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StealpadFremont, CAWarm Springs45188 Tom Blalock St #103
45188 Tom Blalock St #103 — 3 bd condo for sale in Warm Springs, Fremont
42Priced high

45188 Tom Blalock St #103

Warm Springs, Fremont, CA · 94539
$1,175,000 ~at market (+4%)
3 bd · 2 ba · 1,725 sqft · $681/sf
HOA $638/mo · 🏢 fee history ↓ · Floor 1 · 6 days on market · built 2019
⚖️ Adjusted valueFairly pricedasking is +7% over fair value
Model fair value · 4 sold comps · ±8%$1,101,225
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location+7%
Condition · Avg / verify in person0
Price history · at/near its all-time high0
📐 How this Deal Score was built42Priced high
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history−8.4
HOA burden · $638/mo = 0.65%/yr of price vs a 1.34% norm — at or below normal, no charge0
Days on market · 6 days — not long enough to give you leverage0
Raw advantage · the three above, combined−8.4
Model confidence · moderate — ±8% typical model error across 4 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×0.8
Deal Score42/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

💵What this unit actually costs per month

$7,995/mo all-in
20% down at 6.65% (this week's 30-year average) · mortgage + tax + insurance + HOA
Mortgage principal & interest$6,034
Property tax (1.30% effective)$1,273
Insurance (estimate)$50
HOA dues$638
Total monthly$7,995
Rough cash to close$264,375

25% of that payment is not the mortgage. The HOA fee alone is $38,280 over five years — money that buys you no equity. A calculator that defaulted the fee to zero would have quoted you $7,357.

Financing type

Not FHA-approved. No 3.5%-down FHA financing on this unit, so the realistic floor is a 5%-down conventional loan ($58,750). Common for small associations and not a defect on its own, but it does remove FHA buyers from your resale pool.

Minimum realistic down payment here: 5% · verify on HUD's lookup

Rate is the Freddie Mac PMMS 30-year average for the week of 2026-08-20 — a national survey figure, not a quote. Tax, insurance and closing costs are estimates; your own Loan Estimate is the real number.

This building's HOA fees

2 recorded points

Reconstructed from 6 units of recorded sales at 45188 Tom Blalock St — every recorded sale carries its HOA fee and date. No listing site shows this.

$5722022$6382026
$638/mo · 2026
+12% since 2022

We have a few recorded HOA fees for this building but not yet enough to call a reliable trend, so these are the raw points — no rate implied. Its documents fill in the reserve health and assessment risk.

🏢 Get this building's full reserve & assessment report — free →
✅ Positives
  • In-unit W/D
  • Garage parking
  • Low HOA (0.7%/yr)
  • Newer build (2019)
⚠️ Cons
  • HOA $638/mo
  • Ground floor
  • Photos look dim — verify light in person
🚩 Red flags

Photos

Price history (this unit)

Only one sale-price event on record ($1,175,000 on Aug 21, 2026).
  • Aug 21, 2026 — Listed $1,175,000

Description

Wow...Luxury Living at its Finest....A Super Clean, Modern Condominium with an "Open Floor Plan" and Tons of Tasteful Upgrades, including Luxury Vinyl Plank Flooring, Stainless Steel Appliances, Quartz Countertops, Designer Window Treatments & Much More. Ideally Located on the First Floor in the Chancery Section of The Metro Crossing Luxury Condominium Complex of Fremont. With Direct Access from the 2-Car Garage (or from the Street) and Accross the Street from the Resort-Style Community Center w/ World-Class Amenities, this Location is Hard to Beat. The Primary Suite offers a Spacious Walk-in Closet, an Upgraded Bathroom with a Double-sink Vanity and a Modern Clear Glass Shower

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