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Stealpad › Oakland, CA › Fruitvale › 515 Canyon Oaks Dr Unit F
515 Canyon Oaks Dr Unit F — 1 bd condo for sale in Fruitvale, Oakland
46Priced high

515 Canyon Oaks Dr Unit F

Fruitvale, Oakland, CA · 94605
$399,000 ~at market (+6%)
1 bd · 1 ba · 815 sqft · $490/sf
HOA $632/mo · 🏢 fee history ↓ · 185 days on market · built 1986
⏳ Sitting — leverage
⚖️ Adjusted valueFairly pricedasking is +6% over fair value
Model fair value · 1 sold comps · ±15%$380,254
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location+5%
Condition · Hardwood+vaulted; kitchen not clear+1%
Price history · ≈13% below its peak0
📐 How this Deal Score was built46Priced high
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history−7.2
HOA burden · $632/mo = 1.9%/yr of price vs a 1.33% norm−4.6
Days on market · 185 days — it has sat, so you have leverage+6
Raw advantage · the three above, combined−5.8
Model confidence · weak — ±15% typical model error across 1 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×0.6
Deal Score46/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

💵What this unit actually costs per month

$3,324/mo all-in
20% down at 7.4% (this week's 30-year average) · mortgage + tax + insurance + HOA
Mortgage principal & interest$2,210
Property tax (1.30% effective)$432
Insurance (estimate)$50
HOA dues$632
Total monthly$3,324
Rough cash to close$89,775

34% of that payment is not the mortgage. The HOA fee alone is $37,920 over five years — money that buys you no equity. A calculator that defaulted the fee to zero would have quoted you $2,692.

Financing type

Not FHA-approved. No 3.5%-down FHA financing on this unit, so the realistic floor is a 5%-down conventional loan ($19,950). Common for small associations and not a defect on its own, but it does remove FHA buyers from your resale pool.

Minimum realistic down payment here: 5% · verify on HUD's lookup

Rate is the Freddie Mac PMMS 30-year average for the week of 2026-10-08 — a national survey figure, not a quote. Tax, insurance and closing costs are estimates; your own Loan Estimate is the real number.

This building's HOA fees

We haven't reconstructed a multi-year fee history for this building yet. We have one recorded fee on file ($632 in 2026), not enough for a trend yet. The listing shows $632/mo today. Upload its HOA docs and we'll build the full reserve & special-assessment report — free.

🏢 Get this building's free HOA report →
✅ Positives
  • On market 185 days → strong negotiating leverage
  • In-unit W/D
  • Garage parking
⚠️ Cons
  • HOA $632/mo
🚩 Red flags
  • Listed BELOW its 2023 sale ($460k) → value eroding

Photos

Price history (this unit)

Trough $130,000 Oct 28, 2011Now $399,000Peak $460,000 Jun 23, 2023
Current list price is 13% below its peak · +207% above its trough.
  • Apr 9, 2026 — Listed $399,000
  • Jun 23, 2023 — Sold (MLS) $460,000
  • Jun 23, 2023 — Sold (Public Records) $460,000
  • May 5, 2023 — Listed $449,000
  • Oct 28, 2011 — Sold (MLS) $130,000
  • Aug 23, 2011 — Price Changed $131,900

Description

Experience the perfect blend of tranquility and modern comfort in this rare upper-floor end-unit condo in the sought-after, gated Shadow Woods community. This 1BD/1BA home (~815 sq ft) features vaulted ceilings, an open-concept living and dining area with fireplace. Fresh paint and updated luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout, along with refreshed stone bathroom flooring for a clean, modern feel. Seamless indoor-outdoor living with two (newly rebuilt) private balconies. Spacious bedroom with walk-in closet, ensuite bath, and washer/dryer. Community amenities include a pool, spa, and tennis courts within a well-maintained gated setting. Ideally located near Leona Canyon trails, Skyline…

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