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Stealpad › Oakland, CA › Fruitvale › 2868 38th Ave #8
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56Fair price

2868 38th Ave #8

Fruitvale, Oakland, CA · 94619
$298,000 ~at market (-10%)
1 bd · 1 ba · 737 sqft · $404/sf
HOA $450/mo · 🏢 fee history ↓ · Floor 1 · 5 days on market · built 1981
⚖️ Adjusted valueFairly pricedasking is 10% under fair value
Model fair value · 1 sold comps · ±15%$343,832
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location−13%
Condition · Avg / verify in person0
Price history · at/near its all-time high+3%
📐 How this Deal Score was built56Fair price
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history+12
HOA burden · $450/mo = 1.81%/yr of price vs a 1.33% norm−3.9
Days on market · 5 days — not long enough to give you leverage0
Raw advantage · the three above, combined+8.1
Model confidence · weak — ±15% typical model error across 1 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×0.6
Deal Score56/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

💵What this unit actually costs per month

$2,473/mo all-in
20% down at 7.4% (this week's 30-year average) · mortgage + tax + insurance + HOA
Mortgage principal & interest$1,651
Property tax (1.30% effective)$323
Insurance (estimate)$50
HOA dues$450
Total monthly$2,473
Rough cash to close$67,050

33% of that payment is not the mortgage. The HOA fee alone is $27,000 over five years — money that buys you no equity. A calculator that defaulted the fee to zero would have quoted you $2,023.

Financing type

Not FHA-approved. No 3.5%-down FHA financing on this unit, so the realistic floor is a 5%-down conventional loan ($14,900). Common for small associations and not a defect on its own, but it does remove FHA buyers from your resale pool.

Minimum realistic down payment here: 5% · verify on HUD's lookup

Rate is the Freddie Mac PMMS 30-year average for the week of 2026-10-08 — a national survey figure, not a quote. Tax, insurance and closing costs are estimates; your own Loan Estimate is the real number.

This building's HOA fees

We haven't reconstructed a multi-year fee history for this building yet. We have one recorded fee on file ($450 in 2026), not enough for a trend yet. The listing shows $450/mo today. Upload its HOA docs and we'll build the full reserve & special-assessment report — free.

🏢 Get this building's free HOA report →
✅ Positives
  • 13% below model fair value
  • In-unit W/D
⚠️ Cons
  • Ground floor
🚩 Red flags
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Price history (this unit)

Trough $57,000 Jun 16, 1989Now $298,000Peak $298,000 Oct 6, 2026
Current list price is 0% below its peak · +423% above its trough.
  • Oct 6, 2026 — Listed $298,000
  • May 28, 2011 — Sold (MLS) $41,500
  • Oct 25, 2010 — Listed $40,000
  • Aug 25, 2005 — Sold (MLS) $280,000
  • Jul 29, 2005 — Sold (Public Records) $280,000
  • May 31, 2005 — Listed $270,000

Description

Calling all renters! Here's your chance to pay less than what you were paying to rent and you can own! Pictures coming later this week, get in and see it before we market it fully. Best priced home in the Bay!

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