🏠 Stealpad
/
Stealpad › Oakland, CA › Chinatown › 201 3rd St #302
201 3rd St #302 — 2 bd condo for sale in Chinatown, Oakland
18Overpriced

201 3rd St #302

Chinatown, Oakland, CA · 94607
$1,150,000 34% above mkt
2 bd · 2 ba · 1,784 sqft · $645/sf
HOA $1,074/mo · 🏢 fee history ↓ · Floor 3 · 32 days on market · built 1914
⚖️ Adjusted valueOverpricedasking is +34% over fair value
Model fair value · 26 sold comps · ±15%$866,056
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location+33%
Condition · Avg / verify in person0
Price history · ≈8% below its peak+1%
📐 How this Deal Score was built18Overpriced
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history−40.8
HOA burden · $1,074/mo = 1.12%/yr of price vs a 1.33% norm — at or below normal, no charge0
Days on market · 32 days — not long enough to give you leverage0
Raw advantage · the three above, combined−40.8
Model confidence · moderate — ±15% typical model error across 26 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×0.8
Deal Score18/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

💵What this unit actually costs per month

$8,740/mo all-in
20% down at 7.4% (this week's 30-year average) · mortgage + tax + insurance + HOA
Mortgage principal & interest$6,370
Property tax (1.30% effective)$1,246
Insurance (estimate)$50
HOA dues$1,074
Total monthly$8,740
Rough cash to close$258,750

27% of that payment is not the mortgage. The HOA fee alone is $64,440 over five years — money that buys you no equity. A calculator that defaulted the fee to zero would have quoted you $7,666.

Financing type

Not FHA-approved. No 3.5%-down FHA financing on this unit, so the realistic floor is a 5%-down conventional loan ($57,500). Common for small associations and not a defect on its own, but it does remove FHA buyers from your resale pool.

Minimum realistic down payment here: 5% · verify on HUD's lookup

Rate is the Freddie Mac PMMS 30-year average for the week of 2026-10-08 — a national survey figure, not a quote. Tax, insurance and closing costs are estimates; your own Loan Estimate is the real number.

This building's HOA fees

2 recorded points

Reconstructed from 2 units of recorded sales at 201 3rd St — every recorded sale carries its HOA fee and date. No listing site shows this.

$7732021$1,0742026
$1,074/mo · 2026
+39% since 2021

We have a few recorded HOA fees for this building but not yet enough to call a reliable trend, so these are the raw points — no rate implied. Its documents fill in the reserve health and assessment risk.

🏢 Get this building's full reserve & assessment report — free →
✅ Positives
  • Upper floor (fl 3)
  • In-unit W/D
  • Garage parking
  • Low HOA (1.1%/yr)
⚠️ Cons
  • 33% above model fair value
  • HOA $1074/mo
  • Older building (1914)
🚩 Red flags
  • Very high HOA $1074/mo (full-service high-rise)
  • Listed BELOW its 2021 sale ($1200k) → value eroding

Photos

Price history (this unit)

Trough $1,198,000 Aug 19, 2021Now $1,150,000Peak $1,250,000 Sep 9, 2026
Current list price is 8% below its peak · +-4% above its trough.
  • Sep 9, 2026 — Listed $1,250,000
  • Oct 1, 2021 — Sold (MLS) $1,200,000
  • Oct 1, 2021 — Sold (Public Records) $1,200,000
  • Aug 19, 2021 — Listed $1,198,000

Description

The crown jewel at the Brickhouse Lofts in Jack London Square – Top floor, corner unit! One of 13 in a beautifully historic 1914 Jack London Square landmark. Urban-boutique community living. At 1,784 sq ft this space features a two-level layout with visual interest & functional separation. There are dramatic soaring ceilings & expansive industrial windows offering urban architecture views & an abundance of natural light. Automatic shades provide control & convenience. Inside enjoy, in-unit laundry, an excess of storage (with organizers), the office/den, 2 bedrooms with ensuite bathrooms & walk-in closets. The features list is long, delivering a move-in ready experience. The kitchen is…

More steals in Chinatown

See all 17 condos in Chinatown →