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Stealpad › San Francisco, CA › ZIP 94105 › 188 Minna St Unit 36D
188 Minna St Unit 36D — 2 bd condo for sale in ZIP 94105, San Francisco
14Overpriced

188 Minna St Unit 36D

ZIP 94105, San Francisco, CA · 94105
$2,695,000 72% above mkt
2 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,792 sqft · $1,504/sf
HOA $3,828/mo · 🏢 fee history ↓ · Floor 3 · 20 days on market · built 2005
⚖️ Adjusted valueOverpricedasking is +72% over fair value
Model fair value · 110 sold comps · ±14%$1,575,342
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location+71%
Condition · Avg / verify in person0
Price history · ≈10% below its peak+1%
📐 How this Deal Score was built14Overpriced
Value gap · 72% over fair value — charged up to 40%, past that it reads as a comp artifact−48
HOA burden · $3,828/mo = 1.7%/yr of price vs a 1.33% norm−3
Days on market · 20 days — not long enough to give you leverage0
Raw advantage · the three above, combined−51
Model confidence · moderate — ±14% typical model error across 110 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×0.8
Deal Score14/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

💵What this unit actually costs per month

$21,725/mo all-in
20% down at 7.4% (this week's 30-year average) · mortgage + tax + insurance + HOA
Mortgage principal & interest$14,928
Property tax (1.30% effective)$2,920
Insurance (estimate)$50
HOA dues$3,828
Total monthly$21,725
Rough cash to close$606,375

31% of that payment is not the mortgage. The HOA fee alone is $229,680 over five years — money that buys you no equity. A calculator that defaulted the fee to zero would have quoted you $17,897.

Financing type

Not FHA-approved. No 3.5%-down FHA financing on this unit, so the realistic floor is a 5%-down conventional loan ($134,750). Common for small associations and not a defect on its own, but it does remove FHA buyers from your resale pool.

Minimum realistic down payment here: 5% · verify on HUD's lookup

Rate is the Freddie Mac PMMS 30-year average for the week of 2026-10-08 — a national survey figure, not a quote. Tax, insurance and closing costs are estimates; your own Loan Estimate is the real number.

This building's HOA fees

2 recorded points

Reconstructed from 15 units of recorded sales at 188 Minna St — every recorded sale carries its HOA fee and date. No listing site shows this.

$6,1402023$3,8282026
$3,828/mo · 2026
-38% since 2023

We have a few recorded HOA fees for this building but not yet enough to call a reliable trend, so these are the raw points — no rate implied. Its documents fill in the reserve health and assessment risk.

🏢 Get this building's full reserve & assessment report — free →
✅ Positives
  • Upper floor (fl 3)
  • In-unit W/D
  • Garage parking
  • Newer build (2005)
⚠️ Cons
  • 71% above model fair value
  • HOA $3828/mo
🚩 Red flags
  • Very high HOA $3828/mo (full-service high-rise)
  • Listed BELOW its 2011 sale ($2985k) → value eroding

Photos

Price history (this unit)

Trough $2,695,000 Sep 21, 2026Now $2,695,000Peak $2,985,000 Oct 31, 2011
Current list price is 10% below its peak · +0% above its trough.
  • Sep 21, 2026 — Listed $2,695,000
  • Oct 31, 2011 — Sold (Public Records) $2,985,000

Description

The St. Regis Residences pairs the privacy of home with the service and amenities of one of San Francisco's premier hotels. This expansive two-bedroom, two-and-a-half-bath corner residence offers the building's largest two-bedroom floor plan, approximately 1,792 sq. ft. , along with a private terrace overlooking the city. Floor-to-ceiling glass surrounds the living and dining areas, with sweeping views across the San Francisco skyline, Twin Peaks and Yerba Buena Park. Dark hardwood floors run throughout the principal living spaces. The glass-walled kitchen features Poggenpohl cabinetry, high-end appliances and clean contemporary finishes, maintaining a visual connection to the surrounding…

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