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Stealpad › Fremont, CA › Centerville › 3475 Deerwood Ter #304
3475 Deerwood Ter #304 — 2 bd condo for sale in Centerville, Fremont
55Fair price

3475 Deerwood Ter #304

Centerville, Fremont, CA · 94536
$468,800 8% below mkt
2 bd · 1 ba · 936 sqft · $501/sf
HOA $765/mo · 🏢 fee history ↓ · Floor 3 · 31 days on market · built 1986
💎 Hidden gem
⚖️ Adjusted valueUndervaluedasking is 8% under fair value
Model fair value · 97 sold comps · ±8%$523,146
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location−10%
Condition · Interior not shown — verify0
Price history · ≈6% below its peak+2%
📐 How this Deal Score was built55Fair price
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history+9.6
HOA burden · $765/mo = 1.96%/yr of price vs a 1.33% norm−5
Days on market · 31 days — not long enough to give you leverage0
Raw advantage · the three above, combined+4.6
Model confidence · strong — ±8% typical model error across 97 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×1
Deal Score55/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

💵What this unit actually costs per month

$3,920/mo all-in
20% down at 7.4% (this week's 30-year average) · mortgage + tax + insurance + HOA
Mortgage principal & interest$2,597
Property tax (1.30% effective)$508
Insurance (estimate)$50
HOA dues$765
Total monthly$3,920
Rough cash to close$105,480

34% of that payment is not the mortgage. The HOA fee alone is $45,900 over five years — money that buys you no equity. A calculator that defaulted the fee to zero would have quoted you $3,155.

Financing type

Not FHA-approved. No 3.5%-down FHA financing on this unit, so the realistic floor is a 5%-down conventional loan ($23,440). Common for small associations and not a defect on its own, but it does remove FHA buyers from your resale pool.

Minimum realistic down payment here: 5% · verify on HUD's lookup

Rate is the Freddie Mac PMMS 30-year average for the week of 2026-10-08 — a national survey figure, not a quote. Tax, insurance and closing costs are estimates; your own Loan Estimate is the real number.

This building's HOA fees

2 recorded points

Reconstructed from 3 units of recorded sales at 3475 Deerwood Ter — every recorded sale carries its HOA fee and date. No listing site shows this.

$6332023$7652026
$765/mo · 2026
+21% since 2023

We have a few recorded HOA fees for this building but not yet enough to call a reliable trend, so these are the raw points — no rate implied. Its documents fill in the reserve health and assessment risk.

🏢 Get this building's full reserve & assessment report — free →
✅ Positives
  • Undervalued once condition & history are priced in
  • Upper floor (fl 3)
⚠️ Cons
  • HOA $765/mo
  • Only 1 bath
  • Photos look dim — verify light in person
🚩 Red flags
  • Listed BELOW its 2023 sale ($500k) → value eroding

Photos

Price history (this unit)

Trough $102,500 Aug 28, 1985Now $468,800Peak $500,000 Aug 11, 2023
Current list price is 6% below its peak · +357% above its trough.
  • Sep 10, 2026 — Listed $468,800
  • Sep 10, 2026 — Listed $468,800
  • Aug 11, 2023 — Sold (MLS) $500,000
  • Aug 11, 2023 — Sold (Public Records) $500,000
  • Jul 18, 2023 — Listed $469,988
  • Jul 31, 2013 — Sold (MLS) $325,000

Description

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