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Stealpad › Oakland, CA › Adams Point › 1 Lakeside Dr #410
1 Lakeside Dr #410 — 1 bd condo for sale in Adams Point, Oakland
34Priced high

1 Lakeside Dr #410

Adams Point, Oakland, CA · 94612
$399,000 ~at market (+7%)
1 bd · 1 ba · 740 sqft · $539/sf
HOA $998/mo · 🏢 fee history ↓ · Floor 4 · 97 days on market · built 2001
⚠️ HOA trap
⚖️ Adjusted valueFairly pricedasking is +7% over fair value
Model fair value · 18 sold comps · ±15%$380,683
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location+5%
Condition · Granite+stainless+hardwood, hi-rise0
Price history · ≈6% below its peak+2%
📐 How this Deal Score was built34Priced high
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history−8.4
HOA burden · $998/mo = 3%/yr of price vs a 1.33% norm−13.4
Days on market · 97 days — it has sat, so you have leverage+3
Raw advantage · the three above, combined−18.8
Model confidence · moderate — ±15% typical model error across 18 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×0.8
Deal Score34/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

💵What this unit actually costs per month

$3,690/mo all-in
20% down at 7.4% (this week's 30-year average) · mortgage + tax + insurance + HOA
Mortgage principal & interest$2,210
Property tax (1.30% effective)$432
Insurance (estimate)$50
HOA dues$998
Total monthly$3,690
Rough cash to close$89,775

40% of that payment is not the mortgage. The HOA fee alone is $59,880 over five years — money that buys you no equity. A calculator that defaulted the fee to zero would have quoted you $2,692.

Financing type

Not FHA-approved. No 3.5%-down FHA financing on this unit, so the realistic floor is a 5%-down conventional loan ($19,950). Common for small associations and not a defect on its own, but it does remove FHA buyers from your resale pool.

Minimum realistic down payment here: 5% · verify on HUD's lookup

Rate is the Freddie Mac PMMS 30-year average for the week of 2026-10-08 — a national survey figure, not a quote. Tax, insurance and closing costs are estimates; your own Loan Estimate is the real number.

This building's HOA fees

🚩 Rising fast · +6.3%/yr

Reconstructed from 20 units of recorded sales at 1 Lakeside Dr — every recorded sale carries its HOA fee and date. No listing site shows this.

$7812022$8992025$9982026
$998/mo · 2026
+28% since 2022

These dues climbed 28% in 4 years — about +6.3%/yr across 20 units of recorded sales, well above inflation. A rise this steep is a leading signal of a special assessment, a drained reserve fund, or an insurance shock. The listing never shows it; the building's documents are where the "why" lives.

🏢 Get this building's full reserve & assessment report — free →
✅ Positives
  • On market 97 days → strong negotiating leverage
  • Upper floor (fl 4)
  • In-unit W/D
  • Garage parking
⚠️ Cons
  • HOA $998/mo
🚩 Red flags
—

Photos

Price history (this unit)

Trough $395,000 Jul 11, 2014Now $399,000Peak $425,000 Jul 6, 2026
Current list price is 6% below its peak · +1% above its trough.
  • Jul 6, 2026 — Listed $425,000
  • Jul 11, 2014 — Sold (Public Records) $395,000

Description

The Essex is a Luxurious & Sophisticated Condominium on the shores of Lake Merritt in Oakland. Enjoy the comforts of an urban vibe and effortless lifestyle - conveniently located by Lake Merritt’s natural surroundings and downtown Oakland’s dining and shops. This stunning 1-bedroom, 1-bathroom with hardwood flooring, carpet, bathroom tiles, stainless kitchen appliances, and new paint throughout. A large living space with direct curved balcony view of Lake Merritt. 1 parking space in a secured garage, HOA amenities: 24/7 lobby front desk; Pool; Spa; Fitness Center; Library; Conference Room + more. Conveniently located near BART and public transportation.

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