,000
  • Nov 3, 2017 — Sold (Public Records) $495,000
  • Jun 23, 2015 — Sold (Public Records) $450,000
  • Aug 7, 1998 — Sold (Public Records) $75,000
  • Oct 5, 1989 — Sold (Public Records) $66,000
  • Sep 25, 1986 — Sold (Public Records) $65,000

Description

Welcome to 427 Lagunitas Avenue #305, a charming 1-bedroom, 1-bathroom condominium ideally situated in one of Oakland's most convenient locations near vibrant Lake Merritt. This inviting residence offers comfortable urban living with a private balcony, providing the perfect space to enjoy your morning coffee, unwind after a long day, or take in the surrounding neighborhood atmosphere. Inside, the thoughtfully designed floor plan creates an efficient and functional living environment with abundant natural light and a welcoming feel throughout. The spacious bedroom provides a peaceful retreat,…

ZIP codes in Grand Lake

94610 (15)

Other Oakland neighborhoods

Fruitvale (15)Chinatown (17)West Oakland (17)Glenview (6)Uptown (13)Adams Point (12)Piedmont Avenue (14)Temescal (10)Downtown Oakland (8)Cleveland Heights (1)Lakeshore (6)Eastlake (9)Jack London Square (7)Rockridge (6)