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Stealpad › San Francisco, CA › ZIP 94105 › 188 Minna St Unit 36E
188 Minna St Unit 36E — 2 bd condo for sale in ZIP 94105, San Francisco
15Overpriced

188 Minna St Unit 36E

ZIP 94105, San Francisco, CA · 94105
$8,395,000 279% above mkt
2 bd · 3.5 ba · 2,800 sqft · $2,998/sf
HOA $4,517/mo · 🏢 fee history ↓ · Floor 3 · 33 days on market · built 2005
⚖️ Adjusted valueOverpricedasking is +279% over fair value
Model fair value · 110 sold comps · ±14%$2,213,456
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location+279%
Condition · Avg / verify in person0
Price history · at/near its all-time high0
📐 How this Deal Score was built15Overpriced
Value gap · 279% over fair value — charged up to 40%, past that it reads as a comp artifact−48
HOA burden · $4,517/mo = 0.65%/yr of price vs a 1.33% norm — at or below normal, no charge0
Days on market · 33 days — not long enough to give you leverage0
Raw advantage · the three above, combined−48
Model confidence · moderate — ±14% typical model error across 110 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×0.8
Deal Score15/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

💵What this unit actually costs per month

$60,162/mo all-in
20% down at 7.4% (this week's 30-year average) · mortgage + tax + insurance + HOA
Mortgage principal & interest$46,500
Property tax (1.30% effective)$9,095
Insurance (estimate)$50
HOA dues$4,517
Total monthly$60,162
Rough cash to close$1,888,875

23% of that payment is not the mortgage. The HOA fee alone is $271,020 over five years — money that buys you no equity. A calculator that defaulted the fee to zero would have quoted you $55,645.

Financing type

Not FHA-approved. No 3.5%-down FHA financing on this unit, so the realistic floor is a 5%-down conventional loan ($419,750). Common for small associations and not a defect on its own, but it does remove FHA buyers from your resale pool.

Minimum realistic down payment here: 5% · verify on HUD's lookup

Rate is the Freddie Mac PMMS 30-year average for the week of 2026-10-08 — a national survey figure, not a quote. Tax, insurance and closing costs are estimates; your own Loan Estimate is the real number.

This building's HOA fees

2 recorded points

Reconstructed from 15 units of recorded sales at 188 Minna St — every recorded sale carries its HOA fee and date. No listing site shows this.

$6,1402023$3,8282026
$3,828/mo · 2026
-38% since 2023

We have a few recorded HOA fees for this building but not yet enough to call a reliable trend, so these are the raw points — no rate implied. Its documents fill in the reserve health and assessment risk.

🏢 Get this building's full reserve & assessment report — free →
✅ Positives
  • Upper floor (fl 3)
  • In-unit W/D
  • Garage parking
  • Low HOA (0.6%/yr)
⚠️ Cons
  • 279% above model fair value
  • HOA $4517/mo
🚩 Red flags
  • Very high HOA $4517/mo (full-service high-rise)

Photos

Price history (this unit)

Only one sale-price event on record ($8,395,000 on Sep 8, 2026).
  • Sep 8, 2026 — Listed $8,395,000

Description

Bathed in extraordinary light and framed by sweeping panoramic views of the San Francisco Bay, this exquisitely curated St. Regis Residence is a masterclass in elevated urban living. Oversized windows capture cinematic vistas from sunrise to dusk, while refined interiors blend contemporary sophistication with gallery-quality design and an unmistakable sense of warmth. Recently transformed under the guidance of renowned Santa Barbara interior designer Stephan Jones, the approximately 2,800-square-foot, two-bedroom, three and one-half bath residence was reimagined as a serene retreat high above the city atop the iconic St. Regis Hotel Tower. The entertaining spaces unfold with effortless…

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