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Stealpad › San Francisco, CA › Mission Bay › 435 China Basin St #337
435 China Basin St #337 — 2 bd condo for sale in Mission Bay, San Francisco
40Priced high

435 China Basin St #337

Mission Bay, San Francisco, CA · 94158
$1,559,000 ~at market (+9%)
2 bd · 2 ba · 1,372 sqft · $1,136/sf
HOA $1,398/mo · 🏢 fee history ↓ · Floor 3 · 2 days on market · built 2012
⚖️ Adjusted valueFairly pricedasking is +9% over fair value
Model fair value · 11 sold comps within ½ mi · ±14%$1,437,102
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location+8%
Condition · Avg / verify in person0
Price history · ≈8% below its peak+1%
📐 How this Deal Score was built40Priced high
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history−10.8
HOA burden · $1,398/mo = 1.08%/yr of price vs a 1.29% norm — at or below normal, no charge0
Days on market · 2 days — not long enough to give you leverage0
Raw advantage · the three above, combined−10.8
Model confidence · moderate — ±14% typical model error, 11 sold comps within half a mile. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×0.8
Deal Score40/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

💵What this unit actually costs per month

$11,586/mo all-in
20% down at 7.18% (this week's 30-year average) · mortgage + tax + insurance + HOA
Mortgage principal & interest$8,449
Property tax (1.30% effective)$1,689
Insurance (estimate)$50
HOA dues$1,398
Total monthly$11,586
Rough cash to close$350,775

27% of that payment is not the mortgage. The HOA fee alone is $83,880 over five years — money that buys you no equity. A calculator that defaulted the fee to zero would have quoted you $10,188.

Financing type

Not FHA-approved. No 3.5%-down FHA financing on this unit, so the realistic floor is a 5%-down conventional loan ($77,950). Common for small associations and not a defect on its own, but it does remove FHA buyers from your resale pool.

Minimum realistic down payment here: 5% · verify on HUD's lookup

Rate is the Freddie Mac PMMS 30-year average for the week of 2026-11-05 — a national survey figure, not a quote. Tax, insurance and closing costs are estimates; your own Loan Estimate is the real number.

This building's HOA fees

We haven't reconstructed a multi-year fee history for this building yet. We have one recorded fee on file ($1,398 in 2026), not enough for a trend yet. The listing shows $1,398/mo today. Upload its HOA docs and we'll build the full reserve & special-assessment report — free.

🏢 Get this building's free HOA report →
✅ Positives
  • Upper floor (fl 3)
  • In-unit W/D
  • Low HOA (1.1%/yr)
  • Newer build (2012)
⚠️ Cons
  • HOA $1398/mo
🚩 Red flags
  • Very high HOA $1398/mo (full-service high-rise)

Photos

Price history (this unit)

Trough $1,355,000 Mar 25, 2016Now $1,559,000Peak $1,699,000 Oct 8, 2015
Current list price is 8% below its peak · +15% above its trough.
  • Nov 6, 2026 — Listed $1,559,000
  • Oct 2, 2018 — Sold (MLS) $1,470,000
  • Oct 2, 2018 — Sold (Public Records) $1,470,000
  • Jul 20, 2018 — Listed $1,495,000
  • Mar 25, 2016 — Sold (MLS) $1,355,000
  • Mar 25, 2016 — Sold (Public Records) $1,355,000

Description

Enjoy luxury living at the Madrone! This home is one of the larger two bedroom units at 1,372 sq. ft. , and is perfectly positioned on the third floor offering the ultimate convenience of direct, same-floor access to world-class lifestyle amenities while delivering an expansive, light-filled layout designed for both effortless entertaining and relaxation. The heart of the home is a gourmet chef's kitchen, seamlessly facing a generous open-concept dining and living space that invites entertaining. Floor-to-ceiling windows and glass doors frame the living area, opening directly to a private balcony that floods the home with natural light and extends your living space outdoors. The luxurious…

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