🏠 Stealpad
/
Stealpad › Alameda, CA › South Shore › 2101 Shoreline Dr #433
2101 Shoreline Dr #433 — 2 bd condo for sale in South Shore, Alameda
40Priced high

2101 Shoreline Dr #433

South Shore, Alameda, CA · 94501
$595,000 9% above mkt
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,015 sqft · $586/sf
HOA $661/mo · 🏢 fee history ↓ · Floor 4 · 3 days on market · built 1974
⚖️ Adjusted valueOverpricedasking is +9% over fair value
Model fair value · 8 sold comps within ½ mi · ±9%$561,704
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location+6%
Condition · Avg / verify in person0
Price history · at/near its all-time high+3%
📐 How this Deal Score was built40Priced high
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history−10.8
HOA burden · $661/mo = 1.33%/yr of price vs a 1.29% norm−0.3
Days on market · 3 days — not long enough to give you leverage0
Raw advantage · the three above, combined−11.1
Model confidence · moderate — ±9% typical model error, 8 sold comps within half a mile. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×0.8
Deal Score40/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

💵What this unit actually costs per month

$4,580/mo all-in
20% down at 7.18% (this week's 30-year average) · mortgage + tax + insurance + HOA
Mortgage principal & interest$3,225
Property tax (1.30% effective)$645
Insurance (estimate)$50
HOA dues$661
Total monthly$4,580
Rough cash to close$133,875

30% of that payment is not the mortgage. The HOA fee alone is $39,660 over five years — money that buys you no equity. A calculator that defaulted the fee to zero would have quoted you $3,919.

Financing type

Not FHA-approved. No 3.5%-down FHA financing on this unit, so the realistic floor is a 5%-down conventional loan ($29,750). Common for small associations and not a defect on its own, but it does remove FHA buyers from your resale pool.

Minimum realistic down payment here: 5% · verify on HUD's lookup

Rate is the Freddie Mac PMMS 30-year average for the week of 2026-11-05 — a national survey figure, not a quote. Tax, insurance and closing costs are estimates; your own Loan Estimate is the real number.

This building's HOA fees

🚩 Rising fast · +9.1%/yr

Reconstructed from 25 units of recorded sales at 2101 Shoreline Dr — every recorded sale carries its HOA fee and date. No listing site shows this.

$4352022$4552023$4552024$5672025$6732026
$673/mo · 2026
+55% since 2021

These dues climbed 55% in 5 years — about +9.1%/yr across 25 units of recorded sales, well above inflation. A rise this steep is a leading signal of a special assessment, a drained reserve fund, or an insurance shock. The listing never shows it; the building's documents are where the "why" lives.

🏢 Get this building's full reserve & assessment report — free →
✅ Positives
  • Upper floor (fl 4)
  • In-unit W/D
  • Garage parking
  • Low HOA (1.3%/yr)
⚠️ Cons
  • HOA $661/mo
  • Photos look dim — verify light in person
🚩 Red flags
  • HOA rising ~9%/yr in this building ($435/mo in 2021 → $673)

Photos

Price history (this unit)

Trough $435,000 May 16, 2006Now $595,000Peak $595,000 Nov 5, 2026
Current list price is 0% below its peak · +37% above its trough.
  • Nov 5, 2026 — Listed $595,000
  • May 16, 2006 — Sold (Public Records) $435,000

Description

THE FEELING: A stylishly upgraded split-level condo steps from the beach and shoreline trails. Cathedral ceiling, skylights, and glass doors make it bright and airy, with seaside breezes a door-slide away. THE HOME: 2 Bedrooms, 1.5 Bathrooms, 1,015 SQFT. Open floorplan flowing from the upgraded kitchen with breakfast bar to the sunny dining area and living room. Powder room on the main floor. Two bedrooms tucked away downstairs with roomy closets: one with glass doors to a patio, the primary with an ensuite bath that also opens to the hall. In-unit laundry and abundant storage. Elevator access to the unit, secure entrance, and a garage with dedicated parking and more storage. THE HEART OF…

More steals in South Shore

See all 13 condos in South Shore →