🏠 Stealpad
/
Stealpad › Hayward, CA › ZIP 94546 › 21239 Gary Dr Unit 202E
21239 Gary Dr Unit 202E — 3 bd condo for sale in ZIP 94546, Hayward
46Fair price

21239 Gary Dr Unit 202E

ZIP 94546, Hayward, CA · 94546
$549,950 ~at market (+1%)
3 bd · 2 ba · 1,354 sqft · $406/sf
HOA $745/mo · 🏢 fee history ↓ · Floor 2 · 45 days on market · built 1992
⚖️ Adjusted valueFairly pricedasking is +1% over fair value
Model fair value · 12 sold comps · ±7%$560,269
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location−2%
Condition · Avg / verify in person0
Price history · at/near its all-time high+3%
📐 How this Deal Score was built46Fair price
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history−1.2
HOA burden · $745/mo = 1.63%/yr of price vs a 1.33% norm−2.4
Days on market · 45 days — not long enough to give you leverage0
Raw advantage · the three above, combined−3.6
Model confidence · strong — ±7% typical model error across 12 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×1
Deal Score46/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

💵What this unit actually costs per month

$4,437/mo all-in
20% down at 7.4% (this week's 30-year average) · mortgage + tax + insurance + HOA
Mortgage principal & interest$3,046
Property tax (1.30% effective)$596
Insurance (estimate)$50
HOA dues$745
Total monthly$4,437
Rough cash to close$123,739

31% of that payment is not the mortgage. The HOA fee alone is $44,700 over five years — money that buys you no equity. A calculator that defaulted the fee to zero would have quoted you $3,692.

Rate is the Freddie Mac PMMS 30-year average for the week of 2026-10-08 — a national survey figure, not a quote. Tax, insurance and closing costs are estimates; your own Loan Estimate is the real number.

This building's HOA fees

4 recorded points

Reconstructed from 13 units of recorded sales at 21239 Gary Dr — every recorded sale carries its HOA fee and date. No listing site shows this.

$4832022$5792023$6772025$7032026
$703/mo · 2026
+46% since 2022

We have a few recorded HOA fees for this building but not yet enough to call a reliable trend, so these are the raw points — no rate implied. Its documents fill in the reserve health and assessment risk.

🏢 Get this building's full reserve & assessment report — free →
✅ Positives
  • On market 45 days → some leverage
  • In-unit W/D
  • Garage parking
⚠️ Cons
  • HOA $745/mo
  • Photos look dim — verify light in person
🚩 Red flags
—

Photos

Price history (this unit)

Trough $227,000 Dec 1, 2011Now $549,950Peak $549,950 Aug 27, 2026
Current list price is 0% below its peak · +142% above its trough.
  • Aug 27, 2026 — Listed $549,950
  • Dec 1, 2011 — Sold (Public Records) $227,000

Description

3 bedroom 2 bath Condo on first floor in a gated community. Besides gated, community offers club house, multiple swimming pools, tennis court and fitness center which are part of monthly HOA fees. Easy access to freeway and minutes away from downtown Castro Valley, Lake Chabot Regional Park, Sutter Eden Medical Center. Inside Laundry hook up.

More steals in ZIP 94546

See all 9 condos in ZIP 94546 →