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Stealpad › Fremont, CA › Centerville › 38228 Paseo Padre Pkwy #18
38228 Paseo Padre Pkwy #18 — 1 bd condo for sale in Centerville, Fremont
41Priced high

38228 Paseo Padre Pkwy #18

Centerville, Fremont, CA · 94536
$425,000 15% above mkt
1 bd · 1 ba · 750 sqft · $567/sf
HOA $502/mo · 🏢 fee history ↓ · Floor 1 · 163 days on market · built 1970
⏳ Sitting — leverage
⚖️ Adjusted valueOverpricedasking is +15% over fair value
Model fair value · 1 sold comps · ±8%$398,580
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location+7%
Condition · Dated: oak, white applncs, wall heater+6%
Price history · ≈5% below its peak+2%
📐 How this Deal Score was built41Priced high
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history−18
HOA burden · $502/mo = 1.42%/yr of price vs a 1.33% norm−0.7
Days on market · 163 days — it has sat, so you have leverage+6
Raw advantage · the three above, combined−12.7
Model confidence · weak — ±8% typical model error across 1 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×0.6
Deal Score41/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

💵What this unit actually costs per month

$3,367/mo all-in
20% down at 7.4% (this week's 30-year average) · mortgage + tax + insurance + HOA
Mortgage principal & interest$2,354
Property tax (1.30% effective)$460
Insurance (estimate)$50
HOA dues$502
Total monthly$3,367
Rough cash to close$95,625

30% of that payment is not the mortgage. The HOA fee alone is $30,120 over five years — money that buys you no equity. A calculator that defaulted the fee to zero would have quoted you $2,865.

Financing type

Not FHA-approved. No 3.5%-down FHA financing on this unit, so the realistic floor is a 5%-down conventional loan ($21,250). Common for small associations and not a defect on its own, but it does remove FHA buyers from your resale pool.

Minimum realistic down payment here: 5% · verify on HUD's lookup

Rate is the Freddie Mac PMMS 30-year average for the week of 2026-10-08 — a national survey figure, not a quote. Tax, insurance and closing costs are estimates; your own Loan Estimate is the real number.

This building's HOA fees

✅ Fairly steady · +0.4%/yr

Reconstructed from 9 units of recorded sales at 38228 Paseo Padre Pkwy — every recorded sale carries its HOA fee and date. No listing site shows this.

$4932021$4492022$5022023$5022025$5022026
$502/mo · 2026
+2% since 2021

These dues have held relatively steady (about +0.4%/yr over 5 years across 9 units) — a good sign. Only the reserve study confirms the building is keeping up with its big-ticket repairs.

🏢 Get this building's full reserve & assessment report — free →
✅ Positives
  • On market 163 days → strong negotiating leverage
  • In-unit W/D
  • Low HOA (1.4%/yr)
  • HOA steady in this building (~0.4%/yr over 5yr)
⚠️ Cons
  • Older building (1970)
  • Ground floor
  • Photos look dim — verify light in person
🚩 Red flags
—

Photos

Price history (this unit)

Trough $81,000 Jun 4, 1993Now $425,000Peak $449,000 May 1, 2026
Current list price is 5% below its peak · +425% above its trough.
  • May 1, 2026 — Listed $449,000
  • May 10, 2025 — Rental Removed $1,850
  • May 5, 2025 — Listed for Rent $1,850
  • May 5, 2025 — Rental Removed $1,850
  • May 1, 2025 — Rental Removed $1,850
  • May 1, 2025 — Listed for Rent $1,850

Description

Welcome home to this spacious and well-designed second-floor one-bedroom condo ideally located at 38228 Paseo Padre Parkway in Fremont. This inviting residence offers a thoughtful layout with new carpet, a large living room that provides ample space for relaxing or entertaining, seamlessly flowing into a dedicated dining area—perfect for everyday meals or hosting guests. The generously sized bedroom offers comfort and privacy, while the private patio extends your living space outdoors, ideal for morning coffee or unwinding at the end of the day. The unit includes washer and dryer hookups, adding everyday convenience rarely found in similar properties. Set within a well-maintained community…

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