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Stealpad › Alameda, CA › ZIP 94501 › 453 Sentinel Dr
453 Sentinel Dr — 2 bd condo for sale in ZIP 94501, Alameda
21Overpriced

453 Sentinel Dr

ZIP 94501, Alameda, CA · 94501
$839,000 61% above mkt
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,102 sqft · $761/sf
HOA $358/mo · 🏢 fee history ↓ · 58 days on market · built 2024
⚖️ Adjusted valueOverpricedasking is +61% over fair value
Model fair value · 1 sold comps · ±15%$520,267
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location+61%
Condition · Avg / verify in person0
Price history · at/near its all-time high0
📐 How this Deal Score was built21Overpriced
Value gap · 61% over fair value — charged up to 40%, past that it reads as a comp artifact−48
HOA burden · $358/mo = 0.51%/yr of price vs a 1.33% norm — at or below normal, no charge0
Days on market · 58 days — not long enough to give you leverage0
Raw advantage · the three above, combined−48
Model confidence · weak — ±15% typical model error across 1 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×0.6
Deal Score21/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

💵What this unit actually costs per month

$5,964/mo all-in
20% down at 7.4% (this week's 30-year average) · mortgage + tax + insurance + HOA
Mortgage principal & interest$4,647
Property tax (1.30% effective)$909
Insurance (estimate)$50
HOA dues$358
Total monthly$5,964
Rough cash to close$188,775

22% of that payment is not the mortgage. The HOA fee alone is $21,480 over five years — money that buys you no equity. A calculator that defaulted the fee to zero would have quoted you $5,606.

Financing type

Not FHA-approved. No 3.5%-down FHA financing on this unit, so the realistic floor is a 5%-down conventional loan ($41,950). Common for small associations and not a defect on its own, but it does remove FHA buyers from your resale pool.

Minimum realistic down payment here: 5% · verify on HUD's lookup

Rate is the Freddie Mac PMMS 30-year average for the week of 2026-10-08 — a national survey figure, not a quote. Tax, insurance and closing costs are estimates; your own Loan Estimate is the real number.

This building's HOA fees

We haven't reconstructed a multi-year fee history for this building yet. The listing shows $358/mo today. Upload its HOA docs and we'll build the full reserve & special-assessment report — free.

🏢 Get this building's free HOA report →
✅ Positives
  • On market 58 days → some leverage
  • In-unit W/D
  • Garage parking
  • Low HOA (0.5%/yr)
⚠️ Cons
  • 61% above model fair value
  • Photos look dim — verify light in person
🚩 Red flags
—

Photos

Price history (this unit)

Only one sale-price event on record ($839,000 on Aug 14, 2026).
  • Aug 14, 2026 — Listed $839,000

Description

UNICORN UNIT with a 5.3% assumable mortgage! Exceedingly rare opportunity to own what may be the most desirable residence on the waterfront at Bay 37 - a north-facing, front-row 2yr old corner unit with unobstructed panoramic views of the Oakland Estuary and SF skyline in one of the community’s quietest locations. This stunning 3-level modern home offers the ultimate in waterfront living. The entry level opens directly onto the waterfront promenade and includes a 1-car garage and guest bath. The main level features a gourmet kitchen with premium appliances, dining area, and open-concept great room flowing to a private waterfront balcony - perfect for entertaining while enjoying the water…

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