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Stealpad › San Francisco, CA › Marina › 2415 Van Ness Ave #601
2415 Van Ness Ave #601 — 1 bd condo for sale in Marina, San Francisco
63Good value

2415 Van Ness Ave #601

Marina, San Francisco, CA · 94109
$550,000 16% below mkt
1 bd · 1 ba · 567 sqft · $970/sf
HOA $858/mo · 🏢 fee history ↓ · Floor 6 · 19 days on market · built 1926
💎 Hidden gem⚠️ HOA trap
⚖️ Adjusted valueUndervaluedasking is 16% under fair value
Model fair value · 12 sold comps within ½ mi · ±14%$672,303
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location−18%
Condition · Avg / verify in person0
Price history · ≈4% below its peak+2%
📐 How this Deal Score was built63Good value
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history+19.2
HOA burden · $858/mo = 1.87%/yr of price vs a 1.29% norm−4.7
Days on market · 19 days — not long enough to give you leverage0
Raw advantage · the three above, combined+14.5
Model confidence · moderate — ±14% typical model error, 12 sold comps within half a mile. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×0.8
Deal Score63/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

💵What this unit actually costs per month

$4,485/mo all-in
20% down at 7.18% (this week's 30-year average) · mortgage + tax + insurance + HOA
Mortgage principal & interest$2,981
Property tax (1.30% effective)$596
Insurance (estimate)$50
HOA dues$858
Total monthly$4,485
Rough cash to close$123,750

34% of that payment is not the mortgage. The HOA fee alone is $51,480 over five years — money that buys you no equity. A calculator that defaulted the fee to zero would have quoted you $3,627.

Financing type

Not FHA-approved. No 3.5%-down FHA financing on this unit, so the realistic floor is a 5%-down conventional loan ($27,500). Common for small associations and not a defect on its own, but it does remove FHA buyers from your resale pool.

Minimum realistic down payment here: 5% · verify on HUD's lookup

Rate is the Freddie Mac PMMS 30-year average for the week of 2026-11-05 — a national survey figure, not a quote. Tax, insurance and closing costs are estimates; your own Loan Estimate is the real number.

This building's HOA fees

🚩 Rising fast · +13.2%/yr

Reconstructed from 5 units of recorded sales at 2415 Van Ness Ave — every recorded sale carries its HOA fee and date. No listing site shows this.

$6702024$8222025$8582026
$858/mo · 2026
+28% since 2024

These dues climbed 28% in 2 years — about +13.2%/yr across 5 units of recorded sales, well above inflation. A rise this steep is a leading signal of a special assessment, a drained reserve fund, or an insurance shock. The listing never shows it; the building's documents are where the "why" lives.

🏢 Get this building's full reserve & assessment report — free →
✅ Positives
  • Cheapest of 28 tracked in Sf District 7
  • 18% below model fair value
  • Upper floor (fl 6)
⚠️ Cons
  • Small (567 sf)
  • HOA $858/mo
  • Older building (1926)
🚩 Red flags
  • HOA rising ~13%/yr in this building ($670/mo in 2024 → $858)
  • Listed BELOW its 2014 sale ($575k) → value eroding

Photos

Price history (this unit)

Trough $157,000 Oct 31, 1997Now $550,000Peak $575,000 Jun 9, 2014
Current list price is 4% below its peak · +250% above its trough.
  • Oct 20, 2026 — Listed $550,000
  • Jun 9, 2014 — Sold (Public Records) $575,000
  • Oct 17, 2008 — Sold (MLS) $505,000
  • Oct 17, 2008 — Sold (Public Records) $505,000
  • Sep 4, 2008 — Listed $495,000
  • Sep 15, 2006 — Sold (MLS) $463,000

Description

Circa 1926, 2415 Van Ness Avenue is a distinctive Gothic Revival building nestled in the heart of San Francisco's desirable Cow Hollow neighborhood. Situated on the top floor, Residence 601 is a charming junior one-bedroom condominium filled with natural light, featuring freshly painted interiors and beautifully refinished hardwood floors. Set within a boutique, well-managed condominium community, the building features elevator access and a private communal backyard, offering a welcoming outdoor retreat amid the energy of city living. The residence also includes a designated storage unit measuring approximately 5' wide by 3'1 deep by 8'1 high. Beyond the doorstep, enjoy the convenience of…

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