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StealpadFremont, CAWarm Springs47112 Warm Springs Blvd #313
47112 Warm Springs Blvd #313 — 2 bd condo for sale in Warm Springs, Fremont
27Overpriced

47112 Warm Springs Blvd #313

Warm Springs, Fremont, CA · 94539
$649,000 ~at market (-2%)
2 bd · 1 ba · 970 sqft · $669/sf
HOA $515/mo · 🏢 fee history ↓ · Floor 3 · 10 days on market · built 1982
⚖️ Adjusted valueOverpricedasking is +18% over fair value
Model fair value · 33 sold comps · ±8%$576,316
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location+13%
Condition · Avg / verify in person0
Price history · at/near its all-time high+5%
📐 How this Deal Score was built27Overpriced
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history−21.6
HOA burden · $515/mo = 0.95%/yr of price vs a 1.34% norm — at or below normal, no charge0
Days on market · 10 days — not long enough to give you leverage0
Raw advantage · the three above, combined−21.6
Model confidence · strong — ±8% typical model error across 33 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×1
Deal Score27/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

💵What this unit actually costs per month

$4,601/mo all-in
20% down at 6.65% (this week's 30-year average) · mortgage + tax + insurance + HOA
Mortgage principal & interest$3,333
Property tax (1.30% effective)$703
Insurance (estimate)$50
HOA dues$515
Total monthly$4,601
Rough cash to close$146,025

28% of that payment is not the mortgage. The HOA fee alone is $30,900 over five years — money that buys you no equity. A calculator that defaulted the fee to zero would have quoted you $4,086.

Financing type

Not FHA-approved. No 3.5%-down FHA financing on this unit, so the realistic floor is a 5%-down conventional loan ($32,450). Common for small associations and not a defect on its own, but it does remove FHA buyers from your resale pool.

Minimum realistic down payment here: 5% · verify on HUD's lookup

Rate is the Freddie Mac PMMS 30-year average for the week of 2026-08-20 — a national survey figure, not a quote. Tax, insurance and closing costs are estimates; your own Loan Estimate is the real number.

This building's HOA fees

✅ Falling · -9.2%/yr

Reconstructed from 13 units of recorded sales at 47112 Warm Springs Blvd — every recorded sale carries its HOA fee and date. No listing site shows this.

$6502023$5202024$4502025$4862026
$486/mo · 2026
-25% since 2023

These dues have actually fallen over 3 years across 13 units — unusual. Worth confirming the building isn't underfunding its reserves to keep the fee low.

🏢 Get this building's full reserve & assessment report — free →
✅ Positives
  • Upper floor (fl 3)
  • In-unit W/D
  • Garage parking
  • Low HOA (1%/yr)
⚠️ Cons
  • 13% above model fair value
  • Only 1 bath
🚩 Red flags

Photos

Price history (this unit)

Trough $128,000 May 29, 1991Now $649,000Peak $607,000 Aug 6, 2021
Current list price is +7% above its prior peak (listed at an all-time high) · +407% above its trough.
  • Jun 28, 2022 — Price Changed $2,300
  • Aug 6, 2021 — Sold (MLS) $607,000
  • Aug 6, 2021 — Sold (Public Records) $607,000
  • Apr 23, 2021 — Listed $600,000
  • Oct 5, 2012 — Sold (Public Records) $184,000
  • Feb 26, 2002 — Sold (MLS) $246,000

Description

Fremont Warm Springs location! Spacious top-floor 2-bedroom end unit in a gated community with an updated kitchen featuring stainless steel appliances, new countertops, and a newer range/oven. Refrigerator is approximately 2 years old. The open and spacious living room offers plenty of natural light, complemented by double-pane windows throughout. The updated bathroom features a new mirror and a cabinet approximately 1 year old. The spacious primary bedroom includes an extra-large walk-in closet. Additional highlights include 1 detached garage and 1 covered carport. Enjoy community amenities including a pool, spa, and tennis court. HOA dues include water, trash, and insurance. Conveniently

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