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Stealpad › Oakland, CA › Adams Point › 407 Orange St #310
407 Orange St #310 — 1 bd condo for sale in Adams Point, Oakland
62Good value

407 Orange St #310

Adams Point, Oakland, CA · 94610
$369,000 16% below mkt
1 bd · 1 ba · 957 sqft · $386/sf
HOA $622/mo · 🏢 fee history ↓ · Floor 3 · built 1970
⚖️ Adjusted valueUndervaluedasking is 16% under fair value
Model fair value · 38 sold comps · ±15%$431,705
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location−15%
Condition · Avg / verify in person0
Price history · ≈18% below its peak−1%
📐 How this Deal Score was built62Good value
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history+19.2
HOA burden · $622/mo = 2.02%/yr of price vs a 1.33% norm−5.5
Days on market · unknown0
Raw advantage · the three above, combined+13.7
Model confidence · moderate — ±15% typical model error across 38 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×0.8
Deal Score62/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

💵What this unit actually costs per month

$3,116/mo all-in
20% down at 7.4% (this week's 30-year average) · mortgage + tax + insurance + HOA
Mortgage principal & interest$2,044
Property tax (1.30% effective)$400
Insurance (estimate)$50
HOA dues$622
Total monthly$3,116
Rough cash to close$83,025

34% of that payment is not the mortgage. The HOA fee alone is $37,320 over five years — money that buys you no equity. A calculator that defaulted the fee to zero would have quoted you $2,494.

Rate is the Freddie Mac PMMS 30-year average for the week of 2026-10-08 — a national survey figure, not a quote. Tax, insurance and closing costs are estimates; your own Loan Estimate is the real number.

This building's HOA fees

3 recorded points

Reconstructed from 3 units of recorded sales at 407 Orange St — every recorded sale carries its HOA fee and date. No listing site shows this.

$5552024$6082025$6222026
$622/mo · 2026
+12% since 2024

We have a few recorded HOA fees for this building but not yet enough to call a reliable trend, so these are the raw points — no rate implied. Its documents fill in the reserve health and assessment risk.

🏢 Get this building's full reserve & assessment report — free →
✅ Positives
  • 15% below model fair value
  • Upper floor (fl 3)
  • Garage parking
⚠️ Cons
  • HOA $622/mo
  • Older building (1970)
🚩 Red flags
  • Listed BELOW its 2022 sale ($450k) → value eroding

Photos

Price history (this unit)

Trough $69,000 Jan 30, 1991Now $369,000Peak $450,000 Jul 5, 2022
Current list price is 18% below its peak · +435% above its trough.
  • Jul 5, 2022 — Sold (MLS) $450,000
  • Jun 30, 2022 — Sold (Public Records) $450,000
  • May 20, 2022 — Listed $449,950
  • Jan 30, 1991 — Sold (Public Records) $69,000

Description

Welcome to 407 Orange Street, unit 310, an updated one-bedroom, one-bath condo on a tree-lined street in one of Oakland's most sought-after neighborhoods. With 957 square feet, this third-floor home is bright, open, and airy! Step out onto the balcony for morning coffee, evening unwinding, or simply enjoying the fruits of your labor. Life here is all about location. Just blocks from Lake Merritt's scenic loop, Lakeside Park and the Gardens, you can stroll to an abundance of restaurants, cafés and shops, or head to Grand Lake for the Saturday farmers market and a movie. Downtown Oakland, Uptown and 19th Street BART are minutes away for dining, nightlife and an easy commute. The building…

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