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StealpadFremont, CAWarm Springs46776 Fernald St
46776 Fernald St — 3 bd condo for sale in Warm Springs, Fremont
39Priced high

46776 Fernald St

Warm Springs, Fremont, CA · 94539
$788,800 ~at market (-6%)
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,271 sqft · $621/sf
HOA $375/mo · 🏢 fee history ↓ · 10 days on market · built 1981
⚖️ Adjusted valueOverpricedasking is +8% over fair value
Model fair value · 33 sold comps · ±8%$765,766
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location+3%
Condition · Avg / verify in person0
Price history · at/near its all-time high+5%
📐 How this Deal Score was built39Priced high
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history−9.6
HOA burden · $375/mo = 0.57%/yr of price vs a 1.34% norm — at or below normal, no charge0
Days on market · 10 days — not long enough to give you leverage0
Raw advantage · the three above, combined−9.6
Model confidence · strong — ±8% typical model error across 33 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×1
Deal Score39/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

💵What this unit actually costs per month

$5,331/mo all-in
20% down at 6.65% (this week's 30-year average) · mortgage + tax + insurance + HOA
Mortgage principal & interest$4,051
Property tax (1.30% effective)$855
Insurance (estimate)$50
HOA dues$375
Total monthly$5,331
Rough cash to close$177,480

24% of that payment is not the mortgage. The HOA fee alone is $22,500 over five years — money that buys you no equity. A calculator that defaulted the fee to zero would have quoted you $4,956.

Financing type

Not FHA-approved. No 3.5%-down FHA financing on this unit, so the realistic floor is a 5%-down conventional loan ($39,440). Common for small associations and not a defect on its own, but it does remove FHA buyers from your resale pool.

Minimum realistic down payment here: 5% · verify on HUD's lookup

Rate is the Freddie Mac PMMS 30-year average for the week of 2026-08-20 — a national survey figure, not a quote. Tax, insurance and closing costs are estimates; your own Loan Estimate is the real number.

This building's HOA fees

We haven't reconstructed a multi-year fee history for this building yet. We have one recorded fee on file ($375 in 2026), not enough for a trend yet. The listing shows $375/mo today. Upload its HOA docs and we'll build the full reserve & special-assessment report — free.

🏢 Get this building's free HOA report →
✅ Positives
  • In-unit W/D
  • Garage parking
  • Low HOA (0.6%/yr)
⚠️ Cons
  • Verify HOA docs & condition in person
🚩 Red flags

Photos

Price history (this unit)

Trough $169,000 Jun 27, 1997Now $788,800Peak $520,000 Dec 6, 2013
Current list price is +52% above its prior peak (listed at an all-time high) · +367% above its trough.
  • Dec 6, 2013 — Sold (MLS) $520,000
  • Dec 6, 2013 — Sold (Public Records) $520,000
  • Nov 22, 2013 — Listed $499,000
  • Jun 16, 2004 — Sold (Public Records) $410,000
  • May 24, 2004 — Sold (MLS) $410,000
  • May 21, 2004 — Listed $398,888

Description

Nestled in the highly sought-after Warm Springs neighborhood, this beautiful townhouse-style condo offers privacy, comfort, and picturesque surroundings. Featuring a north-facing entrance, an inviting private patio, and breathtaking views of Mission Peak and the surrounding hills, this home provides a peaceful setting in a prime location. Offering approximately 1,270 square feet of living space, the home features 3 bedrooms, 1.5 bathrooms, an attached 2-car garage with direct access to the home, and a functional two-story floor plan. Recent updates include updated kitchen and bathrooms, fresh interior paint and new flooring, making this home truly move-in ready. One of the home's standout f

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