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Stealpad › San Francisco, CA › Financial District / South Beach › 488 Folsom St #3904
488 Folsom St #3904 — 2 bd condo for sale in Financial District / South Beach, San Francisco
15Overpriced

488 Folsom St #3904

Financial District / South Beach, San Francisco, CA · 94105
$2,625,000 68% above mkt
2 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,549 sqft · $1,695/sf
HOA $2,389/mo · 🏢 fee history ↓ · Floor 39 · 16 days on market · built 2019
⚖️ Adjusted valueOverpricedasking is +68% over fair value
Model fair value · 41 sold comps within ½ mi · ±14%$1,565,176
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location+68%
Condition · Avg / verify in person0
Price history · at/near its all-time high0
📐 How this Deal Score was built15Overpriced
Value gap · 68% over fair value — charged up to 40%, past that it reads as a comp artifact−48
HOA burden · $2,389/mo = 1.09%/yr of price vs a 1.29% norm — at or below normal, no charge0
Days on market · 16 days — not long enough to give you leverage0
Raw advantage · the three above, combined−48
Model confidence · moderate — ±14% typical model error, 41 sold comps within half a mile. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×0.8
Deal Score15/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

💵What this unit actually costs per month

$19,509/mo all-in
20% down at 7.18% (this week's 30-year average) · mortgage + tax + insurance + HOA
Mortgage principal & interest$14,226
Property tax (1.30% effective)$2,844
Insurance (estimate)$50
HOA dues$2,389
Total monthly$19,509
Rough cash to close$590,625

27% of that payment is not the mortgage. The HOA fee alone is $143,340 over five years — money that buys you no equity. A calculator that defaulted the fee to zero would have quoted you $17,120.

Financing type

Not FHA-approved. No 3.5%-down FHA financing on this unit, so the realistic floor is a 5%-down conventional loan ($131,250). Common for small associations and not a defect on its own, but it does remove FHA buyers from your resale pool.

Minimum realistic down payment here: 5% · verify on HUD's lookup

Rate is the Freddie Mac PMMS 30-year average for the week of 2026-11-05 — a national survey figure, not a quote. Tax, insurance and closing costs are estimates; your own Loan Estimate is the real number.

This building's HOA fees

2 recorded points

Reconstructed from 32 units of recorded sales at 488 Folsom St — every recorded sale carries its HOA fee and date. No listing site shows this.

$1,8142021$2,4042026
$2,404/mo · 2026
+33% since 2021

We have a few recorded HOA fees for this building but not yet enough to call a reliable trend, so these are the raw points — no rate implied. Its documents fill in the reserve health and assessment risk.

🏢 Get this building's full reserve & assessment report — free →
✅ Positives
  • Upper floor (fl 39)
  • In-unit W/D
  • Low HOA (1.1%/yr)
  • Newer build (2019)
⚠️ Cons
  • 68% above model fair value
  • HOA $2389/mo
  • Photos look dim — verify light in person
🚩 Red flags
  • Very high HOA $2389/mo (full-service high-rise)

Photos

Price history (this unit)

Only one sale-price event on record ($2,625,000 on Oct 23, 2026).
  • Oct 23, 2026 — Listed $2,625,000

Description

Panoramic views from Twin Peaks to the tip of Treasure Island. Open gourmet kitchens boast premium Miele appliances & spa-inspired bathrooms feature custom dual vanities & marble clad walls. Acclaimed Clodagh Design chose warm wood tones & authentic marbles to create stunning custom interiors. Amenities & services include attended private lobby, 24/7 valet parking, fitness studio, pool, entertainment lounges & more.

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