🏠 Stealpad
/
Stealpad › San Leandro, CA › ZIP 94577 › 14404 Seagate Dr
14404 Seagate Dr — 2 bd condo for sale in ZIP 94577, San Leandro
27Overpriced

14404 Seagate Dr

ZIP 94577, San Leandro, CA · 94577
$640,000 21% above mkt
2 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,346 sqft · $475/sf
HOA $417/mo · 🏢 fee history ↓ · 114 days on market · built 1984
⚖️ Adjusted valueOverpricedasking is +21% over fair value
Model fair value · 15 sold comps · ±9%$536,167
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location+19%
Condition · Avg / verify in person0
Price history · ≈6% below its peak+2%
📐 How this Deal Score was built27Overpriced
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history−25.2
HOA burden · $417/mo = 0.78%/yr of price vs a 1.33% norm — at or below normal, no charge0
Days on market · 114 days — it has sat, so you have leverage+3
Raw advantage · the three above, combined−22.2
Model confidence · strong — ±9% typical model error across 15 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×1
Deal Score27/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

💵What this unit actually costs per month

$4,705/mo all-in
20% down at 7.4% (this week's 30-year average) · mortgage + tax + insurance + HOA
Mortgage principal & interest$3,545
Property tax (1.30% effective)$693
Insurance (estimate)$50
HOA dues$417
Total monthly$4,705
Rough cash to close$144,000

25% of that payment is not the mortgage. The HOA fee alone is $25,020 over five years — money that buys you no equity. A calculator that defaulted the fee to zero would have quoted you $4,288.

Financing type

Not FHA-approved. No 3.5%-down FHA financing on this unit, so the realistic floor is a 5%-down conventional loan ($32,000). Common for small associations and not a defect on its own, but it does remove FHA buyers from your resale pool.

Minimum realistic down payment here: 5% · verify on HUD's lookup

Rate is the Freddie Mac PMMS 30-year average for the week of 2026-10-08 — a national survey figure, not a quote. Tax, insurance and closing costs are estimates; your own Loan Estimate is the real number.

This building's HOA fees

2 recorded points

Reconstructed from 1 unit of recorded sales at 14404 Seagate Dr — every recorded sale carries its HOA fee and date. No listing site shows this.

$4502022$4172026
$417/mo · 2026
-7% since 2022

We have a few recorded HOA fees for this building but not yet enough to call a reliable trend, so these are the raw points — no rate implied. Its documents fill in the reserve health and assessment risk.

🏢 Get this building's full reserve & assessment report — free →
✅ Positives
  • On market 114 days → strong negotiating leverage
  • In-unit W/D
  • Garage parking
  • Low HOA (0.8%/yr)
⚠️ Cons
  • 19% above model fair value
🚩 Red flags
  • Still cutting price ($679k→$664k→$650k→$640k)
  • Listed BELOW its 2022 sale ($680k) → value eroding

Photos

Price history (this unit)

Trough $135,000 Sep 4, 1985Now $640,000Peak $680,000 Oct 17, 2022
Current list price is 6% below its peak · +374% above its trough.
  • Aug 21, 2026 — Price Changed $640,000
  • Jul 24, 2026 — Price Changed $649,888
  • Jun 26, 2026 — Price Changed $663,888
  • Jun 19, 2026 — Listed $678,888
  • Oct 17, 2022 — Sold (Public Records) $680,000
  • Feb 17, 2017 — Sold (Public Records) $395,000

Description

Nestled in the desirable gated Marina Seagate Community is this 2 bedroom / 2.5 bathroom townhouse-style 2 story condo offering 1,346 square feet of living space. Boasting an open floor plan living area consisting of an updated kitchen equipped with stainless steel appliances and breakfast bar, formal dining area, step-down living room with custom fireplace that leads out into an enclosed patio overlooking a greenbelt. The upper level consists of 2 bedrooms / 2 bathrooms and a convenient laundry closet in the hallway. The primary en-suite features vaulted ceilings, walk-in closet, bathroom with dual sinks and a private balcony. Other amenities include, recessed lighting, laminate flooring…

More steals in ZIP 94577

See all 6 condos in ZIP 94577 →