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Stealpad › San Francisco, CA › ZIP 94103 › 338 Potrero Ave #806
338 Potrero Ave #806 — 1 bd condo for sale in ZIP 94103, San Francisco
31Overpriced

338 Potrero Ave #806

ZIP 94103, San Francisco, CA · 94103
$780,000 18% above mkt
1 bd · 1 ba · 659 sqft · $1,184/sf
HOA $844/mo · 🏢 fee history ↓ · Floor 8 · 17 days on market · built 2016
⚠️ HOA trap
⚖️ Adjusted valueOverpricedasking is +18% over fair value
Model fair value · 110 sold comps · ±14%$655,754
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location+19%
Condition · Avg / verify in person0
Price history · ≈18% below its peak−1%
📐 How this Deal Score was built31Overpriced
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history−21.6
HOA burden · $844/mo = 1.3%/yr of price vs a 1.33% norm — at or below normal, no charge0
Days on market · 17 days — not long enough to give you leverage0
Raw advantage · the three above, combined−21.6
Model confidence · moderate — ±14% typical model error across 110 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×0.8
Deal Score31/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

💵What this unit actually costs per month

$6,059/mo all-in
20% down at 7.4% (this week's 30-year average) · mortgage + tax + insurance + HOA
Mortgage principal & interest$4,320
Property tax (1.30% effective)$845
Insurance (estimate)$50
HOA dues$844
Total monthly$6,059
Rough cash to close$175,500

29% of that payment is not the mortgage. The HOA fee alone is $50,640 over five years — money that buys you no equity. A calculator that defaulted the fee to zero would have quoted you $5,215.

Financing type

Not FHA-approved. No 3.5%-down FHA financing on this unit, so the realistic floor is a 5%-down conventional loan ($39,000). Common for small associations and not a defect on its own, but it does remove FHA buyers from your resale pool.

Minimum realistic down payment here: 5% · verify on HUD's lookup

Rate is the Freddie Mac PMMS 30-year average for the week of 2026-10-08 — a national survey figure, not a quote. Tax, insurance and closing costs are estimates; your own Loan Estimate is the real number.

This building's HOA fees

2 recorded points

Reconstructed from 7 units of recorded sales at 338 Potrero Ave — every recorded sale carries its HOA fee and date. No listing site shows this.

$6862022$9202026
$920/mo · 2026
+34% since 2022

We have a few recorded HOA fees for this building but not yet enough to call a reliable trend, so these are the raw points — no rate implied. Its documents fill in the reserve health and assessment risk.

🏢 Get this building's full reserve & assessment report — free →
✅ Positives
  • Upper floor (fl 8)
  • In-unit W/D
  • Low HOA (1.3%/yr)
  • Newer build (2016)
⚠️ Cons
  • 19% above model fair value
  • HOA $844/mo
  • Photos look dim — verify light in person
🚩 Red flags
  • Listed BELOW its 2016 sale ($949k) → value eroding

Photos

Price history (this unit)

Trough $780,000 Sep 24, 2026Now $780,000Peak $949,000 Dec 16, 2016
Current list price is 18% below its peak · +0% above its trough.
  • Sep 24, 2026 — Listed $780,000
  • Dec 16, 2016 — Sold (Public Records) $949,000

Description

Perched where the Mission meets Potrero Hill, Residence 806 at The Rowan offers elevated modern living paired with panoramic vistas of San Francisco Bay, the Bay Bridge, and the downtown skyline. Inside, exposed concrete ceilings and floor-to-ceiling windows flood the bright 1 bedroom, 1 bathroom plus den layout with natural light. The open living area seamlessly transitions to a Juliet balcony, perfect for taking in the city lights. Chef inspired finishes highlight the interior, including custom Domus cabinetry, a gourmet Bertazzoni gas range, and central air conditioning and heat for year round comfort. Just one level above, an expansive rooftop terrace serves as an urban sanctuary…

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