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StealpadOakland, CAAdams Point389 Belmont St #103
389 Belmont St #103 — 1 bd condo for sale in Adams Point, Oakland
54Fair price

389 Belmont St #103

Adams Point, Oakland, CA · 94610
$406,000 8% below mkt
1 bd · 1 ba · 900 sqft · $451/sf
HOA $752/mo · 🏢 fee history ↓ · Floor 1 · 92 days on market · built 1983
⚠️ HOA trap
⚖️ Adjusted valueFairly pricedasking is 8% under fair value
Model fair value · 2 sold comps · ±13%$428,130
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location−5%
Condition · Partial update; carpet, mixed applncs+2%
Price history · ≈88% below its peak−5%
📐 How this Deal Score was built54Fair price
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history+9.6
HOA burden · $752/mo = 2.22%/yr of price vs a 1.34% norm−7.1
Days on market · 92 days — it has sat, so you have leverage+3
Raw advantage · the three above, combined+5.5
Model confidence · weak — ±13% typical model error across 2 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×0.6
Deal Score54/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

💵What this unit actually costs per month

$3,327/mo all-in
20% down at 6.65% (this week's 30-year average) · mortgage + tax + insurance + HOA
Mortgage principal & interest$2,085
Property tax (1.30% effective)$440
Insurance (estimate)$50
HOA dues$752
Total monthly$3,327
Rough cash to close$91,350

37% of that payment is not the mortgage. The HOA fee alone is $45,120 over five years — money that buys you no equity. A calculator that defaulted the fee to zero would have quoted you $2,575.

Financing type

Not FHA-approved. No 3.5%-down FHA financing on this unit, so the realistic floor is a 5%-down conventional loan ($20,300). Common for small associations and not a defect on its own, but it does remove FHA buyers from your resale pool.

Minimum realistic down payment here: 5% · verify on HUD's lookup

Rate is the Freddie Mac PMMS 30-year average for the week of 2026-08-20 — a national survey figure, not a quote. Tax, insurance and closing costs are estimates; your own Loan Estimate is the real number.

This building's HOA fees

3 recorded points

Reconstructed from 6 units of recorded sales at 389 Belmont St — every recorded sale carries its HOA fee and date. No listing site shows this.

$6242024$6242025$7302026
$730/mo · 2026
+17% since 2024

We have a few recorded HOA fees for this building but not yet enough to call a reliable trend, so these are the raw points — no rate implied. Its documents fill in the reserve health and assessment risk.

🏢 Get this building's full reserve & assessment report — free →
✅ Positives
  • Spacious livable layout (900 sf, separate dining)
  • Fireplace, in-unit W/D, balcony peekaboo lake view, secure garage
⚠️ Cons
  • 23% above comps
  • Dated interior behind nice staging (original galley kitchen, carpet)
  • 1st floor faces brick courtyard (limited light)
🚩 Red flags
  • Bizarre $209k "sold" 4/29/26 — investigate the deed (non-arm’s-length?)
  • Highest 1bd HOA ($752); still below its 2006 price

Photos

Price history (this unit)

Trough $115,000 Sep 13, 1990Now $406,000Peak $3,375,000 Mar 31, 1987
Current list price is 88% below its peak · +253% above its trough.
  • Jul 22, 2026 — Price Changed $418,000
  • Jul 7, 2026 — Price Changed $439,000
  • May 27, 2026 — Listed $468,000
  • Sep 13, 1990 — Sold (Public Records) $115,000
  • Jan 19, 1990 — Sold (Public Records) $467,000
  • Mar 31, 1987 — Sold (Public Records) $3,375,000

Description

Move-in ready condo in the sought-after Belmont Staten, just moments from the shores of Lake Merritt in Oakland’s desirable Adams Point neighborhood. Walk to the Saturday Grand Lake Farmers Market, grab coffee on Grand Avenue, enjoy dinner along Lakeshore, and end your day with sunset strolls around Lake Merritt—all from the comfort of your secure Adams Point home. Offering approximately 900 square feet of thoughtfully designed living space, this inviting residence features a spacious living room with a cozy fireplace, a large private balcony with peekaboo views of Lake Merritt and the Oakland Hills, and an updated kitchen with stone countertops. Fresh interior paint and modern

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