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Stealpad › Oakland, CA › Downtown Oakland › 655 12th St #219
655 12th St #219 — 2 bd condo for sale in Downtown Oakland, Oakland
58Fair price

655 12th St #219

Downtown Oakland, Oakland, CA · 94607
$425,000 ~at market (-9%)
2 bd · 2 ba · 861 sqft · $494/sf
HOA $550/mo · 🏢 fee history ↓ · Floor 2 · 18 days on market · built 2003
⚖️ Adjusted valueFairly pricedasking is 9% under fair value
Model fair value · 6 sold comps · ±15%$468,216
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location−9%
Condition · Avg / verify in person0
Price history · ≈11% below its peak0
📐 How this Deal Score was built58Fair price
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history+10.8
HOA burden · $550/mo = 1.55%/yr of price vs a 1.33% norm−1.8
Days on market · 18 days — not long enough to give you leverage0
Raw advantage · the three above, combined+9
Model confidence · moderate — ±15% typical model error across 6 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×0.8
Deal Score58/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

💵What this unit actually costs per month

$3,415/mo all-in
20% down at 7.4% (this week's 30-year average) · mortgage + tax + insurance + HOA
Mortgage principal & interest$2,354
Property tax (1.30% effective)$460
Insurance (estimate)$50
HOA dues$550
Total monthly$3,415
Rough cash to close$95,625

31% of that payment is not the mortgage. The HOA fee alone is $33,000 over five years — money that buys you no equity. A calculator that defaulted the fee to zero would have quoted you $2,865.

Financing type

Not FHA-approved. No 3.5%-down FHA financing on this unit, so the realistic floor is a 5%-down conventional loan ($21,250). Common for small associations and not a defect on its own, but it does remove FHA buyers from your resale pool.

Minimum realistic down payment here: 5% · verify on HUD's lookup

Rate is the Freddie Mac PMMS 30-year average for the week of 2026-10-08 — a national survey figure, not a quote. Tax, insurance and closing costs are estimates; your own Loan Estimate is the real number.

This building's HOA fees

🚩 Rising fast · +6.6%/yr

Reconstructed from 9 units of recorded sales at 655 12th St — every recorded sale carries its HOA fee and date. No listing site shows this.

$4212021$4002022$5002023$5792026
$579/mo · 2026
+38% since 2021

These dues climbed 38% in 5 years — about +6.6%/yr across 9 units of recorded sales, well above inflation. A rise this steep is a leading signal of a special assessment, a drained reserve fund, or an insurance shock. The listing never shows it; the building's documents are where the "why" lives.

🏢 Get this building's full reserve & assessment report — free →
✅ Positives
  • In-unit W/D
  • Garage parking
⚠️ Cons
  • HOA $550/mo
🚩 Red flags
—

Photos

Price history (this unit)

Trough $194,900 Feb 23, 2012Now $425,000Peak $475,000 Oct 21, 2015
Current list price is 11% below its peak · +118% above its trough.
  • Sep 23, 2026 — Listed $425,000
  • Feb 13, 2025 — Rental Removed $2,425
  • Feb 11, 2025 — Listed for Rent $2,425
  • Feb 10, 2025 — Rental Removed $2,425
  • Feb 5, 2025 — Price Changed $2,425
  • Jan 28, 2025 — Price Changed $2,625

Description

Urban living meets easy, modern comfort in this 2-bedroom, 2-bath condo in the heart of Downtown Oakland. Thoughtfully updated with refreshed flooring and kitchen finishes, the home features a bright, open layout with comfortable living spaces. Two well-proportioned bedrooms and full bathrooms offer flexibility, while in-unit laundry and dedicated garage parking add everyday convenience. Set within a secure, gated building with an inviting tree-lined interior courtyard and bike storage, the home is ideally positioned across from historic Preservation Park and just blocks from Downtown, Uptown, Old Oakland and Chinatown. Enjoy easy access to BART, restaurants, shopping, farmers markets and…

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