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Stealpad › Oakland, CA › Temescal › 6465 San Pablo Ave #203
6465 San Pablo Ave #203 — 2 bd condo for sale in Temescal, Oakland
47Fair price

6465 San Pablo Ave #203

Temescal, Oakland, CA · 94608
$499,000 ~at market (-2%)
2 bd · 2 ba · 972 sqft · $513/sf
HOA $870/mo · 🏢 fee history ↓ · Floor 2 · 32 days on market · built 2008
⚖️ Adjusted valueFairly pricedasking is 2% under fair value
Model fair value · 7 sold comps · ±15%$509,778
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location−2%
Condition · Avg / verify in person0
Price history · at/near its all-time high0
📐 How this Deal Score was built47Fair price
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history+2.4
HOA burden · $870/mo = 2.09%/yr of price vs a 1.33% norm−6.1
Days on market · 32 days — not long enough to give you leverage0
Raw advantage · the three above, combined−3.7
Model confidence · moderate — ±15% typical model error across 7 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×0.8
Deal Score47/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

💵What this unit actually costs per month

$4,225/mo all-in
20% down at 7.4% (this week's 30-year average) · mortgage + tax + insurance + HOA
Mortgage principal & interest$2,764
Property tax (1.30% effective)$541
Insurance (estimate)$50
HOA dues$870
Total monthly$4,225
Rough cash to close$112,275

35% of that payment is not the mortgage. The HOA fee alone is $52,200 over five years — money that buys you no equity. A calculator that defaulted the fee to zero would have quoted you $3,355.

Financing type

Not FHA-approved. No 3.5%-down FHA financing on this unit, so the realistic floor is a 5%-down conventional loan ($24,950). Common for small associations and not a defect on its own, but it does remove FHA buyers from your resale pool.

Minimum realistic down payment here: 5% · verify on HUD's lookup

Rate is the Freddie Mac PMMS 30-year average for the week of 2026-10-08 — a national survey figure, not a quote. Tax, insurance and closing costs are estimates; your own Loan Estimate is the real number.

This building's HOA fees

🚩 Rising fast · +6.1%/yr

Reconstructed from 7 units of recorded sales at 6465 San Pablo Ave — every recorded sale carries its HOA fee and date. No listing site shows this.

$6462021$7862025$8702026
$870/mo · 2026
+35% since 2021

These dues climbed 35% in 5 years — about +6.1%/yr across 7 units of recorded sales, well above inflation. A rise this steep is a leading signal of a special assessment, a drained reserve fund, or an insurance shock. The listing never shows it; the building's documents are where the "why" lives.

🏢 Get this building's full reserve & assessment report — free →
✅ Positives
  • In-unit W/D
  • Garage parking
  • Newer build (2008)
⚠️ Cons
  • HOA $870/mo
🚩 Red flags
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Photos

Price history (this unit)

Only one sale-price event on record ($499,000 on Sep 9, 2026).
  • Sep 9, 2026 — Listed $499,000

Description

Priced to Sell! An exceptional opportunity to live at The Emerson on San Pablo, one of Oakland’s most sought-after modern condominium buildings. This 2026 designer-refreshed, move-in-ready corner 2BD/2BA unit offers an open living, dining, and kitchen concept flanked by two private bedrooms. Eastern exposure provides morning light and cooler afternoons. High-end finishes include engineered hardwood floors, quartz counters, SS appliances, gas cooktop, new tile backsplash, recessed lighting, ample cabinetry w/ floating shelves & under-cabinet lighting. Oversized dual-pane, metal-framed windows create a remarkably quiet interior. Primary suite features a walk-in closet w/ organizer & en-suite…

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