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Stealpad › Oakland, CA › Downtown Oakland › 1511 Jefferson St Ph 12
1511 Jefferson St Ph 12 — 1 bd condo for sale in Downtown Oakland, Oakland
58Fair price

1511 Jefferson St Ph 12

Downtown Oakland, Oakland, CA · 94612
$399,000 ~at market (-3%)
1 bd · 1 ba · 916 sqft · $436/sf
HOA $480/mo · 🏢 fee history ↓ · 138 days on market · built 2007
⏳ Sitting — leverage
⚖️ Adjusted valueFairly pricedasking is 3% under fair value
Model fair value · 9 sold comps · ±15%$397,025
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location0
Condition · 2007: granite+stainless; laminate flr+1%
Price history · ≈28% below its peak−4%
📐 How this Deal Score was built58Fair price
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history+3.6
HOA burden · $480/mo = 1.44%/yr of price vs a 1.33% norm−0.9
Days on market · 138 days — it has sat, so you have leverage+6
Raw advantage · the three above, combined+8.7
Model confidence · moderate — ±15% typical model error across 9 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×0.8
Deal Score58/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

💵What this unit actually costs per month

$3,172/mo all-in
20% down at 7.4% (this week's 30-year average) · mortgage + tax + insurance + HOA
Mortgage principal & interest$2,210
Property tax (1.30% effective)$432
Insurance (estimate)$50
HOA dues$480
Total monthly$3,172
Rough cash to close$89,775

30% of that payment is not the mortgage. The HOA fee alone is $28,800 over five years — money that buys you no equity. A calculator that defaulted the fee to zero would have quoted you $2,692.

Financing type

Not FHA-approved. No 3.5%-down FHA financing on this unit, so the realistic floor is a 5%-down conventional loan ($19,950). Common for small associations and not a defect on its own, but it does remove FHA buyers from your resale pool.

Minimum realistic down payment here: 5% · verify on HUD's lookup

Rate is the Freddie Mac PMMS 30-year average for the week of 2026-10-08 — a national survey figure, not a quote. Tax, insurance and closing costs are estimates; your own Loan Estimate is the real number.

This building's HOA fees

We haven't reconstructed a multi-year fee history for this building yet. We have one recorded fee on file ($480 in 2026), not enough for a trend yet. The listing shows $480/mo today. Upload its HOA docs and we'll build the full reserve & special-assessment report — free.

🏢 Get this building's free HOA report →
✅ Positives
  • 28% below its 2016 peak
  • On market 138 days → strong negotiating leverage
  • In-unit W/D
  • Garage parking
⚠️ Cons
—
🚩 Red flags
  • Listed BELOW its 2016 sale ($555k) → value eroding

Photos

Price history (this unit)

Trough $399,000 Jul 13, 2026Now $399,000Peak $555,000 Apr 19, 2016
Current list price is 28% below its peak · +0% above its trough.
  • Jul 13, 2026 — Price Changed $399,000
  • May 18, 2026 — Listed $419,000
  • Apr 19, 2016 — Sold (MLS) $555,000
  • Apr 15, 2016 — Sold (Public Records) $555,000
  • Mar 21, 2016 — Listed $479,000

Description

Welcome to urban luxury in Uptown Oakland. This bright 1BR condo offers a refreshed, open layout designed for modern living. The heart of the home is a great room where the kitchen, dining, and living areas flow seamlessly together. The generous bedroom (with two closets) serves as a peaceful retreat. Updates include laminate flooring, newer stainless steel appliances, new paint throughout, and new carpet in the bedroom. In-unit laundry and dedicated garage parking ensures an effortless lifestyle. This building offers an array of desirable amenities, including a courtyard and a stunning rooftop deck, featuring a BBQ area and City views. This prime location is close to BART, public transit…

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