🏠 Stealpad
/
Stealpad › Fremont, CA › Central Fremont › 3768 Capitol Ave Unit 516B
3768 Capitol Ave Unit 516B — 1 bd condo for sale in Central Fremont, Fremont
26Overpriced

3768 Capitol Ave Unit 516B

Central Fremont, Fremont, CA · 94538
$650,000 24% above mkt
1 bd · 1 ba · 728 sqft · $893/sf
HOA $700/mo · 🏢 fee history ↓ · Floor 5 · 171 days on market · built 2019
⏳ Sitting — leverage⚠️ HOA trap
⚖️ Adjusted valueOverpricedasking is +24% over fair value
Model fair value · 97 sold comps · ±8%$524,581
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location+24%
Condition · Modern 2019: dark cabs, SS, quartz−1%
Price history · ≈7% below its peak+1%
📐 How this Deal Score was built26Overpriced
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history−28.8
HOA burden · $700/mo = 1.29%/yr of price vs a 1.33% norm — at or below normal, no charge0
Days on market · 171 days — it has sat, so you have leverage+6
Raw advantage · the three above, combined−22.8
Model confidence · strong — ±8% typical model error across 97 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×1
Deal Score26/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

💵What this unit actually costs per month

$5,055/mo all-in
20% down at 7.4% (this week's 30-year average) · mortgage + tax + insurance + HOA
Mortgage principal & interest$3,600
Property tax (1.30% effective)$704
Insurance (estimate)$50
HOA dues$700
Total monthly$5,055
Rough cash to close$146,250

29% of that payment is not the mortgage. The HOA fee alone is $42,000 over five years — money that buys you no equity. A calculator that defaulted the fee to zero would have quoted you $4,355.

Financing type

Not FHA-approved. No 3.5%-down FHA financing on this unit, so the realistic floor is a 5%-down conventional loan ($32,500). Common for small associations and not a defect on its own, but it does remove FHA buyers from your resale pool.

Minimum realistic down payment here: 5% · verify on HUD's lookup

Rate is the Freddie Mac PMMS 30-year average for the week of 2026-10-08 — a national survey figure, not a quote. Tax, insurance and closing costs are estimates; your own Loan Estimate is the real number.

This building's HOA fees

2 recorded points

Reconstructed from 11 units of recorded sales at 3768 Capitol Ave — every recorded sale carries its HOA fee and date. No listing site shows this.

$8102025$7502026
$750/mo · 2026
-7% since 2025

We have a few recorded HOA fees for this building but not yet enough to call a reliable trend, so these are the raw points — no rate implied. Its documents fill in the reserve health and assessment risk.

🏢 Get this building's full reserve & assessment report — free →
✅ Positives
  • On market 171 days → strong negotiating leverage
  • Upper floor (fl 5)
  • In-unit W/D
  • Garage parking
⚠️ Cons
  • 24% above model fair value
  • HOA $700/mo
🚩 Red flags
  • Back on market — a pending sale fell through (relisted Sep 23) — ask why

Photos

Price history (this unit)

Trough $650,000 Sep 19, 2026Now $650,000Peak $698,888 Apr 23, 2026
Current list price is 7% below its peak · +0% above its trough.
  • Sep 19, 2026 — Price Changed $650,000
  • Sep 19, 2026 — Price Changed $650,000
  • Jul 2, 2026 — Price Changed $675,000
  • Jul 2, 2026 — Price Changed $675,000
  • Apr 23, 2026 — Listed $698,888
  • Apr 23, 2026 — Listed $698,888

Description

New Improved Price! Welcome to this beautifully maintained 1-bedroom 1 level flat condo in the heart of Fremont Downtown District, built by Summer Hill Homes. Located in level 3 in a 5-story bldg. HOA includes garbage and gas. Unit includes 1 assigned underground parking. This light-filled residence features an open-concept layout with high ceilings, expansive windows, and a private balcony offering scenic views perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The modern kitchen show cases an oversized quartz island, sleek cabinetry, and high-end Bosch stainless steel appliances. Additional highlights include hard-surface flooring, designer finishes, ample storage, and an in-unit LG washer and dryer.…

More steals in Central Fremont

See all 13 condos in Central Fremont →