🏠 Stealpad
/
Stealpad › San Francisco, CA › Mission Bay › 1000 3rd St #815
1000 3rd St #815 — 1 bd condo for sale in Mission Bay, San Francisco
22Overpriced

1000 3rd St #815

Mission Bay, San Francisco, CA · 94158
$1,289,000 29% above mkt
1 bd · 2 ba · 961 sqft · $1,341/sf
HOA $968/mo · 🏢 fee history ↓ · Floor 8 · 9 days on market · built 2018
⚠️ HOA trap
⚖️ Adjusted valueOverpricedasking is +29% over fair value
Model fair value · 24 sold comps within ½ mi · ±14%$997,459
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location+29%
Condition · Avg / verify in person0
Price history · at/near its all-time high0
📐 How this Deal Score was built22Overpriced
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history−34.8
HOA burden · $968/mo = 0.9%/yr of price vs a 1.29% norm — at or below normal, no charge0
Days on market · 9 days — not long enough to give you leverage0
Raw advantage · the three above, combined−34.8
Model confidence · moderate — ±14% typical model error, 24 sold comps within half a mile. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×0.8
Deal Score22/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

💵What this unit actually costs per month

$9,400/mo all-in
20% down at 7.18% (this week's 30-year average) · mortgage + tax + insurance + HOA
Mortgage principal & interest$6,986
Property tax (1.30% effective)$1,396
Insurance (estimate)$50
HOA dues$968
Total monthly$9,400
Rough cash to close$290,025

26% of that payment is not the mortgage. The HOA fee alone is $58,080 over five years — money that buys you no equity. A calculator that defaulted the fee to zero would have quoted you $8,432.

Financing type

Not FHA-approved. No 3.5%-down FHA financing on this unit, so the realistic floor is a 5%-down conventional loan ($64,450). Common for small associations and not a defect on its own, but it does remove FHA buyers from your resale pool.

Minimum realistic down payment here: 5% · verify on HUD's lookup

Rate is the Freddie Mac PMMS 30-year average for the week of 2026-11-05 — a national survey figure, not a quote. Tax, insurance and closing costs are estimates; your own Loan Estimate is the real number.

This building's HOA fees

We haven't reconstructed a multi-year fee history for this building yet. We have one recorded fee on file ($1,008 in 2026), not enough for a trend yet. The listing shows $968/mo today. Upload its HOA docs and we'll build the full reserve & special-assessment report — free.

🏢 Get this building's free HOA report →
✅ Positives
  • Upper floor (fl 8)
  • In-unit W/D
  • Low HOA (0.9%/yr)
  • Newer build (2018)
⚠️ Cons
  • 29% above model fair value
  • HOA $968/mo
  • Photos look dim — verify light in person
🚩 Red flags
—

Photos

Price history (this unit)

Only one sale-price event on record ($1,289,000 on Oct 30, 2026).
  • Oct 30, 2026 — Listed $1,289,000

Description

Tower #815 is a spacious 1-bedroom, 2-bathroom residence with a versatile bonus den and upgraded closets. The gourmet kitchen features a suite of Gaggenau appliances, including a 5-burner gas range, Porcelanosa tile, Domus & Domus cabinetry, and Vadara quartz countertops. The open-concept living and dining area and bedroom overlook the peaceful courtyard. The home features 9-foot ceilings, hardwood flooring in the living areas, carpet in the bedroom, and central heating and air conditioning. The primary bedroom includes an en suite bathroom with Kohler fixtures and a walk-in closet with an upgraded organizing system. An in-unit washer and dryer and one-car parking complete this home.…

More steals in Mission Bay

See all 15 condos in Mission Bay →