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Stealpad › San Francisco, CA › ZIP 94114 › 3477 16th St
3477 16th St — 2 bd condo for sale in ZIP 94114, San Francisco
59Fair price

3477 16th St

ZIP 94114, San Francisco, CA · 94114
$998,000 ~at market (-8%)
2 bd · 1 ba · 1,011 sqft · $987/sf
HOA $208/mo · 🏢 fee history ↓ · 3 days on market · built 1902
⚖️ Adjusted valueFairly pricedasking is 8% under fair value
Model fair value · 23 sold comps · ±14%$1,031,376
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location−3%
Condition · Avg / verify in person0
Price history · ≈39% below its peak−5%
📐 How this Deal Score was built59Fair price
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history+9.6
HOA burden · $208/mo = 0.25%/yr of price vs a 1.33% norm — at or below normal, no charge0
Days on market · 3 days — not long enough to give you leverage0
Raw advantage · the three above, combined+9.6
Model confidence · moderate — ±14% typical model error across 23 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×0.8
Deal Score59/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

💵What this unit actually costs per month

$6,867/mo all-in
20% down at 7.4% (this week's 30-year average) · mortgage + tax + insurance + HOA
Mortgage principal & interest$5,528
Property tax (1.30% effective)$1,081
Insurance (estimate)$50
HOA dues$208
Total monthly$6,867
Rough cash to close$224,550

20% of that payment is not the mortgage. The HOA fee alone is $12,480 over five years — money that buys you no equity. A calculator that defaulted the fee to zero would have quoted you $6,659.

Financing type

Not FHA-approved. No 3.5%-down FHA financing on this unit, so the realistic floor is a 5%-down conventional loan ($49,900). Common for small associations and not a defect on its own, but it does remove FHA buyers from your resale pool.

Minimum realistic down payment here: 5% · verify on HUD's lookup

Rate is the Freddie Mac PMMS 30-year average for the week of 2026-10-08 — a national survey figure, not a quote. Tax, insurance and closing costs are estimates; your own Loan Estimate is the real number.

This building's HOA fees

We haven't reconstructed a multi-year fee history for this building yet. We have one recorded fee on file ($208 in 2026), not enough for a trend yet. The listing shows $208/mo today. Upload its HOA docs and we'll build the full reserve & special-assessment report — free.

🏢 Get this building's free HOA report →
✅ Positives
  • 39% below its 2004 peak
  • In-unit W/D
  • Low HOA (0.3%/yr)
⚠️ Cons
  • Older building (1902)
  • Only 1 bath
🚩 Red flags
  • Listed BELOW its 2004 sale ($1630k) → value eroding

Photos

Price history (this unit)

Trough $998,000 Oct 8, 2026Now $998,000Peak $1,630,000 Aug 20, 2004
Current list price is 39% below its peak · +0% above its trough.
  • Oct 8, 2026 — Listed $998,000
  • Aug 20, 2004 — Sold (MLS) $1,630,000
  • Jul 8, 2004 — Listed $1,495,000

Description

Classic San Francisco character meets modern ease in this beautifully updated garden-level Edwardian with gracious architectural details, flexible living space, and a rare private outdoor retreat. Built in 1902 within a beautifully maintained three-unit building, this home pairs period charm with thoughtful updates. Original hardwood floors, handsome millwork, picture-rail molding, and beamed ceilings add warmth and character. The inviting living room features a wood-burning fireplace adorned with custom Heath tiles, traditional built-ins, and views toward the shared garden and expansive exclusive-use deck. The updated kitchen offers quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances, and ample…

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