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Stealpad › San Francisco, CA › ZIP 94105 › 488 Folsom St #4406
488 Folsom St #4406 — 2 bd condo for sale in ZIP 94105, San Francisco
16Overpriced

488 Folsom St #4406

ZIP 94105, San Francisco, CA · 94105
$2,298,000 110% above mkt
2 bd · 2 ba · 1,142 sqft · $2,012/sf
HOA $2,274/mo · 🏢 fee history ↓ · Floor 44 · 65 days on market · built 2019
⚖️ Adjusted valueOverpricedasking is +110% over fair value
Model fair value · 110 sold comps · ±14%$1,095,094
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location+110%
Condition · Avg / verify in person0
Price history · at/near its all-time high0
📐 How this Deal Score was built16Overpriced
Value gap · 110% over fair value — charged up to 40%, past that it reads as a comp artifact−48
HOA burden · $2,274/mo = 1.19%/yr of price vs a 1.33% norm — at or below normal, no charge0
Days on market · 65 days — it has sat, so you have leverage+3
Raw advantage · the three above, combined−45
Model confidence · moderate — ±14% typical model error across 110 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×0.8
Deal Score16/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

💵What this unit actually costs per month

$17,542/mo all-in
20% down at 7.4% (this week's 30-year average) · mortgage + tax + insurance + HOA
Mortgage principal & interest$12,729
Property tax (1.30% effective)$2,490
Insurance (estimate)$50
HOA dues$2,274
Total monthly$17,542
Rough cash to close$517,050

27% of that payment is not the mortgage. The HOA fee alone is $136,440 over five years — money that buys you no equity. A calculator that defaulted the fee to zero would have quoted you $15,268.

Financing type

Not FHA-approved. No 3.5%-down FHA financing on this unit, so the realistic floor is a 5%-down conventional loan ($114,900). Common for small associations and not a defect on its own, but it does remove FHA buyers from your resale pool.

Minimum realistic down payment here: 5% · verify on HUD's lookup

Rate is the Freddie Mac PMMS 30-year average for the week of 2026-10-08 — a national survey figure, not a quote. Tax, insurance and closing costs are estimates; your own Loan Estimate is the real number.

This building's HOA fees

2 recorded points

Reconstructed from 27 units of recorded sales at 488 Folsom St — every recorded sale carries its HOA fee and date. No listing site shows this.

$1,8142021$2,4192026
$2,419/mo · 2026
+33% since 2021

We have a few recorded HOA fees for this building but not yet enough to call a reliable trend, so these are the raw points — no rate implied. Its documents fill in the reserve health and assessment risk.

🏢 Get this building's full reserve & assessment report — free →
✅ Positives
  • On market 65 days → some leverage
  • Upper floor (fl 44)
  • Low HOA (1.2%/yr)
  • Newer build (2019)
⚠️ Cons
  • 110% above model fair value
  • HOA $2274/mo
🚩 Red flags
  • Very high HOA $2274/mo (full-service high-rise)

Photos

Price history (this unit)

Only one sale-price event on record ($2,298,000 on Aug 7, 2026).
  • Aug 7, 2026 — Listed $2,298,000

Description

Experience sophisticated living at Avery, South Beach's premier luxury condominium. This stunning 2-bedroom residence offers stunning water and bay bridge views through dramatic floor-to-ceiling windows. Designed for both comfort and style, the open-concept floor plan features a chef-inspired kitchen and a spacious primary suite with a spa-like bath, dual vanities, and elegant marble finishes. Spanning 2,053 sq. ft. , the home is complemented by exceptional amenities, including 24/7 concierge, valet parking, a state-of-the-art fitness center, lap pool, and resident lounges. Ideally situated in the heart of South Beach, Avery places the city's best dining, shopping, and entertainment just…

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