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Stealpad › San Francisco, CA › ZIP 94103 › 1829 15th St #4
1829 15th St #4 — 3 bd condo for sale in ZIP 94103, San Francisco
27Overpriced

1829 15th St #4

ZIP 94103, San Francisco, CA · 94103
$1,899,000 30% above mkt
3 bd · 3 ba · 1,543 sqft · $1,231/sf
HOA $941/mo · 🏢 fee history ↓ · Floor 1 · 55 days on market · built 2000
⚖️ Adjusted valueOverpricedasking is +30% over fair value
Model fair value · 1 sold comps · ±14%$1,456,514
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location+30%
Condition · Avg / verify in person0
Price history · at/near its all-time high0
📐 How this Deal Score was built27Overpriced
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history−36
HOA burden · $941/mo = 0.59%/yr of price vs a 1.33% norm — at or below normal, no charge0
Days on market · 55 days — not long enough to give you leverage0
Raw advantage · the three above, combined−36
Model confidence · weak — ±14% typical model error across 1 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×0.6
Deal Score27/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

💵What this unit actually costs per month

$13,567/mo all-in
20% down at 7.4% (this week's 30-year average) · mortgage + tax + insurance + HOA
Mortgage principal & interest$10,519
Property tax (1.30% effective)$2,057
Insurance (estimate)$50
HOA dues$941
Total monthly$13,567
Rough cash to close$427,275

22% of that payment is not the mortgage. The HOA fee alone is $56,460 over five years — money that buys you no equity. A calculator that defaulted the fee to zero would have quoted you $12,626.

Financing type

Not FHA-approved. No 3.5%-down FHA financing on this unit, so the realistic floor is a 5%-down conventional loan ($94,950). Common for small associations and not a defect on its own, but it does remove FHA buyers from your resale pool.

Minimum realistic down payment here: 5% · verify on HUD's lookup

Rate is the Freddie Mac PMMS 30-year average for the week of 2026-10-08 — a national survey figure, not a quote. Tax, insurance and closing costs are estimates; your own Loan Estimate is the real number.

This building's HOA fees

We haven't reconstructed a multi-year fee history for this building yet. We have one recorded fee on file ($941 in 2026), not enough for a trend yet. The listing shows $941/mo today. Upload its HOA docs and we'll build the full reserve & special-assessment report — free.

🏢 Get this building's free HOA report →
✅ Positives
  • On market 55 days → some leverage
  • In-unit W/D
  • Garage parking
  • Low HOA (0.6%/yr)
⚠️ Cons
  • 30% above model fair value
  • HOA $941/mo
  • Ground floor
🚩 Red flags
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Photos

Price history (this unit)

Only one sale-price event on record ($1,899,000 on Aug 17, 2026).
  • Aug 17, 2026 — Listed $1,899,000
  • Aug 17, 2026 — Listed $1,899,000

Description

Nestled at the end of a peaceful, park-like cul-de-sac in prime Mission Dolores, this light-filled, 2-level townhouse-style condo delivers urban tranquility with modern luxury. Featuring 3 spacious bedrooms, 3 full bathrooms, this top-floor end-unit enjoys three sides of windows and a grand skylight, flooding every corner with natural light. The main level showcases a grand open layout with high ceilings, warm hardwood floors, and a gas fireplace perfect for entertaining. The open kitchen comes equipped with premium stainless-steel appliances, custom cabinetry, sleek stone countertops, and a spacious pantry. Up top, the private rooftop deck offers views of the city skyline. All three…

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