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Stealpad › Alameda, CA › ZIP 94501 › 2137 Otis Dr #204
2137 Otis Dr #204 — 2 bd condo for sale in ZIP 94501, Alameda
48Fair price

2137 Otis Dr #204

ZIP 94501, Alameda, CA · 94501
$549,900 ~at market (+1%)
2 bd · 2 ba · 1,100 sqft · $500/sf
HOA $700/mo · 🏢 fee history ↓ · Floor 2 · 23 days on market · built 1966
⚖️ Adjusted valueFairly pricedasking is +1% over fair value
Model fair value · 2 sold comps · ±10%$559,291
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location−2%
Condition · Avg / verify in person0
Price history · at/near its all-time high+3%
📐 How this Deal Score was built48Fair price
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history−1.2
HOA burden · $700/mo = 1.53%/yr of price vs a 1.33% norm−1.6
Days on market · 23 days — not long enough to give you leverage0
Raw advantage · the three above, combined−2.8
Model confidence · weak — ±10% typical model error across 2 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×0.6
Deal Score48/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

💵What this unit actually costs per month

$4,392/mo all-in
20% down at 7.4% (this week's 30-year average) · mortgage + tax + insurance + HOA
Mortgage principal & interest$3,046
Property tax (1.30% effective)$596
Insurance (estimate)$50
HOA dues$700
Total monthly$4,392
Rough cash to close$123,728

31% of that payment is not the mortgage. The HOA fee alone is $42,000 over five years — money that buys you no equity. A calculator that defaulted the fee to zero would have quoted you $3,692.

Rate is the Freddie Mac PMMS 30-year average for the week of 2026-10-08 — a national survey figure, not a quote. Tax, insurance and closing costs are estimates; your own Loan Estimate is the real number.

This building's HOA fees

🚩 Rising fast · +6.5%/yr

Reconstructed from 15 units of recorded sales at 2137 Otis Dr — every recorded sale carries its HOA fee and date. No listing site shows this.

$5102021$5382022$5852023$6152025$7002026
$700/mo · 2026
+37% since 2021

These dues climbed 37% in 5 years — about +6.5%/yr across 15 units of recorded sales, well above inflation. A rise this steep is a leading signal of a special assessment, a drained reserve fund, or an insurance shock. The listing never shows it; the building's documents are where the "why" lives.

🏢 Get this building's full reserve & assessment report — free →
✅ Positives
  • Garage parking
⚠️ Cons
  • HOA $700/mo
  • Older building (1966)
🚩 Red flags
—

Photos

Price history (this unit)

Trough $182,000 Sep 18, 1990Now $549,900Peak $549,900 Sep 18, 2026
Current list price is 0% below its peak · +202% above its trough.
  • Sep 18, 2026 — Listed $549,900
  • Jan 31, 1991 — Sold (Public Records) $182,500
  • Sep 18, 1990 — Sold (Public Records) $182,000

Description

Location, lifestyle and convenience come together at 2137 Otis Drive #204! This spacious 2-bedroom, 2-bath condominium offers approximately 1,100 square feet of comfortable living space with fresh interior paint and brand-new modern waterproof flooring throughout. The light-filled floor plan features a generous living and dining area, two spacious bedrooms and two full baths, including a private primary suite. The kitchen and bathrooms have been previously updated and are clean and well maintained, while still offering the opportunity to add your own personal style. An enclosed sun porch provides additional space for a home office, reading nook, hobby area or simply a great place to relax.…

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