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Stealpad › San Francisco, CA › ZIP 94124 › 50 Jerrold Ave #412
50 Jerrold Ave #412 — 2 bd condo for sale in ZIP 94124, San Francisco
58Fair price

50 Jerrold Ave #412

ZIP 94124, San Francisco, CA · 94124
$799,000 ~at market (-7%)
2 bd · 2 ba · 1,238 sqft · $645/sf
HOA $729/mo · 🏢 fee history ↓ · Floor 4 · 52 days on market · built 2016
⚖️ Adjusted valueFairly pricedasking is 7% under fair value
Model fair value · 12 sold comps · ±14%$847,098
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location−6%
Condition · Avg / verify in person0
Price history · ≈18% below its peak−1%
📐 How this Deal Score was built58Fair price
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history+8.4
HOA burden · $729/mo = 1.09%/yr of price vs a 1.33% norm — at or below normal, no charge0
Days on market · 52 days — not long enough to give you leverage0
Raw advantage · the three above, combined+8.4
Model confidence · moderate — ±14% typical model error across 12 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×0.8
Deal Score58/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

💵What this unit actually costs per month

$6,070/mo all-in
20% down at 7.4% (this week's 30-year average) · mortgage + tax + insurance + HOA
Mortgage principal & interest$4,426
Property tax (1.30% effective)$866
Insurance (estimate)$50
HOA dues$729
Total monthly$6,070
Rough cash to close$179,775

27% of that payment is not the mortgage. The HOA fee alone is $43,740 over five years — money that buys you no equity. A calculator that defaulted the fee to zero would have quoted you $5,341.

Financing type

Not FHA-approved. No 3.5%-down FHA financing on this unit, so the realistic floor is a 5%-down conventional loan ($39,950). Common for small associations and not a defect on its own, but it does remove FHA buyers from your resale pool.

Minimum realistic down payment here: 5% · verify on HUD's lookup

Rate is the Freddie Mac PMMS 30-year average for the week of 2026-10-08 — a national survey figure, not a quote. Tax, insurance and closing costs are estimates; your own Loan Estimate is the real number.

This building's HOA fees

2 recorded points

Reconstructed from 4 units of recorded sales at 50 Jerrold Ave — every recorded sale carries its HOA fee and date. No listing site shows this.

$6602024$7292026
$729/mo · 2026
+10% since 2024

We have a few recorded HOA fees for this building but not yet enough to call a reliable trend, so these are the raw points — no rate implied. Its documents fill in the reserve health and assessment risk.

🏢 Get this building's full reserve & assessment report — free →
✅ Positives
  • On market 52 days → some leverage
  • Upper floor (fl 4)
  • In-unit W/D
  • Garage parking
⚠️ Cons
  • HOA $729/mo
  • Photos look dim — verify light in person
🚩 Red flags
  • Listed BELOW its 2022 sale ($970k) → value eroding

Photos

Price history (this unit)

Trough $849,000 Aug 20, 2026Now $799,000Peak $979,900 Jun 19, 2021
Current list price is 18% below its peak · +-6% above its trough.
  • Aug 20, 2026 — Listed $849,000
  • Apr 29, 2022 — Sold (MLS) $969,888
  • Apr 13, 2022 — Sold (Public Records) $970,000
  • Jan 24, 2022 — Price Changed $969,888
  • Jun 19, 2021 — Listed $979,900

Description

Property is transparently priced. Perched on the top floor of The Shipyard at Hunters Point, this bright two-bedroom, two-bath residence delivers something rare at this price point: unobstructed, panoramic views of downtown San Francisco and the Bay Bridge from your own private deck. The two-level layout places both bedrooms, both baths, and laundry on the entry level, while the upper level opens into a light-filled great room where the kitchen, dining, and living areas flow together around a cozy fireplace, built for entertaining or unwinding as the city lights come on at dusk. The kitchen features stone counters and an island anchoring the open floor plan, while the primary suite offers a…

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