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Stealpad › San Francisco, CA › Financial District / South Beach › 301 Mission St Unit 16A
301 Mission St Unit 16A — 2 bd condo for sale in Financial District / South Beach, San Francisco
55Fair price

301 Mission St Unit 16A

Financial District / South Beach, San Francisco, CA · 94105
$1,368,000 ~at market (-13%)
2 bd · 2 ba · 1,479 sqft · $925/sf
HOA $2,850/mo · 🏢 fee history ↓ · Floor 1 · 17 days on market · built 2009
⚖️ Adjusted valueFairly pricedasking is 13% under fair value
Model fair value · 29 sold comps within ½ mi · ±14%$1,565,123
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location−13%
Condition · Avg / verify in person0
Price history · at/near its all-time high0
📐 How this Deal Score was built55Fair price
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history+15.6
HOA burden · $2,850/mo = 2.5%/yr of price vs a 1.29% norm−9.7
Days on market · 17 days — not long enough to give you leverage0
Raw advantage · the three above, combined+5.9
Model confidence · moderate — ±14% typical model error, 29 sold comps within half a mile. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×0.8
Deal Score55/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

💵What this unit actually costs per month

$11,796/mo all-in
20% down at 7.18% (this week's 30-year average) · mortgage + tax + insurance + HOA
Mortgage principal & interest$7,414
Property tax (1.30% effective)$1,482
Insurance (estimate)$50
HOA dues$2,850
Total monthly$11,796
Rough cash to close$307,800

37% of that payment is not the mortgage. The HOA fee alone is $171,000 over five years — money that buys you no equity. A calculator that defaulted the fee to zero would have quoted you $8,946.

Financing type

Not FHA-approved. No 3.5%-down FHA financing on this unit, so the realistic floor is a 5%-down conventional loan ($68,400). Common for small associations and not a defect on its own, but it does remove FHA buyers from your resale pool.

Minimum realistic down payment here: 5% · verify on HUD's lookup

Rate is the Freddie Mac PMMS 30-year average for the week of 2026-11-05 — a national survey figure, not a quote. Tax, insurance and closing costs are estimates; your own Loan Estimate is the real number.

This building's HOA fees

✅ Fairly steady · +4.9%/yr

Reconstructed from 31 units of recorded sales at 301 Mission St — every recorded sale carries its HOA fee and date. No listing site shows this.

$3,1772023$4,3422025$3,6662026
$3,666/mo · 2026
+15% since 2023

These dues have held relatively steady (about +4.9%/yr over 3 years across 31 units) — a good sign. Only the reserve study confirms the building is keeping up with its big-ticket repairs.

🏢 Get this building's full reserve & assessment report — free →
✅ Positives
  • 13% below model fair value
  • Newer build (2009)
⚠️ Cons
  • HOA $2850/mo
  • Ground floor
  • Photos look dim — verify light in person
🚩 Red flags
  • Very high HOA $2850/mo (full-service high-rise)

Photos

Price history (this unit)

Only one sale-price event on record ($1,368,000 on Oct 8, 2026).
  • Oct 8, 2026 — Listed $1,368,000

Description

Residence 16A at Millennium Tower offers an exceptional blend of sophisticated design, high-end finishes, and effortless city living in the heart of San Francisco. Spanning 1,479 square feet (per tax records), this spacious two-bedroom, two-bathroom high-rise corner home features a fluid, open-concept floor plan designed to maximize natural light and highlight dramatic downtown perspectives. At the center of the residence is an expansive great room encompassing the living and dining areas, framed by select floor-to-ceiling windows fitted with custom window coverings. Rich hardwood flooring flows throughout the main living areas, complementing the freshly painted interior. The open chef's…

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