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Stealpad › Alameda, CA › ZIP 94501 › 2137 Otis Dr #101
2137 Otis Dr #101 — 2 bd condo for sale in ZIP 94501, Alameda
57Fair price

2137 Otis Dr #101

ZIP 94501, Alameda, CA · 94501
$550,000 ~at market (-8%)
2 bd · 2 ba · 1,187 sqft · $463/sf
HOA $700/mo · 🏢 fee history ↓ · Floor 1 · 47 days on market · built 1964
⚖️ Adjusted valueFairly pricedasking is 8% under fair value
Model fair value · 5 sold comps · ±10%$591,998
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location−7%
Condition · Avg / verify in person0
Price history · ≈17% below its peak−1%
📐 How this Deal Score was built57Fair price
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history+9.6
HOA burden · $700/mo = 1.53%/yr of price vs a 1.33% norm−1.6
Days on market · 47 days — not long enough to give you leverage0
Raw advantage · the three above, combined+8
Model confidence · moderate — ±10% typical model error across 5 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×0.8
Deal Score57/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

💵What this unit actually costs per month

$4,392/mo all-in
20% down at 7.4% (this week's 30-year average) · mortgage + tax + insurance + HOA
Mortgage principal & interest$3,046
Property tax (1.30% effective)$596
Insurance (estimate)$50
HOA dues$700
Total monthly$4,392
Rough cash to close$123,750

31% of that payment is not the mortgage. The HOA fee alone is $42,000 over five years — money that buys you no equity. A calculator that defaulted the fee to zero would have quoted you $3,692.

Rate is the Freddie Mac PMMS 30-year average for the week of 2026-10-08 — a national survey figure, not a quote. Tax, insurance and closing costs are estimates; your own Loan Estimate is the real number.

This building's HOA fees

🚩 Rising fast · +6.5%/yr

Reconstructed from 15 units of recorded sales at 2137 Otis Dr — every recorded sale carries its HOA fee and date. No listing site shows this.

$5102021$5382022$5852023$6152025$7002026
$700/mo · 2026
+37% since 2021

These dues climbed 37% in 5 years — about +6.5%/yr across 15 units of recorded sales, well above inflation. A rise this steep is a leading signal of a special assessment, a drained reserve fund, or an insurance shock. The listing never shows it; the building's documents are where the "why" lives.

🏢 Get this building's full reserve & assessment report — free →
✅ Positives
  • On market 47 days → some leverage
  • Garage parking
⚠️ Cons
  • HOA $700/mo
  • Older building (1964)
  • Ground floor
🚩 Red flags
  • Listed BELOW its 2021 sale ($665k) → value eroding

Photos

Price history (this unit)

Trough $105,000 Feb 27, 1997Now $550,000Peak $665,000 Jul 19, 2021
Current list price is 17% below its peak · +424% above its trough.
  • Aug 25, 2026 — Listed $589,000
  • Jul 19, 2021 — Sold (MLS) $665,000
  • Jul 19, 2021 — Sold (Public Records) $665,000
  • Jun 11, 2021 — Listed $600,000
  • Feb 27, 1997 — Sold (MLS) $105,000
  • Feb 27, 1997 — Sold (Public Records) $105,000

Description

Welcome to 2137 Otis Drive #101, a spacious first-level end unit in one of those Alameda locations that makes everyday life easy. With 2 bedrooms, 2 full baths and approximately 1,187 square feet, there’s plenty of room to spread out without giving up the convenience of condo living. South Shore Center is right across the street, with Trader Joe’s, restaurants, coffee, shopping and groceries all close by. A few blocks away is Crown Memorial State Beach and the shorelinegreat for a morning walk, bike ride, afternoon at the beach or an evening sunset. Park Street and Downtown Alameda are just minutes away when you’re looking for more restaurants, shops and local favorites. Inside, the home is…

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