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Stealpad › San Francisco, CA › Potrero Hill › 310 Carolina St #207
310 Carolina St #207 — 2 bd condo for sale in Potrero Hill, San Francisco
15Overpriced

310 Carolina St #207

Potrero Hill, San Francisco, CA · 94107
$1,749,000 51% above mkt
2 bd · 2 ba · 1,271 sqft · $1,376/sf
HOA $740/mo · 🏢 fee history ↓ · Floor 2 · 15 days on market · built 2015
⚖️ Adjusted valueOverpricedasking is +51% over fair value
Model fair value · 10 sold comps within ½ mi · ±14%$1,182,699
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location+48%
Condition · Avg / verify in person0
Price history · at/near its all-time high+3%
📐 How this Deal Score was built15Overpriced
Value gap · 51% over fair value — charged up to 40%, past that it reads as a comp artifact−48
HOA burden · $740/mo = 0.51%/yr of price vs a 1.29% norm — at or below normal, no charge0
Days on market · 15 days — not long enough to give you leverage0
Raw advantage · the three above, combined−48
Model confidence · moderate — ±14% typical model error, 10 sold comps within half a mile. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×0.8
Deal Score15/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

💵What this unit actually costs per month

$12,163/mo all-in
20% down at 7.18% (this week's 30-year average) · mortgage + tax + insurance + HOA
Mortgage principal & interest$9,479
Property tax (1.30% effective)$1,895
Insurance (estimate)$50
HOA dues$740
Total monthly$12,163
Rough cash to close$393,525

22% of that payment is not the mortgage. The HOA fee alone is $44,400 over five years — money that buys you no equity. A calculator that defaulted the fee to zero would have quoted you $11,423.

Financing type

Not FHA-approved. No 3.5%-down FHA financing on this unit, so the realistic floor is a 5%-down conventional loan ($87,450). Common for small associations and not a defect on its own, but it does remove FHA buyers from your resale pool.

Minimum realistic down payment here: 5% · verify on HUD's lookup

Rate is the Freddie Mac PMMS 30-year average for the week of 2026-11-05 — a national survey figure, not a quote. Tax, insurance and closing costs are estimates; your own Loan Estimate is the real number.

This building's HOA fees

We haven't reconstructed a multi-year fee history for this building yet. We have one recorded fee on file ($711 in 2026), not enough for a trend yet. The listing shows $740/mo today. Upload its HOA docs and we'll build the full reserve & special-assessment report — free.

🏢 Get this building's free HOA report →
✅ Positives
  • Low HOA (0.5%/yr)
  • Newer build (2015)
⚠️ Cons
  • 48% above model fair value
  • HOA $740/mo
🚩 Red flags
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Photos

Price history (this unit)

Trough $1,490,000 Nov 1, 2022Now $1,749,000Peak $1,749,000 Oct 24, 2026
Current list price is 0% below its peak · +17% above its trough.
  • Oct 24, 2026 — Listed $1,749,000
  • Nov 1, 2022 — Sold (MLS) $1,490,000
  • Nov 1, 2022 — Sold (Public Records) $1,490,000
  • Sep 22, 2022 — Listed $1,495,000

Description

Discover elevated urban living at Onyx on the Park, where sophisticated design, modern luxury, and an exceptional Potrero Hill location converge. Residence 207 is a beautifully appointed 2-bedroom, 2-bath home offering San Francisco skyline views, abundant natural light, and thoughtfully curated upgrades throughout. An expansive open-concept layout creates an effortless flow between living, dining, and entertaining spaces, complemented by newer hardwood flooring, designer recessed lighting, and custom window coverings and screens. Privately situated at the eastern end of the residence, the serene primary suite captures picturesque city views and features automated shades, a generously sized…

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