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Stealpad › Fremont, CA › Cherry-Guardino › 39152 Guardino Dr #203
39152 Guardino Dr #203 — 2 bd condo for sale in Cherry-Guardino, Fremont
77Great deal

39152 Guardino Dr #203

Cherry-Guardino, Fremont, CA · 94538
$399,000 25% below mkt
2 bd · 1 ba · 857 sqft · $466/sf
HOA $580/mo · 🏢 fee history ↓ · Floor 2 · 25 days on market · built 1990
💎 Hidden gem
⚖️ Adjusted valueUndervaluedasking is 25% under fair value
Model fair value · 13 sold comps within ½ mi · ±8%$509,432
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location−22%
Condition · Honey-oak kitchen, granite/SS+1%
Price history · ≈29% below its peak−4%
📐 How this Deal Score was built77Great deal
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history+30
HOA burden · $580/mo = 1.74%/yr of price vs a 1.29% norm−3.6
Days on market · 25 days — not long enough to give you leverage0
Raw advantage · the three above, combined+26.4
Model confidence · strong — ±8% typical model error, 13 sold comps within half a mile. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×1
Deal Score77/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

💵What this unit actually costs per month

$3,225/mo all-in
20% down at 7.18% (this week's 30-year average) · mortgage + tax + insurance + HOA
Mortgage principal & interest$2,162
Property tax (1.30% effective)$432
Insurance (estimate)$50
HOA dues$580
Total monthly$3,225
Rough cash to close$89,775

33% of that payment is not the mortgage. The HOA fee alone is $34,800 over five years — money that buys you no equity. A calculator that defaulted the fee to zero would have quoted you $2,645.

Financing type

Not FHA-approved. No 3.5%-down FHA financing on this unit, so the realistic floor is a 5%-down conventional loan ($19,950). Common for small associations and not a defect on its own, but it does remove FHA buyers from your resale pool.

Minimum realistic down payment here: 5% · verify on HUD's lookup

Rate is the Freddie Mac PMMS 30-year average for the week of 2026-11-05 — a national survey figure, not a quote. Tax, insurance and closing costs are estimates; your own Loan Estimate is the real number.

This building's HOA fees

✅ Fairly steady · +0.3%/yr

Reconstructed from 5 units of recorded sales at 39152 Guardino Dr — every recorded sale carries its HOA fee and date. No listing site shows this.

$5742022$5612024$5802026
$580/mo · 2026
+1% since 2022

These dues have held relatively steady (about +0.3%/yr over 4 years across 5 units) — a good sign. Only the reserve study confirms the building is keeping up with its big-ticket repairs.

🏢 Get this building's full reserve & assessment report — free →
✅ Positives
  • Cheapest of 32 tracked in Fremont
  • 22% below model fair value
  • 29% below its 2024 peak
  • Garage parking
⚠️ Cons
  • HOA $580/mo
  • Only 1 bath
🚩 Red flags
  • Listed BELOW its 2024 sale ($546k) → value eroding

Photos

Price history (this unit)

Trough $386,500 May 8, 2006Now $399,000Peak $559,000 Oct 25, 2024
Current list price is 29% below its peak · +3% above its trough.
  • Oct 15, 2026 — Listed $399,000
  • Oct 14, 2026 — Listed $399,000
  • Dec 2, 2024 — Sold (MLS) $545,500
  • Dec 2, 2024 — Sold (MLS) $545,500
  • Dec 2, 2024 — Sold (Public Records) $545,500
  • Oct 25, 2024 — Listed $559,000

Description

0 DOWN PAYMENT AND INTERESTS BUY-DOWN POSSIBLE! Welcome to this beautiful, move-in-ready 2nd-floor condo in the gated Adobe Hills community! Bright and light-filled, this home features an open-concept layout with large windows and a cozy wood-burning fireplace. Recent updates include new LVP flooring in the hall, new refrigerator, range hood and cooktop, freshly painted kitchen cabinets, new balcony tile and flooring, added shelving throughout, smart doorbell, and wall-unit plus portable AC. Step out onto your private covered balcony, finished with new tile and turf, to enjoy tranquil views. Smart features include app-controlled lighting, a video doorbell, and keyless entry. Inside, enjoy…

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