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Stealpad › San Francisco, CA › Mission › 301 Guerrero St
301 Guerrero St — 3 bd condo for sale in Mission, San Francisco
24Overpriced

301 Guerrero St

Mission, San Francisco, CA · 94103
$1,995,000 26% above mkt
3 bd · 3 ba · 1,622 sqft · $1,230/sf
HOA $790/mo · 🏢 fee history ↓ · 3 days on market · built 2003
⚖️ Adjusted valueOverpricedasking is +26% over fair value
Model fair value · 16 sold comps within ½ mi · ±14%$1,617,615
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location+23%
Condition · Avg / verify in person0
Price history · at/near its all-time high+3%
📐 How this Deal Score was built24Overpriced
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history−31.2
HOA burden · $790/mo = 0.48%/yr of price vs a 1.29% norm — at or below normal, no charge0
Days on market · 3 days — not long enough to give you leverage0
Raw advantage · the three above, combined−31.2
Model confidence · moderate — ±14% typical model error, 16 sold comps within half a mile. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×0.8
Deal Score24/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

💵What this unit actually costs per month

$13,813/mo all-in
20% down at 7.18% (this week's 30-year average) · mortgage + tax + insurance + HOA
Mortgage principal & interest$10,812
Property tax (1.30% effective)$2,161
Insurance (estimate)$50
HOA dues$790
Total monthly$13,813
Rough cash to close$448,875

22% of that payment is not the mortgage. The HOA fee alone is $47,400 over five years — money that buys you no equity. A calculator that defaulted the fee to zero would have quoted you $13,023.

Financing type

Not FHA-approved. No 3.5%-down FHA financing on this unit, so the realistic floor is a 5%-down conventional loan ($99,750). Common for small associations and not a defect on its own, but it does remove FHA buyers from your resale pool.

Minimum realistic down payment here: 5% · verify on HUD's lookup

Rate is the Freddie Mac PMMS 30-year average for the week of 2026-11-05 — a national survey figure, not a quote. Tax, insurance and closing costs are estimates; your own Loan Estimate is the real number.

This building's HOA fees

We haven't reconstructed a multi-year fee history for this building yet. We have one recorded fee on file ($790 in 2026), not enough for a trend yet. The listing shows $790/mo today. Upload its HOA docs and we'll build the full reserve & special-assessment report — free.

🏢 Get this building's free HOA report →
✅ Positives
  • Low HOA (0.5%/yr)
⚠️ Cons
  • 23% above model fair value
  • HOA $790/mo
🚩 Red flags
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Photos

Price history (this unit)

Trough $690,000 Aug 6, 2003Now $1,995,000Peak $1,995,000 Nov 5, 2026
Current list price is 0% below its peak · +189% above its trough.
  • Nov 5, 2026 — Listed $1,995,000
  • Mar 2, 2021 — Sold (MLS) $1,730,000
  • Mar 2, 2021 — Sold (Public Records) $1,730,000
  • Jan 26, 2021 — Listed $1,595,000
  • Aug 9, 2005 — Sold (MLS) $903,000
  • Aug 9, 2005 — Sold (Public Records) $903,000

Description

Welcome to 301 Guerrero Street, a spacious full-floor condominium ideally situated in one of San Francisco's most vibrant and walkable neighborhoods, offering an exceptional blend of comfort, style, and convenience. The thoughtfully designed residence features three generously sized bedrooms and three bathrooms, including two en-suite baths and an oversized primary suite. An expansive open floor plan seamlessly connects the living, dining, and kitchen areas, creating an inviting setting for both everyday living and entertaining. An abundance of natural light fills the home, while the chef's kitchen is appointed with updated stainless steel appliances, ample counter space, and generous…

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