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StealpadFremont, CACherry-Guardino39206 Guardino Dr #302
39206 Guardino Dr #302 — 2 bd condo for sale in Cherry-Guardino, Fremont
43Priced high

39206 Guardino Dr #302

Cherry-Guardino, Fremont, CA · 94538
$689,000 ~at market (+4%)
2 bd · 2 ba · 1,053 sqft · $654/sf
HOA $637/mo · 🏢 fee history ↓ · Floor 3 · 14 days on market · built 1990
⚖️ Adjusted valueOverpricedasking is +9% over fair value
Model fair value · 2 sold comps · ±8%$632,312
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location+9%
Condition · Avg / verify in person0
Price history · at/near its all-time high0
📐 How this Deal Score was built43Priced high
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history−10.8
HOA burden · $637/mo = 1.11%/yr of price vs a 1.34% norm — at or below normal, no charge0
Days on market · 14 days — not long enough to give you leverage0
Raw advantage · the three above, combined−10.8
Model confidence · weak — ±8% typical model error across 2 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×0.6
Deal Score43/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

💵What this unit actually costs per month

$4,972/mo all-in
20% down at 6.65% (this week's 30-year average) · mortgage + tax + insurance + HOA
Mortgage principal & interest$3,539
Property tax (1.30% effective)$746
Insurance (estimate)$50
HOA dues$637
Total monthly$4,972
Rough cash to close$155,025

29% of that payment is not the mortgage. The HOA fee alone is $38,220 over five years — money that buys you no equity. A calculator that defaulted the fee to zero would have quoted you $4,335.

Financing type

Not FHA-approved. No 3.5%-down FHA financing on this unit, so the realistic floor is a 5%-down conventional loan ($34,450). Common for small associations and not a defect on its own, but it does remove FHA buyers from your resale pool.

Minimum realistic down payment here: 5% · verify on HUD's lookup

Rate is the Freddie Mac PMMS 30-year average for the week of 2026-08-20 — a national survey figure, not a quote. Tax, insurance and closing costs are estimates; your own Loan Estimate is the real number.

This building's HOA fees

✅ Fairly steady · -2.8%/yr

Reconstructed from 7 units of recorded sales at 39206 Guardino Dr — every recorded sale carries its HOA fee and date. No listing site shows this.

$6202024$6132025$5862026
$586/mo · 2026
-5% since 2024

These dues have held relatively steady (about -2.8%/yr over 2 years across 7 units) — a good sign. Only the reserve study confirms the building is keeping up with its big-ticket repairs.

🏢 Get this building's full reserve & assessment report — free →
✅ Positives
  • Upper floor (fl 3)
  • In-unit W/D
  • Low HOA (1.1%/yr)
⚠️ Cons
  • HOA $637/mo
  • Photos look dim — verify light in person
🚩 Red flags
  • Only 2 photos — verify condition

Photos

Price history (this unit)

Only one sale-price event on record ($328,000 on Nov 26, 2003).
  • Nov 26, 2003 — Sold (Public Records) $328,000

Description

Welcome to this wonderful top floor condo offering high ceilings, generous amount of natural light, and a wonderful view out your private outdoor deck. Enjoy this freshly painted, open floor plan unit with a cozy fireplace, views of the greenbelt, and in unit washer/dryer. This large 2 bed 2 bath property is located walking distance to Fremont BART, Central Park, and easy access to Hwy 680, 880, and 84. A special property with all the convenience you are looking for.

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