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Stealpad › Oakland, CA › Chinatown › 1 Embarcadero W #164
1 Embarcadero W #164 — 1 bd condo for sale in Chinatown, Oakland
41Priced high

1 Embarcadero W #164

Chinatown, Oakland, CA · 94607
$290,000 ~at market (+3%)
1 bd · 1 ba · 476 sqft · $609/sf
HOA $700/mo · 🏢 fee history ↓ · Floor 1 · 269 days on market · built 1974
⏳ Sitting — leverage⚠️ HOA trap
⚖️ Adjusted valueFairly pricedasking is +3% over fair value
Model fair value · 26 sold comps · ±15%$281,362
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location+3%
Condition · Updated: shaker, granite, hardwood0
Price history · ≈14% below its peak0
📐 How this Deal Score was built41Priced high
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history−3.6
HOA burden · $700/mo = 2.9%/yr of price vs a 1.33% norm−12.5
Days on market · 269 days — it has sat, so you have leverage+6
Raw advantage · the three above, combined−10.1
Model confidence · moderate — ±15% typical model error across 26 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×0.8
Deal Score41/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

💵What this unit actually costs per month

$2,670/mo all-in
20% down at 7.4% (this week's 30-year average) · mortgage + tax + insurance + HOA
Mortgage principal & interest$1,606
Property tax (1.30% effective)$314
Insurance (estimate)$50
HOA dues$700
Total monthly$2,670
Rough cash to close$65,250

40% of that payment is not the mortgage. The HOA fee alone is $42,000 over five years — money that buys you no equity. A calculator that defaulted the fee to zero would have quoted you $1,970.

Financing type

FHA approval has expired on this project. An FHA buyer cannot use it today, and the fact that it once qualified and then stopped is worth asking the board about. Plan on a conventional loan — 5% down at the very least.

Minimum realistic down payment here: 5% · verify on HUD's lookup

Rate is the Freddie Mac PMMS 30-year average for the week of 2026-10-08 — a national survey figure, not a quote. Tax, insurance and closing costs are estimates; your own Loan Estimate is the real number.

This building's HOA fees

✅ Fairly steady · +3.8%/yr

Reconstructed from 6 units of recorded sales at 1 Embarcadero W — every recorded sale carries its HOA fee and date. No listing site shows this.

$6022022$9202024$7002026
$700/mo · 2026
+16% since 2022

These dues have held relatively steady (about +3.8%/yr over 4 years across 6 units) — a good sign. Only the reserve study confirms the building is keeping up with its big-ticket repairs.

🏢 Get this building's full reserve & assessment report — free →
✅ Positives
  • Cheapest of 13 tracked in Jack London
  • On market 269 days → strong negotiating leverage
  • Garage parking
⚠️ Cons
  • Small (476 sf)
  • HOA $700/mo
  • Ground floor
🚩 Red flags
  • Listed BELOW its 2016 sale ($315k) → value eroding

Photos

Price history (this unit)

Trough $77,000 Jan 18, 2013Now $290,000Peak $339,000 Feb 26, 2016
Current list price is 14% below its peak · +277% above its trough.
  • May 12, 2026 — Price Changed $290,000
  • Jan 15, 2026 — Listed $300,000
  • Apr 24, 2016 — Sold (MLS) $315,000
  • Apr 22, 2016 — Sold (Public Records) $315,000
  • Mar 10, 2016 — Price Changed $319,000
  • Feb 26, 2016 — Listed $339,000

Description

This bright 1-bedroom, 1-bath condo features a thoughtfully designed open floor plan filled with natural light. Large windows and an open living area create an inviting, airy feel, while the private balcony extends the living space—perfect for morning coffee, evening unwinding, or enjoying the surrounding waterfront setting. The home also includes smart entry access and 1 secured parking space, offering both convenience and peace of mind. Located in one of Oakland’s most sought-after waterfront settings, this residence is just steps from scenic Bayfront trails, local cafés, and the vibrant atmosphere of Jack London Square. Ferry service, BART, Amtrak, and I-880 are all close by, providing…

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