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StealpadOakland, CAAdams Point85 Vernon St #312
85 Vernon St #312 — 1 bd condo for sale in Adams Point, Oakland
56Fair price

85 Vernon St #312

Adams Point, Oakland, CA · 94610
$299,000 16% below mkt
1 bd · 1 ba · 742 sqft · $403/sf
HOA $564/mo · 🏢 fee history ↓ · Floor 3 · 13 days on market · built 1971
⚖️ Adjusted valueFairly pricedasking is 12% under fair value
Model fair value · 34 sold comps · ±13%$351,375
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location−15%
Condition · Avg / verify in person0
Price history · at/near its all-time high+3%
📐 How this Deal Score was built56Fair price
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history+14.4
HOA burden · $564/mo = 2.26%/yr of price vs a 1.34% norm−7.4
Days on market · 13 days — not long enough to give you leverage0
Raw advantage · the three above, combined+7
Model confidence · moderate — ±13% typical model error across 34 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×0.8
Deal Score56/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

💵What this unit actually costs per month

$2,473/mo all-in
20% down at 6.65% (this week's 30-year average) · mortgage + tax + insurance + HOA
Mortgage principal & interest$1,536
Property tax (1.30% effective)$324
Insurance (estimate)$50
HOA dues$564
Total monthly$2,473
Rough cash to close$67,275

38% of that payment is not the mortgage. The HOA fee alone is $33,840 over five years — money that buys you no equity. A calculator that defaulted the fee to zero would have quoted you $1,909.

Financing type

FHA approval has expired on this project. An FHA buyer cannot use it today, and the fact that it once qualified and then stopped is worth asking the board about. Plan on a conventional loan — 5% down at the very least.

Minimum realistic down payment here: 5% · verify on HUD's lookup

Rate is the Freddie Mac PMMS 30-year average for the week of 2026-08-20 — a national survey figure, not a quote. Tax, insurance and closing costs are estimates; your own Loan Estimate is the real number.

This building's HOA fees

✅ Fairly steady · +5.2%/yr

Reconstructed from 9 units of recorded sales at 85 Vernon St — every recorded sale carries its HOA fee and date. No listing site shows this.

$4442023$4702025$5172026
$517/mo · 2026
+16% since 2023

These dues have held relatively steady (about +5.2%/yr over 3 years across 9 units) — a good sign. Only the reserve study confirms the building is keeping up with its big-ticket repairs.

🏢 Get this building's full reserve & assessment report — free →
✅ Positives
  • 15% below model fair value
  • Upper floor (fl 3)
  • In-unit W/D
  • Garage parking
⚠️ Cons
  • HOA $564/mo
  • Older building (1971)
🚩 Red flags

Photos

Price history (this unit)

Trough $120,700 Mar 31, 2011Now $299,000Peak $300,000 Aug 18, 2005
Current list price is 0% below its peak · +148% above its trough.
  • Aug 14, 2026 — Listed $299,000
  • Jan 11, 2013 — Sold (MLS) $122,000
  • Mar 31, 2011 — Listed $120,700
  • Aug 18, 2005 — Sold (MLS) $300,000
  • Jul 7, 2005 — Listed $280,000

Description

Bright, inviting, and exceptionally well located, 85 Vernon Street #312 is a top-floor condo filled with natural light and elevated hill views. The open-concept living and dining areas create a comfortable, airy setting that flows seamlessly into the updated kitchen, featuring newer appliances, stylish painted cabinetry, and generous counter space. It's a perfect space for everyday living and entertaining. A large sliding glass door extends the living space to a private deck, offering a welcoming spot to enjoy some fresh air or your morning coffee. The spacious bedroom suite is a peaceful retreat with a walk-in closet and ensuite bathroom. And then there’s the Location...Whole Foods is

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