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StealpadFremont, CAWarm Springs45128 Warm Springs Blvd #455
45128 Warm Springs Blvd #455 — 3 bd condo for sale in Warm Springs, Fremont
43Priced high

45128 Warm Springs Blvd #455

Warm Springs, Fremont, CA · 94539
$1,218,888 ~at market (+6%)
3 bd · 2 ba · 1,741 sqft · $700/sf
HOA $709/mo · 🏢 fee history ↓ · Floor 4 · 2 days on market · built 2019
⚖️ Adjusted valueFairly pricedasking is +5% over fair value
Model fair value · 33 sold comps · ±8%$1,160,002
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location+5%
Condition · Avg / verify in person0
Price history · at/near its all-time high0
📐 How this Deal Score was built43Priced high
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history−6
HOA burden · $709/mo = 0.7%/yr of price vs a 1.34% norm — at or below normal, no charge0
Days on market · 2 days — not long enough to give you leverage0
Raw advantage · the three above, combined−6
Model confidence · strong — ±8% typical model error across 33 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×1
Deal Score43/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

💵What this unit actually costs per month

$8,339/mo all-in
20% down at 6.65% (this week's 30-year average) · mortgage + tax + insurance + HOA
Mortgage principal & interest$6,260
Property tax (1.30% effective)$1,320
Insurance (estimate)$50
HOA dues$709
Total monthly$8,339
Rough cash to close$274,250

25% of that payment is not the mortgage. The HOA fee alone is $42,540 over five years — money that buys you no equity. A calculator that defaulted the fee to zero would have quoted you $7,630.

Financing type

Not FHA-approved. No 3.5%-down FHA financing on this unit, so the realistic floor is a 5%-down conventional loan ($60,944). Common for small associations and not a defect on its own, but it does remove FHA buyers from your resale pool.

Minimum realistic down payment here: 5% · verify on HUD's lookup

Rate is the Freddie Mac PMMS 30-year average for the week of 2026-08-20 — a national survey figure, not a quote. Tax, insurance and closing costs are estimates; your own Loan Estimate is the real number.

This building's HOA fees

🚩 Rising fast · +7.8%/yr

Reconstructed from 20 units of recorded sales at 45128 Warm Springs Blvd — every recorded sale carries its HOA fee and date. No listing site shows this.

$5042022$6252023$6302024$7042025$7102026
$710/mo · 2026
+46% since 2021

These dues climbed 46% in 5 years — about +7.8%/yr across 20 units of recorded sales, well above inflation. A rise this steep is a leading signal of a special assessment, a drained reserve fund, or an insurance shock. The listing never shows it; the building's documents are where the "why" lives.

🏢 Get this building's full reserve & assessment report — free →
✅ Positives
  • Upper floor (fl 4)
  • In-unit W/D
  • Garage parking
  • Low HOA (0.7%/yr)
⚠️ Cons
  • HOA $709/mo
🚩 Red flags

Photos

Price history (this unit)

Only one sale-price event on record ($1,218,888 on Aug 25, 2026).
  • Aug 25, 2026 — Listed $1,218,888

Description

Discover the best of Westbounce Park at Metro Crossing in this luxurious condo. Boasting a rarely available corner unit of 1,741sqft, 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom. This home offers spacious elegance and modern living at its finest. Floor-to-ceiling sliding glass doors open onto the wrap around balcony, pouring ample natural light into the home. What a wonderful space for relaxing and hosting gatherings! The open-concept layout connects the kitchen, dining and living areas, creating an airy and comfortable living environment. The luxurious primary suite features a walk-in closet, a dual-sink vanity, and a spacious walk-in shower. Carpeted flooring throughout all bedrooms. The highlights are new bath

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