🏠 Stealpad
/
Stealpad › Oakland, CA › Adams Point › 424 Orange St #401
424 Orange St #401 — 2 bd condo for sale in Adams Point, Oakland
15Overpriced

424 Orange St #401

Adams Point, Oakland, CA · 94610
$998,000 46% above mkt
2 bd · 2 ba · 1,410 sqft · $708/sf
HOA $1,036/mo · 🏢 fee history ↓ · Floor 4 · 2 days on market · built 1973
⚖️ Adjusted valueOverpricedasking is +46% over fair value
Model fair value · 38 sold comps · ±15%$686,646
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location+45%
Condition · Avg / verify in person0
Price history · ≈9% below its peak+1%
📐 How this Deal Score was built15Overpriced
Value gap · 46% over fair value — charged up to 40%, past that it reads as a comp artifact−48
HOA burden · $1,036/mo = 1.25%/yr of price vs a 1.33% norm — at or below normal, no charge0
Days on market · 2 days — not long enough to give you leverage0
Raw advantage · the three above, combined−48
Model confidence · moderate — ±15% typical model error across 38 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×0.8
Deal Score15/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

💵What this unit actually costs per month

$7,695/mo all-in
20% down at 7.4% (this week's 30-year average) · mortgage + tax + insurance + HOA
Mortgage principal & interest$5,528
Property tax (1.30% effective)$1,081
Insurance (estimate)$50
HOA dues$1,036
Total monthly$7,695
Rough cash to close$224,550

28% of that payment is not the mortgage. The HOA fee alone is $62,160 over five years — money that buys you no equity. A calculator that defaulted the fee to zero would have quoted you $6,659.

Rate is the Freddie Mac PMMS 30-year average for the week of 2026-10-08 — a national survey figure, not a quote. Tax, insurance and closing costs are estimates; your own Loan Estimate is the real number.

This building's HOA fees

We haven't reconstructed a multi-year fee history for this building yet. We have one recorded fee on file ($556 in 2025), not enough for a trend yet. The listing shows $1,036/mo today. Upload its HOA docs and we'll build the full reserve & special-assessment report — free.

🏢 Get this building's free HOA report →
✅ Positives
  • Upper floor (fl 4)
  • In-unit W/D
  • Garage parking
  • Low HOA (1.2%/yr)
⚠️ Cons
  • 45% above model fair value
  • HOA $1036/mo
🚩 Red flags
  • Very high HOA $1036/mo (full-service high-rise)
  • Listed BELOW its 2020 sale ($1100k) → value eroding

Photos

Price history (this unit)

Trough $650,000 Feb 15, 2018Now $998,000Peak $1,100,000 Apr 8, 2020
Current list price is 9% below its peak · +54% above its trough.
  • Oct 9, 2026 — Listed $998,000
  • Apr 8, 2020 — Sold (MLS) $1,100,000
  • Apr 8, 2020 — Sold (MLS) $1,100,000
  • Apr 8, 2020 — Sold (Public Records) $1,100,000
  • Feb 20, 2020 — Listed $899,000
  • Feb 20, 2020 — Listed $899,000

Description

Rare penthouse in the heart of Adams Point where the entire top floor is reserved for its residents. No shared hallway, no neighbors on your level, just quiet, private, elevated living with the lock-and-leave simplicity of a condo and the seclusion of a house. At 1,400+ square feet, the residence lives more like a single-family home, with formal living and dining rooms, high ceilings, walls of windows, and gleaming Brazilian Walnut floors. The modern kitchen features clean lines, Thermador appliances, and bar seating. Sliders open onto a massive deck with views across Oakland and toward the hills, a true second living room for grilling, dining, and happy hour. Motorized shades let you…

More steals in Adams Point

See all 17 condos in Adams Point →