🏠 Stealpad
/
Stealpad › Oakland, CA › Chinatown › 311 Oak St #507
311 Oak St #507 — 2 bd condo for sale in Chinatown, Oakland
53Fair price

311 Oak St #507

Chinatown, Oakland, CA · 94607
$624,999 ~at market (-9%)
2 bd · 2 ba · 1,404 sqft · $445/sf
HOA $1,189/mo · 🏢 fee history ↓ · Floor 5 · 18 days on market · built 2003
⚖️ Adjusted valueFairly pricedasking is 9% under fair value
Model fair value · 26 sold comps · ±15%$667,252
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location−6%
Condition · Avg / verify in person0
Price history · ≈26% below its peak−3%
📐 How this Deal Score was built53Fair price
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history+10.8
HOA burden · $1,189/mo = 2.28%/yr of price vs a 1.33% norm−7.6
Days on market · 18 days — not long enough to give you leverage0
Raw advantage · the three above, combined+3.2
Model confidence · moderate — ±15% typical model error across 26 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×0.8
Deal Score53/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

💵What this unit actually costs per month

$5,378/mo all-in
20% down at 7.4% (this week's 30-year average) · mortgage + tax + insurance + HOA
Mortgage principal & interest$3,462
Property tax (1.30% effective)$677
Insurance (estimate)$50
HOA dues$1,189
Total monthly$5,378
Rough cash to close$140,625

36% of that payment is not the mortgage. The HOA fee alone is $71,340 over five years — money that buys you no equity. A calculator that defaulted the fee to zero would have quoted you $4,189.

Financing type

Not FHA-approved. No 3.5%-down FHA financing on this unit, so the realistic floor is a 5%-down conventional loan ($31,250). Common for small associations and not a defect on its own, but it does remove FHA buyers from your resale pool.

Minimum realistic down payment here: 5% · verify on HUD's lookup

Rate is the Freddie Mac PMMS 30-year average for the week of 2026-10-08 — a national survey figure, not a quote. Tax, insurance and closing costs are estimates; your own Loan Estimate is the real number.

This building's HOA fees

🚩 Rising fast · +7.5%/yr

Reconstructed from 18 units of recorded sales at 311 Oak St — every recorded sale carries its HOA fee and date. No listing site shows this.

$7902021$8442022$9192025$1,1322026
$1,132/mo · 2026
+43% since 2021

These dues climbed 43% in 5 years — about +7.5%/yr across 18 units of recorded sales, well above inflation. A rise this steep is a leading signal of a special assessment, a drained reserve fund, or an insurance shock. The listing never shows it; the building's documents are where the "why" lives.

🏢 Get this building's full reserve & assessment report — free →
✅ Positives
  • 26% below its 2018 peak
  • Upper floor (fl 5)
  • In-unit W/D
  • Garage parking
⚠️ Cons
  • HOA $1189/mo
  • Photos look dim — verify light in person
🚩 Red flags
  • Very high HOA $1189/mo (full-service high-rise)
  • Listed BELOW its 2018 sale ($850k) → value eroding

Photos

Price history (this unit)

Trough $360,000 Oct 2, 2012Now $624,999Peak $850,000 Jan 19, 2018
Current list price is 26% below its peak · +74% above its trough.
  • Sep 23, 2026 — Listed $624,999
  • Jan 19, 2018 — Sold (MLS) $850,000
  • Jan 19, 2018 — Sold (MLS) $850,000
  • Jan 19, 2018 — Sold (Public Records) $850,000
  • Dec 19, 2017 — Price Changed $850,000
  • Dec 14, 2017 — Listed $825,000

Description

Exceptional Jack London Square Condominium Live in the heart of Oakland’s vibrant Jack London Square in this exceptional 5th-floor, two-level residence at The Sierra. This unique 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom condominium features a versatile loft and a sophisticated urban layout designed for comfortable city living. Enjoy convenient access to BART, with the Lake Merritt station just a few blocks away, as well as I-880, the Alameda/Oakland Ferry, and Amtrak. Oakland International Airport is also just a short drive away. Step outside and you’re minutes from the dining, shopping, entertainment, waterfront, and historic charm of Jack London Square. The Sierra combines innovative architecture, natural…

More steals in Chinatown

See all 17 condos in Chinatown →