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Stealpad › Hayward, CA › ZIP 94546 › 21314 Gary Dr #108
21314 Gary Dr #108 — 3 bd condo for sale in ZIP 94546, Hayward
62Good value

21314 Gary Dr #108

ZIP 94546, Hayward, CA · 94546
$499,000 12% below mkt
3 bd · 2 ba · 1,354 sqft · $369/sf
HOA $745/mo · 🏢 fee history ↓ · Floor 1 · 3 days on market · built 1991
💎 Hidden gem
⚖️ Adjusted valueUndervaluedasking is 12% under fair value
Model fair value · 92 sold comps · ±7%$554,692
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location−10%
Condition · Avg / verify in person0
Price history · ≈20% below its peak−2%
📐 How this Deal Score was built62Good value
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history+14.4
HOA burden · $745/mo = 1.79%/yr of price vs a 1.33% norm−3.7
Days on market · 3 days — not long enough to give you leverage0
Raw advantage · the three above, combined+10.7
Model confidence · strong — ±7% typical model error across 92 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×1
Deal Score62/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

💵What this unit actually costs per month

$4,100/mo all-in
20% down at 7.4% (this week's 30-year average) · mortgage + tax + insurance + HOA
Mortgage principal & interest$2,764
Property tax (1.30% effective)$541
Insurance (estimate)$50
HOA dues$745
Total monthly$4,100
Rough cash to close$112,275

33% of that payment is not the mortgage. The HOA fee alone is $44,700 over five years — money that buys you no equity. A calculator that defaulted the fee to zero would have quoted you $3,355.

Rate is the Freddie Mac PMMS 30-year average for the week of 2026-10-08 — a national survey figure, not a quote. Tax, insurance and closing costs are estimates; your own Loan Estimate is the real number.

This building's HOA fees

🚩 Rising fast · +10.7%/yr

Reconstructed from 10 units of recorded sales at 21314 Gary Dr — every recorded sale carries its HOA fee and date. No listing site shows this.

$4732022$5462023$6192024$6772025$7102026
$710/mo · 2026
+50% since 2022

These dues climbed 50% in 4 years — about +10.7%/yr across 10 units of recorded sales, well above inflation. A rise this steep is a leading signal of a special assessment, a drained reserve fund, or an insurance shock. The listing never shows it; the building's documents are where the "why" lives.

🏢 Get this building's full reserve & assessment report — free →
✅ Positives
  • Undervalued once condition & history are priced in
  • Garage parking
⚠️ Cons
  • HOA $745/mo
  • Ground floor
🚩 Red flags
  • HOA rising ~11%/yr in this building ($473/mo in 2022 → $710)
  • Listed BELOW its 2020 sale ($620k) → value eroding

Photos

Price history (this unit)

Trough $189,900 Apr 22, 1994Now $499,000Peak $620,000 Nov 13, 2020
Current list price is 20% below its peak · +163% above its trough.
  • Oct 8, 2026 — Listed $499,000
  • Oct 8, 2026 — Listed $499,000
  • Nov 13, 2020 — Sold (Public Records) $620,000
  • Nov 12, 2020 — Sold (MLS) $620,000
  • Oct 15, 2020 — Listed $600,000
  • Apr 22, 1994 — Sold (Public Records) $189,900

Description

Welcome to this spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath condo offering 1,345 sq ft of comfortable living space with beautiful panoramic Bay views. This well-appointed home features upgraded flooring, a smart lock, brand-new GE Profile dryer, and a brand-new water heater with permit. The kitchen is equipped with top-of-the-line GE Profile appliances, while the open layout provides a comfortable setting for everyday living and entertaining. Enjoy resort-style community amenities including five swimming pools, spa, sauna, tennis courts, clubhouse with ping pong and pool tables, library, and abundant greenbelts with walking and running paths. HOA includes exterior maintenance and landscaping. The community…

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