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Stealpad › Oakland, CA › Grand Lake › 551 Jean St #410
551 Jean St #410 — 1 bd condo for sale in Grand Lake, Oakland
56Fair price

551 Jean St #410

Grand Lake, Oakland, CA · 94610
$279,900 16% below mkt
1 bd · 1 ba · 622 sqft · $450/sf
HOA $690/mo · 🏢 fee history ↓ · Floor 4 · 40 days on market · built 1971
💎 Hidden gem
⚖️ Adjusted valueUndervaluedasking is 16% under fair value
Model fair value · 5 sold comps · ±15%$315,507
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location−11%
Condition · Avg / verify in person0
Price history · ≈39% below its peak−5%
📐 How this Deal Score was built56Fair price
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history+19.2
HOA burden · $690/mo = 2.96%/yr of price vs a 1.33% norm−13
Days on market · 40 days — not long enough to give you leverage0
Raw advantage · the three above, combined+6.2
Model confidence · moderate — ±15% typical model error across 5 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×0.8
Deal Score56/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

💵What this unit actually costs per month

$2,594/mo all-in
20% down at 7.4% (this week's 30-year average) · mortgage + tax + insurance + HOA
Mortgage principal & interest$1,550
Property tax (1.30% effective)$303
Insurance (estimate)$50
HOA dues$690
Total monthly$2,594
Rough cash to close$62,978

40% of that payment is not the mortgage. The HOA fee alone is $41,400 over five years — money that buys you no equity. A calculator that defaulted the fee to zero would have quoted you $1,904.

Financing type

Not FHA-approved. No 3.5%-down FHA financing on this unit, so the realistic floor is a 5%-down conventional loan ($13,995). Common for small associations and not a defect on its own, but it does remove FHA buyers from your resale pool.

Minimum realistic down payment here: 5% · verify on HUD's lookup

Rate is the Freddie Mac PMMS 30-year average for the week of 2026-10-08 — a national survey figure, not a quote. Tax, insurance and closing costs are estimates; your own Loan Estimate is the real number.

This building's HOA fees

🚩 Rising fast · +11.1%/yr

Reconstructed from 8 units of recorded sales at 551 Jean St — every recorded sale carries its HOA fee and date. No listing site shows this.

$5702023$5982024$6122025$7822026
$782/mo · 2026
+37% since 2023

These dues climbed 37% in 3 years — about +11.1%/yr across 8 units of recorded sales, well above inflation. A rise this steep is a leading signal of a special assessment, a drained reserve fund, or an insurance shock. The listing never shows it; the building's documents are where the "why" lives.

🏢 Get this building's full reserve & assessment report — free →
✅ Positives
  • Low sticker
⚠️ Cons
  • Smallest tier (564 sf)
  • Ground floor
🚩 Red flags
  • 28% above comps on $/sf
  • HOA $690/mo
  • Ground-floor security/privacy

Photos

Price history (this unit)

Trough $279,000 Aug 3, 2006Now $279,900Peak $457,500 Mar 15, 2019
Current list price is 39% below its peak · +0% above its trough.
  • Sep 1, 2026 — Listed $289,900
  • Aug 25, 2020 — Sold (MLS) $435,000
  • Aug 25, 2020 — Sold (MLS) $435,000
  • Aug 25, 2020 — Sold (Public Records) $435,000
  • Jul 14, 2020 — Price Changed $439,000
  • May 4, 2020 — Listed $449,000

Description

Turnkey Grand Lake Living with Views & Parking. Fully remodeled and highly walkable, this exceptional Grand Lake condo features an open kitchen with premium butcher block counter, stainless steel appliances, modern track lighting, and a stylish backsplash. Enjoy luxury vinyl flooring throughout and relax on your massive private balcony overlooking panoramic neighborhood vistas. Includes coveted deeded parking and additional private storage. Walk to your favorite Grand Lake cafes, boutiques, and daily conveniences in minutes.

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